World Politics · resolved market
Will Vesna – Green Party (Vesna) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4480bae80086177216d36b8935a96e5347a055bb4bbacd0c2ff8d18e9b5072c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,901 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x71e1…f6b5backed Yes | 0c | 26,510$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2399…1eeebacked Yes | 0c | 22,440$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x502a…7ee1backed Yes | 0c | 18,220$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bda…cfbabacked Yes | 0c | 16,990$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…3406backed Yes | 0c | 16,610$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb67a…8c7fbacked Yes | 0c | 16,510$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58f…c88bbacked Yes | 0c | 16,250$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b965backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x531c…70f5backed Yes | 0c | 13,940$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Yes | 0c | 13,921$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d81…b4d1backed Yes | 0c | 12,760$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1189…1860backed Yes | 0c | 11,618$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81db…2f49backed Yes | 0c | 11,618$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02de…6469backed Yes | 0c | 11,618$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…ee88backed Yes | 0c | 11,618$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4284…f035backed Yes | 0c | 11,618$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x852c…31a8backed Yes | 0c | 11,618$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe332…7b2abacked Yes | 0c | 11,618$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c09…74bfbacked Yes | 0c | 11,618$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe536…b501backed Yes | 0c | 11,618$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…476fbacked Yes | 0c | 11,618$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1760…76fabacked Yes | 0c | 11,618$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b33…c174backed Yes | 0c | 11,618$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc13e…d47dbacked Yes | 0c | 11,618$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2724…7490backed Yes | 0c | 11,618$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea0…15c8backed Yes | 0c | 11,618$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4018…1bc8backed Yes | 0c | 11,618$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e5…947ebacked Yes | 0c | 11,618$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…6483backed Yes | 0c | 11,618$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e67…2279backed Yes | 0c | 11,618$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…38a7backed Yes | 0c | 11,618$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e4…1517backed Yes | 0c | 11,618$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0440…4280backed Yes | 0c | 11,618$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a74…f4bdbacked Yes | 0c | 11,618$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ea…4f53backed Yes | 0c | 11,618$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b4…15b2backed Yes | 0c | 11,618$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d3…bd4dbacked Yes | 0c | 11,618$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1efd…1edebacked Yes | 0c | 11,618$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46c2…611bbacked Yes | 0c | 11,618$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb0…d489backed Yes | 0c | 11,618$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…d305backed Yes | 0c | 11,618$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d3…da39backed Yes | 0c | 11,618$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac6…d5b6backed Yes | 0c | 11,618$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…20dcbacked Yes | 0c | 11,618$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9041…d1cfbacked Yes | 0c | 11,618$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…15b6backed Yes | 0c | 11,618$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…3cf8backed Yes | 0c | 11,618$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a8…60a3backed Yes | 0c | 11,618$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x403e…4a9cbacked Yes | 0c | 11,618$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2981…9e61backed Yes | 0c | 11,618$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cd…8019backed Yes | 0c | 11,618$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f5…c3fbbacked Yes | 0c | 11,618$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf65c…746abacked Yes | 0c | 11,609$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ef…0607backed Yes | 0c | 11,588$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f8…2175backed Yes | 0c | 11,588$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0c…299ebacked Yes | 0c | 11,145$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3adc…5aeabacked Yes | 0c | 11,145$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0351…430cbacked Yes | 0c | 11,145$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e10…e35abacked Yes | 0c | 11,145$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ab…f0dfbacked Yes | 0c | 11,145$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67c2…b38fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,023$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…a7c2backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 9,374$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 55 | 0%0 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 0c | 3,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 166 | 4.2%7 W · 159 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vesna – Green Party (Vesna) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?this page
- Will Mi, socialisti! (Mi!) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
- Will New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
- Will Our Country (ND) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
- Will Prerod – Party of Vladimir Prebilič (PVP) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
- Will Resni.ca (Res) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
- Will The Left (Levica) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Democrats (D) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?Yes won
- Will the Party of Generations (SG) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Pirate Party of Slovenia (PPS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Slovenian National Party (SNS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Social Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.