Middle East · resolved market
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2017a6a234f761d6a44be17094ecf247d7d1e706024edbef59d6391a3c19e1b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $486,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $538,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $486,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 271 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 5c | 51,208$2,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450.92 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…c910backed Yes | 1c | 24,252$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +10.8wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +250.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 2c | 14,520$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.32 | 161 | 25.5%41 W · 120 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 12,277$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.94 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 3c | 7,863$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.65 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe945…de25backed Yes | 45c | 6,775$3,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,049 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dae…783dbacked Yes | 2c | 6,586$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.83 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Yes | 1c | 6,200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed No | 69c | 6,089$4,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.84 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a7…881bbacked No | 80c | 5,629$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.83 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -16.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 79c | 5,140$4,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.93 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c85…31d4backed Yes | 33c | 4,561$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.08 | 102 | 26.5%27 W · 75 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,672$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.68 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…ec3cbacked Yes | 27c | 3,383$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 69c | 3,300$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.92 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed Yes | 17c | 3,081$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.97 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +52%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…5026backed Yes | 3c | 2,722$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 2,651$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 228 | 2.6%6 W · 222 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d05…f609backed Yes | 4c | 2,585$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d95…5fe2backed Yes | 4c | 2,304$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d81…5c1ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,222$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e99…72a0backed Yes | 1c | 2,222$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…9402backed Yes | 1c | 2,186$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…79c0backed Yes | 1c | 2,100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 2,085$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x298f…1601backed Yes | 33c | 1,839$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.79 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,753$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 1,743$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc39…8ad8backed Yes | 25c | 1,618$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 76c | 1,608$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.8 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.26per pick | 44cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…93e6backed Yes | 3c | 1,597$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +215.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2f…b226backed No | 68c | 1,579$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.28 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 1c | 1,521$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…9e5dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,515$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.04 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x946e…1225backed Yes | 4c | 1,473$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x520f…85fdbacked Yes | 3c | 1,396$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 1c | 1,380$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +132.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6417…a6a8backed Yes | 30c | 1,370$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +263.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8856…5ff9backed Yes | 3c | 1,365$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18e5…feeebacked Yes | 4c | 1,361$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x594f…0730backed Yes | 3c | 1,357$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…5b90backed Yes | 3c | 1,334$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1352…f798backed Yes | 3c | 1,324$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85c…ed6bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,314$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…a5fbbacked No | 68c | 1,309$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.95 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d2…5597backed Yes | 3c | 1,307$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed No | 70c | 1,284$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.89 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8d…1074backed Yes | 3c | 1,268$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…11b6backed Yes | 4c | 1,240$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39df…64a1backed No | 75c | 1,227$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.72 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,212$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.92 | 234 | 20.9%49 W · 185 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4c…14ddbacked Yes | 4c | 1,190$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34d…b5c3backed Yes | 1c | 1,178$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…8da5backed Yes | 3c | 1,178$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5b…ca21backed Yes | 32c | 1,131$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412c…2d87backed Yes | 2c | 1,006$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | +11.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +259.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x174d…0f39backed Yes | 4c | 1,004$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…3d8abacked Yes | 9c | 1,004$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…68b8backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 15cpaid | +806.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 64c | 999.98$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ec…7b85backed Yes | 3c | 980$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdc…b12cbacked Yes | 3c | 980$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2153…bd72backed Yes | 3c | 980$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63af…31edbacked Yes | 3c | 980$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…b53abacked Yes | 3c | 975$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…8467backed Yes | 3c | 975$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…c905backed Yes | 3c | 975$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 970.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c0…28e6backed Yes | 32c | 950.28$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +19%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked No | 67c | 943.16$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.24 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccb…3135backed Yes | 11c | 940$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x549c…ad91backed No | 69c | 921.23$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.46 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27c2…7b89backed Yes | 31c | 900$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 30c | 871.61$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.92 | 222 | 62.2%138 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f09…5c0abacked Yes | 33c | 870.84$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…e5babacked Yes | 7c | 860.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.22 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1337…4249backed Yes | 4c | 801$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4091…2572backed Yes | 4c | 801$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a3…7739backed Yes | 6c | 800$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 2c | 778$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 442 | 24.4%108 W · 334 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e73…a236backed Yes | 6c | 767.44$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 19c | 754.34$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.08 | 366 | 26.8%98 W · 268 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e0…b09bbacked Yes | 4c | 725.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 69c | 713.38$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.06 | 60 | 11.7%7 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227a…71a7backed Yes | 32c | 682.5$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed No | 68c | 679.73$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.6 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ef…812cbacked Yes | 10c | 678.43$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.25 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff08…b658backed No | 74c | 638.46$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked No | 66c | 613.56$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.51 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +11.7wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…f82ebacked No | 71c | 583.04$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.95 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 75c | 580.73$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.41 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9a…6e8bbacked Yes | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…819fbacked Yes | 17c | 541$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e2…f8bbbacked No | 55c | 540$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…2020backed No | 35c | 536$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.84 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +25.8wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Yes | 2c | 524.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 16cpaid | +121.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03d9…eb4abacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed No | 71c | 499.99$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 126 | 29.4%37 W · 89 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed No | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?this page
- Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?No won
- Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.