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World Politics · resolved market

Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,160,199
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,529,454

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,160,199 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 745 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes64c97,067$61,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,394.8825337.2%94 W · 159 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ce6…9469backed No43c65,968$28,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,052.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes77c58,718$45,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,594.411853.4%63 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35bb…009bbacked Yes74c40,980$30,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,675.21966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7744…999ebacked Yes63c38,881$24,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,338.651315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-77.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdac1…0c1ebacked No39c35,655$13,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,991.89450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ff3…679ebacked Yes41c32,930$13,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,461.28520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-51.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c9…afe7backed Yes73c25,500$18,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,837.871942.1%8 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39ed…b5debacked No21c21,764$4,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,490.09616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf0…6349backed No2c19,686$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.78333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-32%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Yes61c19,014$11,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,377.1414240.8%58 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a82…7430backed Yes39c16,972$6,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,353.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes12c16,485$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,484.7511349.6%56 W · 57 L+28.4wins+0.25per pick24cpaid+106.5%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x6447…8075backed No33c16,090$5,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,276.931947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15f7…a018backed Yes74c14,400$10,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,706.12630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-43.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes73c13,962$10,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,793.482958.6%17 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No45c13,855$6,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,229.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaa3…545fbacked Yes63c13,797$8,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,050.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes73c12,218$8,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,284.044445.5%20 W · 24 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4133…ea5dbacked Yes80c11,931$9,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,426.14757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ea…33f7backed No20c11,303$2,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,235.08333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-52.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8567…d40ebacked Yes11c11,163$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,902.7520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+77.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53d6…b6e8backed Yes64c10,325$6,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,679.21353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Yes78c10,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5a6…0a76backed Yes56c9,992$5,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,356.773525.7%9 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick20cpaid-32.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes77c9,962$7,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,336.2514834.5%51 W · 97 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked No46c9,866$4,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,514.17933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-53.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked No1c9,645$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.724440.7%3 W · 441 L-0.7wins0.00per pick1cpaid-87.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e32…535bbacked Yes77c9,546$7,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,180.8228430.3%86 W · 198 L+0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f04…7994backed No1c9,091$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b40…e937backed Yes32c8,564$2,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,822.653644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabd4…cf34backed Yes67c8,319$5,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,715.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdeec…d75abacked Yes21c7,882$1,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,205.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+209.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44d6…c3b9backed Yes69c7,299$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+100.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc0…22e1backed Yes61c7,000$4,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7304100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x48d2…7961backed Yes72c6,768$4,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,914.351752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff2a…f7d7backed No2c6,366$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Yes68c6,310$4,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,993.253534.3%12 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-39.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a81…c57fbacked No42c6,280$2,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,633.88520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-70.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Yes62c6,195$3,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,377.5111741%48 W · 69 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-24.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x25a4…2694backed Yes50c6,155$3,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,107.11442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80ed…ce26backed Yes58c6,150$3,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,556.51250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0414…be21backed Yes10c6,000$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,392.895721.1%12 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1454…d2c8backed Yes52c5,677$2,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,702.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9524…86cfbacked Yes74c5,611$4,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.298632.6%28 W · 58 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ff…48b0backed Yes21c5,387$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,275.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+384.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1c…4d4dbacked Yes68c5,367$3,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,723.875750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No32c5,339$1,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,730.9856314.6%82 W · 481 L-39.3wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed Yes64c5,302$3,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,891.2624736.8%91 W · 156 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x163f…c010backed Yes63c5,268$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,967.89450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes55c5,046$2,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,267.379922.2%22 W · 77 L-0.4wins0.00per pick23cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes73c5,022$3,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.691866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa72a…93fdbacked Yes59c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.991266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed Yes71c4,931$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.0218036.7%66 W · 114 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39df…644bbacked Yes65c4,772$3,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,673.73030%9 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-45.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60cc…f23fbacked Yes7c4,632$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,297.3618214.8%27 W · 155 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick9cpaid+218.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3399…c51abacked Yes17c4,618$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,821.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+479.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e11…27dcbacked No13c4,500$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x401e…6fc9backed Yes77c4,427$3,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.021872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+66.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked No70c4,213$2,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,949.3815650%78 W · 78 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c4…8daebacked Yes57c4,211$2,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,792.72450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+57.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes27c4,114$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,000.5813334.6%46 W · 87 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bbd…6e72backed Yes15c4,114$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,513.98354.2%45 W · 38 L+18.2wins+0.22per pick32cpaid+66.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x01da…ea89backed Yes80c4,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8002133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1e67…44bcbacked Yes4c3,800$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,634.52250%11 W · 11 L+8.4wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+647.1%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x1e26…2020backed Yes14c3,650$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,127.674358.1%25 W · 18 L+14.6wins+0.34per pick24cpaid+200.9%equal weight74+0.21 edge/pick
0xd352…4ad6backed Yes60c3,554$2,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,436.535230.8%16 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4867…a6f8backed Yes67c3,546$2,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.861553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba9…cb2cbacked No5c3,533$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.350%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a57…14a1backed Yes72c3,527$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.162360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf607…00debacked Yes14c3,499$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,999.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+250.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No73c3,430$2,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,496.232255%177 W · 145 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a99…053abacked No41c3,339$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,358.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92e5…efeebacked Yes71c3,221$2,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.412955.2%16 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+36.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4be5…c1b3backed Yes34c3,200$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,118.987828.2%22 W · 56 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid+1.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No1c3,113$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.251,43710.2%147 W · 1,290 L-4.1wins0.00per pick11cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc03…f66fbacked Yes8c3,100$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8502441.7%10 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.30per pick11cpaid+459.4%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x0d93…8cbebacked Yes64c3,009$1,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.9816940.2%68 W · 101 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa095…6040backed No1c2,953$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.533060%18 W · 12 L+11.7wins+0.39per pick21cpaid+236.6%equal weight74+0.21 edge/pick
0xcdb6…9452backed Yes76c2,950$2,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.781030%3 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54db…0174backed Yes23c2,869$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,202.6519722.8%45 W · 152 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No38c2,785$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.4112345.5%56 W · 67 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b13…5957backed Yes75c2,760$2,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.82540%10 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0bf7…43a2backed No1c2,736$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed No2c2,703$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.571691.8%3 W · 166 L+0.8wins0.00per pick1cpaid-52.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes69c2,701$1,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.824928.6%14 W · 35 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35dd…304abacked Yes13c2,680$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,328.03333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick17cpaid+153.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80e7…ee81backed Yes75c2,680$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.61163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick71cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78a1…e6bdbacked Yes14c2,652$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,272.734250%21 W · 21 L+11.9wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+178.2%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x707e…7a82backed No5c2,647$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x720e…cf25backed Yes39c2,495$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3e…4dd6backed Yes52c2,377$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbd1…4244backed No21c2,340$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.41643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No56c2,300$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.9855334.5%191 W · 362 L-38.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked No2c2,299$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.17614.9%3 W · 58 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab1…5b1bbacked No35c2,266$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.81618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-72.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd4d2…c781backed Yes17c2,245$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,863.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid+95.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fc…0109backed Yes32c2,223$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,501.482951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xad52…11acbacked No41c2,220$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.25234.6%18 W · 34 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick27cpaid-17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab92…a7c2backed Yes8c2,205$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,019.59147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick2cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.