TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,529,734
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,353,929

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,529,734 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0ce6…9469backed Yes43c82,409$35,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,589.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed No77c60,866$46,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,009.2511853.4%63 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed No60c58,707$35,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,264.2625337.2%94 W · 159 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ff3…679ebacked Yes7c32,746$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,359.65520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-51.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3981…636abacked Yes6c30,308$1,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,73010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f2…2f30backed Yes13c30,000$3,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,781.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x805a…0635backed No75c27,761$20,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,055.349037.8%34 W · 56 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f92…6c68backed Yes39c24,755$9,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,701.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1c…4d4dbacked Yes78c24,039$18,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,672.455750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a5…e83ebacked Yes4c22,979$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdac1…0c1ebacked Yes46c21,717$10,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,043.59450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50d0…10e7backed Yes6c20,606$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cb2…fba5backed Yes54c20,007$10,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,897.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6447…8075backed Yes35c18,592$6,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,561.181947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd57b…1345backed Yes13c18,429$2,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,482.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…d2abbacked Yes11c18,307$2,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1041010%1 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-33.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6870…5826backed Yes26c18,247$4,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,772.5950%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60cc…f23fbacked No13c17,068$2,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,931.118214.8%27 W · 155 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick9cpaid+218.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ab1…3608backed Yes8c16,365$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid+28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a2c…aeb3backed Yes20c15,992$3,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,271.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff2a…f7d7backed Yes14c15,804$2,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,138.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15f7…a018backed Yes22c14,832$3,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,211.812630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-43.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0627…f26dbacked Yes41c14,575$5,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,998.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa72a…93fdbacked No75c13,000$9,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,229.961266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c12,343$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1071691.8%3 W · 166 L+0.8wins0.00per pick1cpaid-52.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb375…4fe0backed Yes11c12,267$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5e1…e05cbacked Yes23c12,020$2,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,790.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25a4…2694backed Yes63c11,962$7,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,524.811442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88e2…7489backed Yes65c11,894$7,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,704.04742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf83…ef8ebacked Yes39c11,499$4,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,460.7430%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4e6…de8dbacked No9c11,406$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,406.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+470.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes23c11,287$2,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,616.9656314.6%82 W · 481 L-39.3wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c76…f344backed Yes28c10,947$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,050.0120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44d6…c3b9backed Yes47c10,618$4,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,989.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+100.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf607…00debacked Yes31c10,464$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,200.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+250.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf480…3e6cbacked Yes49c10,264$4,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,997.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ee5…9ac2backed Yes20c9,881$1,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,945.79862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+40.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5433…db00backed Yes7c9,625$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x521b…db60backed Yes75c9,548$7,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,114.2160%0 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes43c9,448$4,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,056333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3b4…7730backed Yes1c9,401$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf71…1548backed Yes2c9,192$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.79333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick21cpaid+39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf03…dee5backed Yes12c9,162$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed No74c8,468$6,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,161.7618036.7%66 W · 114 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700f…d4e1backed Yes15c8,413$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.741540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+51.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes1c8,397$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.184440.7%3 W · 441 L-0.7wins0.00per pick1cpaid-87.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4845…580cbacked Yes31c8,346$2,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,552.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a81…c57fbacked Yes6c8,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-70.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d37…f5c9backed Yes50c7,978$3,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,963.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39ed…b5debacked Yes8c7,686$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4e8…2466backed Yes37c7,652$2,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,818.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ed…ce26backed No63c7,185$4,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,629.671250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2cd…c66abacked No57c7,000$3,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0101100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed No58c6,785$3,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,874.316439.1%25 W · 39 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcee5…2e04backed Yes32c6,614$2,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,123.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01b7…766abacked Yes2c6,255$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffeb…717bbacked Yes0c6,052$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3464…8112backed No65c6,034$3,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,137.091060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10e7…9c89backed Yes2c5,885$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97cc…4cd5backed Yes2c5,769$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5aa…e7eebacked Yes41c5,741$2,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,346.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b40…e937backed Yes51c5,479$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,800.43644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23ac…433dbacked Yes31c5,416$1,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,674.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cff…d379backed Yes6c5,320$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc82c…32bcbacked Yes19c5,263$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90e3…2b99backed Yes22c5,135$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…2202backed No63c5,098$3,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,896.598456%47 W · 37 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd352…4ad6backed No60c4,712$2,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,908.495230.8%16 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed No54c4,600$2,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,125.9914240.8%58 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb39c…45b9backed Yes12c4,545$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes28c4,489$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267.2814126.2%37 W · 104 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf76…e817backed Yes5c4,447$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf55c…7359backed Yes36c4,327$1,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes45c4,303$1,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,941.242317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7d5…b4e0backed Yes7c4,281$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcffa…642ebacked Yes1c4,263$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ed7…6923backed Yes40c4,259$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ee…6694backed Yes41c4,235$1,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,734.861127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes3c4,200$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.615014%21 W · 129 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No27c4,157$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,026.5232255%177 W · 145 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfddf…6238backed Yes12c4,150$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c6c…6ab0backed Yes42c4,025$1,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,693.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No55c4,020$2,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,811.112345.5%56 W · 67 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34a6…558bbacked Yes10c4,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-80.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7ab…d48dbacked Yes19c3,920$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.21100%0 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc14…ce50backed Yes39c3,882$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,495.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cfb…d39bbacked Yes4c3,856$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e26…2020backed No14c3,800$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2624358.1%25 W · 18 L+14.6wins+0.34per pick24cpaid+200.9%equal weight74+0.21 edge/pick
0x7744…999ebacked Yes16c3,796$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.341315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-77.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b9d…01c7backed Yes2c3,760$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a50…0289backed Yes7c3,692$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce16…49b9backed Yes19c3,650$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3bc…6ea0backed Yes9c3,606$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5c2…44c6backed Yes27c3,518$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33fc…11fcbacked Yes64c3,513$2,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,257.6620%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7f9…6f0fbacked Yes1c3,504$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.58825%2 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+54.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56c9…afe7backed No63c3,454$2,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.461942.1%8 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01a3…c3b6backed Yes28c3,453$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aba…84fcbacked Yes2c3,444$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6512…5291backed No59c3,403$1,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,407.465341.5%22 W · 31 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.