World Politics · resolved market
Will the Democrats (D) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0497bfb46f4e2231aa3cd121c4ea18d9ceed54980960338779c9cfccbe32735a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $213,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,832 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe1d…f887backed Yes | 2c | 55,016$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 45,510$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.81 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…fee0backed Yes | 0c | 24,968$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…9754backed Yes | 0c | 13,763$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 58 | 3.4%2 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bda…4974backed Yes | 0c | 13,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aba…d825backed Yes | 0c | 11,545$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…a7c2backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd990…3297backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ad…6448backed Yes | 0c | 8,621$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…74acbacked Yes | 0c | 8,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 8,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 89 | 2.2%2 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…d2abbacked Yes | 1c | 7,747$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4a…c104backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 1c | 6,666$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.04 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 0c | 6,176$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 166 | 4.2%7 W · 159 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 1c | 6,030$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.79 | 98 | 22.4%22 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 0c | 5,718$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…49e0backed Yes | 0c | 5,715$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa41d…6b40backed Yes | 0c | 5,432$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b01…95a9backed Yes | 1c | 4,853$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff4…55cfbacked Yes | 0c | 4,759$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 0c | 4,622$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 35 | 0%0 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 4,327$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 0c | 3,304$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4617…0c10backed Yes | 0c | 2,567$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf65c…746abacked Yes | 2c | 2,526$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.22 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…089dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,308$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d6…58f0backed Yes | 1c | 1,715$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 2c | 1,124$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9442…5d45backed Yes | 2c | 1,110$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…924dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,068$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked Yes | 3c | 909.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 182 | 14.8%27 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…b5aabacked Yes | 1c | 748$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80c2…561cbacked Yes | 3c | 700$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 659.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 2c | 608.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x346a…f31fbacked Yes | 2c | 591.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 584.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef4e…3ab1backed Yes | 3c | 458.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Democrats (D) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?this page
- Will Mi, socialisti! (Mi!) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
- Will New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
- Will Our Country (ND) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
- Will Prerod – Party of Vladimir Prebilič (PVP) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
- Will Resni.ca (Res) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
- Will The Left (Levica) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
- Will Vesna – Green Party (Vesna) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?Yes won
- Will the Party of Generations (SG) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Pirate Party of Slovenia (PPS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Slovenian National Party (SNS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Social Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.