Middle East · resolved market
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc53e7b31acb5808dc9d06785c5ada0c2dbee9ca46b3eca2ca18fc2745aa716a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $450,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $386,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $450,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5dfd…d795backed Yes | 2c | 45,383$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…9e5dbacked Yes | 0c | 32,262$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.54 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…89b6backed Yes | 4c | 18,172$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.96 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91a6…554cbacked Yes | 14c | 14,813$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked Yes | 4c | 13,556$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.68 | 166 | 38.6%64 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed Yes | 10c | 10,710$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.56 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +52%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aac…a718backed Yes | 17c | 7,979$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.48 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…ecc5backed Yes | 1c | 7,157$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 2cpaid | +1,651.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 16c | 6,399$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.36 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c59…f97cbacked Yes | 4c | 5,339$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b14…d0b1backed Yes | 13c | 5,234$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 11c | 4,923$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.96 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa62…de34backed Yes | 7c | 4,416$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9036…71e8backed Yes | 25c | 3,859$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,848$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,602$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc39…8ad8backed Yes | 13c | 2,475$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 4c | 2,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27c2…7b89backed Yes | 10c | 1,925$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…60c2backed Yes | 17c | 1,824$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,696$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 12c | 1,693$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.77 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed No | 78c | 1,637$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.61 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…f403backed Yes | 10c | 1,587$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dae…783dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,556$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.55 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa736…bd52backed Yes | 4c | 1,523$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3958…82e3backed Yes | 12c | 1,484$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,478$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.93 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccb…3135backed Yes | 6c | 1,372$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked Yes | 6c | 1,319$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.58 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 5c | 1,311$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.71 | 221 | 7.2%16 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 16c | 1,249$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.96 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c44…f9c3backed Yes | 18c | 1,146$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +836.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 13c | 1,143$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.99 | 215 | 21.9%47 W · 168 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62b9…b1bbbacked Yes | 19c | 1,060$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde87…11a2backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x455f…b56bbacked Yes | 14c | 910$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…8cb0backed Yes | 2c | 886$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f0…80a3backed Yes | 2c | 866$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe102…71dfbacked Yes | 11c | 858.04$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.14 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x034a…6af4backed Yes | 2c | 825$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22b…b34dbacked Yes | 2c | 816$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 16c | 804.02$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.46 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Yes | 15c | 799.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -9.6wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…f923backed Yes | 2c | 782$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c87…290bbacked Yes | 2c | 782$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x053d…caedbacked Yes | 21c | 771.73$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.52 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…e437backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x302e…88ccbacked Yes | 15c | 767.85$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.87 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328a…dafcbacked Yes | 2c | 737$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5600…a4e8backed Yes | 2c | 737$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…6b39backed No | 77c | 736.63$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff98…82cdbacked Yes | 2c | 733$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…c0e5backed Yes | 2c | 733$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d41…4408backed Yes | 14c | 710.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…819fbacked Yes | 11c | 710.58$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…01d6backed Yes | 9c | 647.23$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…7b80backed Yes | 10c | 645.49$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.71 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 4c | 641.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0013…3c30backed Yes | 8c | 627.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 87 | 21.8%19 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 14c | 600$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81fd…1cd0backed Yes | 18c | 599.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb52f…3c2dbacked Yes | 15c | 585.52$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.83 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 3c | 570.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 203 | 6.4%13 W · 190 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 13c | 563.92$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e7…fd7cbacked Yes | 16c | 521.24$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed No | 75c | 514$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.53 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9a…6e8bbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 2c | 492.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +132.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 10c | 468$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 171 | 29.2%50 W · 121 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed No | 78c | 452.07$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.59 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x321d…d343backed No | 62c | 442.13$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…b768backed No | 77c | 423.45$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes | 18c | 418.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.31 | 62 | 9.7%6 W · 56 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 13c | 408$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93e0…d6ebbacked Yes | 23c | 353.9$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 17c | 348.91$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 296 | 53.7%159 W · 137 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9210…8b0ebacked Yes | 16c | 340.96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.84 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 16c | 332.51$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.82 | 168 | 31%52 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 6c | 325.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…9387backed Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb04a…acfcbacked Yes | 14c | 295.72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 290 | 27.9%81 W · 209 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bf…e97bbacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 11c | 258.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1004…58ecbacked Yes | 12c | 246.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 12c | 235.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 366 | 26.8%98 W · 268 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcabb…bbc4backed Yes | 26c | 233.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 11c | 210.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x27e0…b09bbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7db…aa32backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 281 | 26.3%74 W · 207 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…93c8backed No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 130 | 22.3%29 W · 101 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c80…a49dbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 14c | 182.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a1…4ca0backed Yes | 17c | 173.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 7c | 173.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6746…d842backed Yes | 13c | 160$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?this page
- Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30?No won
- Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.