MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9fe6015f71895290776743b6de820b82937fc72739decbfcfcf3c02b560ed5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 32,324$17,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,659.71 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 22,028$10,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,757.05 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 44c | 9,156$4,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,061.46 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 49c | 5,884$2,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,873.31 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 4,765$2,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,221.74 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 50c | 4,322$2,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,154.58 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 40c | 3,964$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.97 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 43c | 2,406$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.96 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 53c | 2,009$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.99 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 51c | 1,695$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.55 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 52c | 1,667$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 45c | 1,623$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.38 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 56c | 1,517$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.01 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 43c | 1,316$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.57 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 39c | 1,291$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.04 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Under | 53c | 1,152$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.66 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 1,152$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.58 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 44c | 797.68$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.17 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 40c | 693.33$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.63 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9283…ba85backed Over | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 56c | 607.16$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.15 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Under | 54c | 598.61$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.29 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 52c | 582.63$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.63 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 46c | 511$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.44 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 399.98$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.99 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 60c | 339.15$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.75 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 49c | 285.71$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 48c | 214.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Over | 49c | 210$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 46c | 197.32$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.21 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 52c | 195$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 47c | 190.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.52 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 43c | 187$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.84 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 54c | 182.81$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.09 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 43c | 180.46$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 44c | 175.33$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.29 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed Over | 46c | 173.64$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.45 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 171.97$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.82 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 28c | 159.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 49c | 158.22$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.48 | 208 | 52.9%110 W · 98 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 52c | 150.29$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.74 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 43c | 136$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.06 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 69c | 122.3$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 60c | 115.67$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 60c | 114.71$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 48c | 111.55$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.18 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…4d94backed Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 321 | 66.4%213 W · 108 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf375…a60cbacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 57c | 89.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…8b8abacked Under | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Over | 43c | 78.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 238 | 54.2%129 W · 109 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Over | 43c | 78.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 267 | 52.8%141 W · 126 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over | 46c | 75.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Over | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…c678backed Over | 45c | 66.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Over | 18c | 65.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 26c | 65.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 48c | 63.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 50c | 62.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 58c | 61.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Under | 56c | 56.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 55c | 54.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 45c | 53.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…f1f5backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Over | 51c | 49.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 44.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 56c | 41.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bc…352ebacked Under | 55c | 40.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 51c | 38.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 143 | 44.8%64 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…c2d0backed Under | 52c | 37.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 57c | 36.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb97…7ae1backed Over | 41c | 36.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 58c | 34.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…f4ffbacked Over | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 60c | 32.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 50c | 29.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +21.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 50c | 24.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…a11cbacked Under | 53c | 19.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…d6dabacked Over | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5this page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Texas RangersChicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Texas RangersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.