MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce54e51185ee247c7937b210de39f2ff336455d98befbb6afff49be67ccfa9f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Chicago Cubs, Texas Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $409,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $449,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $409,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 258 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 67,305$29,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,614.25 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 36,000$19,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,199.97 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 34,759$19,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,294.13 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 21,930$11,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,087.72 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 21,000$9,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,450 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 20,480$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Texas Rangers | 32c | 19,050$6,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,072.36 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 17,807$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,806.97 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Chicago Cubs | 68c | 16,158$10,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,195.17 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texas Rangers | 24c | 16,012$3,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,763.85 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 13,062$7,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,747.5 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 12,992$7,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,716.68 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 12,887$7,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,822.49 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 11,111$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 11,111$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 10,302$4,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,532.89 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 8,000$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,680 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 6,745$3,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,057.73 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 6,538$3,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,975.87 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 6,432$2,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,894.58 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 79c | 5,954$4,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.77 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ff…3535backed Texas Rangers | 0c | 4,356$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Chicago Cubs | 66c | 3,768$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.94 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 3,425$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.35 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Texas Rangers | 26c | 3,183$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.52 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Texas Rangers | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.99 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Texas Rangers | 18c | 2,905$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.95 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 2,664$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.51 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 2,600$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.18 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Texas Rangers | 39c | 2,586$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.6 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Texas Rangers | 1c | 2,538$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Texas Rangers | 43c | 2,397$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.55 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Texas Rangers | 14c | 1,938$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.14 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Texas Rangers | 40c | 1,896$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.14 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Chicago Cubs | 71c | 1,629$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.67 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Texas Rangers | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 1,484$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.64 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 1,353$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.03 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…198fbacked Texas Rangers | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Texas Rangers | 44c | 1,167$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.38 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Texas Rangers | 12c | 1,151$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.22 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Cubs | 67c | 1,144$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.93 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Chicago Cubs | 79c | 1,000$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.26 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 999.87$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.27 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Texas Rangers | 14c | 969.46$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.3 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 949.92$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.86 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 942$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.06 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1534…1c31backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 901.4$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Texas Rangers | 17c | 710.72$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.69 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Texas Rangers | 22c | 689.72$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.91 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Texas Rangers | 38c | 676.57$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.67 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 68c | 597.25$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.74 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Texas Rangers | 16c | 593$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.83 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…c76fbacked Texas Rangers | 46c | 591$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.86 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Chicago Cubs | 67c | 586.16$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.87 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Texas Rangers | 40c | 557$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.95 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 553$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.32 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Chicago Cubs | 67c | 480$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.9 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 480$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.4 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e1…7e55backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 465.22$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.22 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 450$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.5 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Texas Rangers | 11c | 449.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 440$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.4 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Texas Rangers | 23c | 428.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Texas Rangers | 21c | 404.57$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 400$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.57 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 394.46$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.56 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…81eabacked Texas Rangers | 3c | 372.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 370.04$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.82 | 202 | 58.4%118 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9f…b0d4backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 364.83$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Chicago Cubs | 78c | 359.48$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.98 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 354.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.01 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 317.54$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.54 | 361 | 57.9%209 W · 152 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 317.36$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.28 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Texas Rangers | 15c | 311$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Texas Rangers | 43c | 308.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.87 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 275.87$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.87 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 273.57$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.42 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Texas Rangers | 18c | 272.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 271$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.95 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 259.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Texas Rangers | 32c | 248.93$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.76 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 237.17$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.73 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Texas Rangers | 43c | 235.97$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.47 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Texas Rangers | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fe8ebacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 225.19$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.59 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Texas Rangers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangersthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Texas RangersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.