World Politics · resolved market
Will New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2c2369ee7ee4c6f7d544f8e73d3fa5a854500deb57b4b10139ae095aa13e66b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,639 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 6 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd36a…ecf5backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…a7c2backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 9,464$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 55 | 0%0 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ec…6919backed Yes | 0c | 6,666$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf65c…746abacked Yes | 0c | 3,732$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 0c | 2,407$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 166 | 4.2%7 W · 159 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?this page
- Will Mi, socialisti! (Mi!) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
- Will Our Country (ND) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
- Will Prerod – Party of Vladimir Prebilič (PVP) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
- Will Resni.ca (Res) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
- Will The Left (Levica) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
- Will Vesna – Green Party (Vesna) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Democrats (D) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?Yes won
- Will the Party of Generations (SG) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Pirate Party of Slovenia (PPS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Slovenian National Party (SNS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Social Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.