Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7bb4f74165fd1bd48ae6170e4bc32c5519323f7202d5069a934cadd1a56dbf8

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $867,210

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $867,210 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 854 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	21c	19,536$4,148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,388.19	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	15c	13,835$2,044 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,791.1	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8dab…e581backed No	75c	12,238$9,138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,137.57	100	36%36 W · 64 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	17c	11,637$1,988 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,648.23	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	24c	10,217$2,405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,812.09	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed No	43c	10,062$4,335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,334.96	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1327…0119backed No	40c	9,861$3,902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,902.32	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	59cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	22c	9,391$2,098 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,292.91	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	15c	9,178$1,336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,841.74	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	16c	8,976$1,406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,570.06	1,036	11.1%115 W · 921 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2cff…53b5backed Yes	16c	8,904$1,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,503.95	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	72c	8,074$5,813 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,261.05	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	61c	7,109$4,326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,783.09	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	26c	6,933$1,769 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,163.99	532	22.7%121 W · 411 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	9c	6,869$622 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,246.23	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes	45c	6,466$2,886 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,580.74	285	26.7%76 W · 209 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	11c	6,373$716 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,656.77	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe144…487fbacked Yes	14c	6,082$851 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,231.09	104	21.2%22 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	72c	5,731$4,102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,628.86	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	19c	5,272$990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,282.25	876	18.4%161 W · 715 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	38c	5,255$1,983 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,271.8	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	12c	5,029$592 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,437.16	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa14d…2563backed Yes	15c	4,888$720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,168.45	145	15.9%23 W · 122 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	20c	4,840$967 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,872.2	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x274c…4824backed Yes	52c	4,717$2,434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,282.51	84	25%21 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf10…8e43backed Yes	11c	4,608$528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,080.11	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.19per pick	10cpaid	+237.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	54c	4,594$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,093.51	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	6c	4,500$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,229.89	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe739…eeb5backed Yes	8c	4,428$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,087.62	133	17.3%23 W · 110 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	10c	4,000$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,600	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9c…2ec7backed No	29c	3,900$1,135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,134.69	142	19.7%28 W · 114 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-46%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8402…bfa4backed Yes	17c	3,812$640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,171.64	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x709d…5501backed Yes	75c	3,738$2,814 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$923.51	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	37c	3,668$1,343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,324.89	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5c2…1750backed Yes	20c	3,556$695 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,860.52	209	7.7%16 W · 193 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-17%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	31c	3,452$1,054 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,398.79	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cea…a932backed Yes	15c	3,352$515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,836.35	89	25.8%23 W · 66 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes	31c	3,321$1,023 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,298.33	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x801c…a025backed Yes	14c	3,300$472 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,827.8	52	11.5%6 W · 46 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6869…0484backed Yes	15c	3,268$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,768.34	121	17.4%21 W · 100 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf360…6726backed No	80c	3,251$2,585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,584.73	108	24.1%26 W · 82 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	18c	3,217$568 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,648.77	574	20.9%120 W · 454 L	+9.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	42c	3,216$1,362 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,854.11	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	15c	3,167$489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,678.35	879	17.2%151 W · 728 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcfb5…0d6abacked Yes	45c	3,138$1,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,737.81	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+54.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	44c	3,078$1,357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,721.23	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	15c	3,000$451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,549	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d3…8e8fbacked Yes	12c	3,000$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,629.98	131	16.8%22 W · 109 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+57.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	13c	2,807$373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,434.16	266	19.5%52 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	17c	2,707$468 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,238.21	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes	27c	2,683$733 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,949.5	238	19.3%46 W · 192 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-25%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes	14c	2,636$382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,254.35	80	6.3%5 W · 75 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5808…0b74backed Yes	19c	2,636$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,136.85	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	15c	2,606$393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,212.91	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22e9…8dd0backed Yes	58c	2,592$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,092.37	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	59c	2,551$1,508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,507.56	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	26c	2,502$648 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,853.46	563	29.8%168 W · 395 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	17c	2,420$415 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,005.54	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ccd…5330backed Yes	66c	2,318$1,528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$790.29	190	20.5%39 W · 151 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x201a…66a8backed Yes	35c	2,299$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,499.14	201	29.4%59 W · 142 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…bf4dbacked Yes	30c	2,237$664 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,572.92	100	15%15 W · 85 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d50…c26bbacked Yes	9c	2,209$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,018.05	114	16.7%19 W · 95 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9dc…6900backed Yes	16c	2,191$351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,839.58	40	17.5%7 W · 33 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-29%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Yes	13c	2,147$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,866.91	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	74c	2,131$1,579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,579.13	542	74.9%406 W · 136 L	+34.0wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x25c2…08c7backed Yes	7c	2,124$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,985.18	86	19.8%17 W · 69 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94e8…b626backed No	2c	2,120$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6f9…fd9dbacked Yes	17c	2,118$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,757.65	47	14.9%7 W · 40 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	9c	2,100$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,910.14	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	15c	2,089$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,769.04	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	17c	2,087$365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,722.42	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	13c	2,000$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,745	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,940	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b7f…0380backed Yes	10c	2,000$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,799.99	36	13.9%5 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e6d…2b09backed Yes	65c	1,999$1,291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$707.53	250	23.2%58 W · 192 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2969…661fbacked Yes	29c	1,762$513 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,248.39	38	21.1%8 W · 30 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	78c	1,756$1,376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,375.82	315	65.1%205 W · 110 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25f9…45abbacked Yes	19c	1,686$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,366.01	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.32per pick	18cpaid	+163.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xacfb…ac3ebacked Yes	35c	1,659$576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,082.57	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	24c	1,639$397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,242.2	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8325…f409backed Yes	35c	1,637$571 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,066.78	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ce…12fdbacked Yes	17c	1,623$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,347.52	135	17.8%24 W · 111 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c6…0ea8backed Yes	35c	1,616$559 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,056.78	62	24.2%15 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc6…0f6abacked Yes	12c	1,608$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,408.42	89	18%16 W · 73 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	11c	1,608$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,428.65	882	10.3%91 W · 791 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…dff7backed Yes	17c	1,580$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,317	130	23.1%30 W · 100 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	12c	1,569$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,380.72	350	24%84 W · 266 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a0…7e4fbacked Yes	20c	1,506$298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,207.81	133	18%24 W · 109 L	-7.7wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x387c…2423backed Yes	47c	1,500$704 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$796.41	176	28.4%50 W · 126 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	8c	1,500$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,381	413	10.7%44 W · 369 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x466b…f89bbacked Yes	63c	1,486$931 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$554.39	40	30%12 W · 28 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	9c	1,479$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,352.56	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7302…d50abacked Yes	20c	1,444$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,159.89	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.31per pick	19cpaid	+153.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b1…a351backed Yes	21c	1,438$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,138.67	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.38per pick	12cpaid	+140%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f3…098fbacked Yes	21c	1,352$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,062.78	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	20cpaid	+133.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	11c	1,300$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,151.4	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	20c	1,300$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,043.98	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66f0…ac16backed Yes	12c	1,276$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,129.25	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec87…47cebacked Yes	40c	1,244$504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$740.31	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+3.8wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	19c	1,230$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$996.33	630	21.7%137 W · 493 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event