Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d41b8120b142948fbfeb4ef959bcda99156a543acf617fc372c612883b9ba77

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $294,800

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $294,800 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	0c	42,978$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.69	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x907d…20c4backed Yes	0c	11,687$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.38	71	0%0 W · 71 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.22per pick	6cpaid	+109.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	4c	9,859$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.6	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	8,972$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.61	328	1.2%4 W · 324 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	6c	8,873$553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$552.51	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	8c	6,387$516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$516.11	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes	1c	6,187$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.28	93	2.2%2 W · 91 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	9c	5,000$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.92	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	1c	4,500$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.5	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	6c	4,500$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.96	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	3c	4,076$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.97	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	0c	4,075$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54de…d617backed Yes	4c	4,000$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7df…7f82backed Yes	9c	3,838$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.64	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e99…72a0backed Yes	3c	3,531$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	145	7.6%11 W · 134 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes	6c	2,911$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.06	80	6.3%5 W · 75 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	11c	2,885$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	266	19.5%52 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	7c	2,850$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.91	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf111…2a81backed Yes	1c	2,735$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.35	88	5.7%5 W · 83 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	2c	2,527$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.94	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	5c	2,483$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.88	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	2c	2,051$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.44	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	6c	2,040$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.24	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes	7c	2,000$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	226	10.6%24 W · 202 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	2c	2,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc99e…3853backed Yes	2c	1,990$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.01	197	22.8%45 W · 152 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	2c	1,846$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.19	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	5c	1,838$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.23	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	4c	1,626$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.07	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ec4…bfe9backed Yes	1c	1,575$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.66	165	6.7%11 W · 154 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	10c	1,556$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.44	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Yes	1c	1,546$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.67	143	8.4%12 W · 131 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf804…8028backed Yes	2c	1,500$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.94	37	10.8%4 W · 33 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	1,384$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.3	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8402…bfa4backed Yes	8c	1,305$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	2c	1,292$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5464…ce87backed Yes	10c	1,282$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.69	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-2.5wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	6c	1,215$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.88	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46a5…64ffbacked Yes	8c	1,208$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	6c	1,115$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.97	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	11c	1,102$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.55	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	5c	1,101$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.78	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfdd1…1829backed Yes	6c	1,055$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.81	84	9.5%8 W · 76 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	3c	1,050$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.35	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Yes	5c	1,035$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	73	19.2%14 W · 59 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	5c	1,020$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.84	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…f604backed Yes	2c	1,005$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	69	34.8%24 W · 45 L	-4.4wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e0b…8003backed Yes	6c	1,000$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50bd…d20fbacked Yes	9c	999.99$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	99	11.1%11 W · 88 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Yes	12c	999.98$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ea0…f0dabacked Yes	11c	999.83$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.62	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	27cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x214d…325bbacked Yes	11c	884.02$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+52.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	7c	853.14$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.11	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2dd…1db4backed Yes	6c	849.52$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.45	160	9.4%15 W · 145 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	4c	768.92$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.45	398	6.8%27 W · 371 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd832…19b7backed Yes	3c	750$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.65	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc816…4b74backed Yes	10c	741.24$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.6	46	17.4%8 W · 38 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+36.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9db8…dedebacked Yes	13c	718.42$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.55	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes	4c	711.16$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.96	118	5.9%7 W · 111 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x666a…4bf0backed Yes	7c	700$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	181	7.7%14 W · 167 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	4c	700$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa43…d992backed Yes	11c	651.78$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	134	8.2%11 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes	3c	644.06$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.96	176	5.1%9 W · 167 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	-19%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x338b…5827backed Yes	3c	640$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.64	296	10.5%31 W · 265 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72ac…2ef7backed Yes	9c	620$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.7	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	7c	601.64$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.16	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2497…a8f7backed Yes	10c	600$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.4	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x366c…5078backed Yes	5c	600$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.6	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c9c…6824backed Yes	2c	600$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	75	6.7%5 W · 70 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8c3d…8d58backed Yes	8c	599.99$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.4	36	8.3%3 W · 33 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x55e9…dad7backed Yes	4c	582.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-74.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a93…c89abacked Yes	10c	539.43$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	57	8.8%5 W · 52 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x201a…3418backed Yes	3c	526.12$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	73	13.7%10 W · 63 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	5c	508.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.45	175	6.9%12 W · 163 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+45.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb4b…5166backed Yes	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	44	6.8%3 W · 41 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-70.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76f3…ae51backed Yes	11c	500$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+73.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	9c	500$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.5	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes	5c	499.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	97	28.9%28 W · 69 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99c9…1f65backed Yes	6c	499.69$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.88	31	9.7%3 W · 28 L	-2.9wins	-0.09per pick	19cpaid	-60.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8d4…2ad9backed Yes	4c	476.74$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.11	141	29.1%41 W · 100 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	9c	466.88$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.06	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9940…834cbacked Yes	4c	450$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.55	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58cd…775abacked Yes	13c	449.71$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	386	14.2%55 W · 331 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcadc…4285backed Yes	9c	427.49$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	97	28.9%28 W · 69 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	10c	416.51$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd06…4f1bbacked Yes	9c	406.84$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.12	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-84.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2347…5adfbacked Yes	13c	398.57$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Yes	3c	384.62$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	59	15.3%9 W · 50 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-57.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a6…9783backed Yes	13c	378.03$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3636…34c4backed Yes	4c	360$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	43	7%3 W · 40 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e9e…7883backed Yes	5c	351.67$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.2	70	10%7 W · 63 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7187…4859backed Yes	9c	329.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	233	14.2%33 W · 200 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b46…f2f5backed Yes	11c	328.38$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	43	25.6%11 W · 32 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf167…ce49backed Yes	8c	322.72$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-65.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b54…2d32backed Yes	8c	321.9$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	59	32.2%19 W · 40 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9825…ae12backed Yes	7c	305.14$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	19cpaid	-69.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda26…2631backed Yes	10c	303.62$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.6	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69e3…0078backed Yes	7c	303.03$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-66.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe95c…c1e1backed Yes	5c	300$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event