Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8537a983f954d1905b775dd1e14aa3954c5a7f6e5211de83d81350ca7e1b5781

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $770,254

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $770,254 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 672 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe492…5f31backed Yes	26c	66,565$17,373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,373.47	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	6c	24,745$1,526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,526.26	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a8f…c314backed No	74c	22,672$16,755 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,917.39	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+35.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7dc…bb11backed No	74c	22,058$16,301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,757.14	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+35.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89dd…b211backed No	74c	21,835$16,136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,698.93	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+35.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	3c	20,593$703 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$702.76	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefdc…e19ebacked Yes	31c	18,054$5,546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,546.16	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	9c	14,908$1,275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,275.02	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	15c	13,442$2,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,037.74	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	10c	12,475$1,216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,215.72	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x907d…20c4backed Yes	0c	11,687$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.37	71	0%0 W · 71 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	6c	10,153$608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$608.15	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	7c	10,036$668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$668.01	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a58…7e08backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	140	9.3%13 W · 127 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+642.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed Yes	0c	10,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	16c	9,708$1,571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,570.97	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ca6…0ae3backed Yes	0c	9,000$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	189	39.2%74 W · 115 L	+15.8wins	+0.08per pick	31cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	24c	8,581$2,101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,100.88	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x801c…a025backed Yes	13c	7,951$1,068 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,067.56	52	11.5%6 W · 46 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc77…0644backed Yes	3c	7,250$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	5c	7,239$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.82	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b3c…1a17backed Yes	1c	6,482$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.34	27	3.7%1 W · 26 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-90.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	5c	6,230$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.3	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes	12c	6,162$743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$742.61	80	6.3%5 W · 75 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	9c	6,000$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$521.95	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	21c	5,920$1,258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,257.53	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ee…6b9bbacked Yes	17c	5,725$953 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$953	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdba…e7a2backed Yes	11c	5,597$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	46	8.7%4 W · 42 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	+67.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	21c	5,425$1,141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,140.58	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	11c	5,170$565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$565	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe699…8123backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	3c	5,000$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfee2…6580backed Yes	9c	4,949$459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$458.52	210	28.6%60 W · 150 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	7c	4,863$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.92	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	22c	4,695$1,027 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,026.6	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	19c	4,619$873 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$872.96	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	4c	4,500$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	1c	4,479$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.16	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa14d…2563backed Yes	16c	4,471$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699.72	145	15.9%23 W · 122 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	15c	4,085$624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$624.28	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	11c	4,000$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.99	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	5c	4,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	2c	4,000$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.99	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…f409backed Yes	18c	3,742$666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$666.16	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Yes	7c	3,700$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.53	161	10.6%17 W · 144 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	15c	3,660$562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.08	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46a5…4c03backed Yes	3c	3,620$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb45…7104backed Yes	1c	3,593$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.74	60	38.3%23 W · 37 L	+5.9wins	+0.10per pick	28cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	7c	3,505$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.66	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	10c	3,503$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.44	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe46…8b21backed Yes	4c	3,444$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.53	218	16.1%35 W · 183 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2969…661fbacked Yes	22c	3,367$731 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$731.19	38	21.1%8 W · 30 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	12c	3,321$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.07	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	14c	3,246$447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.19	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	3c	3,100$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.9	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6f9…fd9dbacked Yes	14c	3,065$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.4	47	14.9%7 W · 40 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	8c	2,941$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.35	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6dce…4490backed No	79c	2,918$2,299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$618.55	35	14.3%5 W · 30 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-76.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	7c	2,850$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.84	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	17c	2,792$477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$477.06	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	8c	2,630$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.54	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6496…8e19backed Yes	2c	2,629$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	178	17.4%31 W · 147 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5808…0b74backed Yes	23c	2,509$585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$584.66	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	3c	2,500$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.77	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	6c	2,492$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.62	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2511…5ae9backed Yes	5c	2,473$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.62	65	13.8%9 W · 56 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5afb…d66dbacked Yes	18c	2,300$421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$421.2	97	14.4%14 W · 83 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Yes	6c	2,203$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.2	102	16.7%17 W · 85 L	+6.7wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4143…d67dbacked Yes	1c	2,191$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.53	212	20.3%43 W · 169 L	+13.4wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+610.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a40…599ebacked Yes	3c	2,153$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	142	8.5%12 W · 130 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9db8…dedebacked Yes	22c	2,127$459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459.2	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81b4…45f1backed Yes	22c	2,074$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456.37	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa43…d992backed Yes	8c	2,051$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	134	8.2%11 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8fd…2863backed Yes	14c	2,021$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.9	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	11c	2,008$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.76	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	13c	2,005$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x172b…e2cdbacked Yes	19c	1,975$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380.97	82	36.6%30 W · 52 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	5c	1,934$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec87…47cebacked Yes	19c	1,902$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.49	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+3.8wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1a0…7e4fbacked Yes	21c	1,888$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$397.23	133	18%24 W · 109 L	-7.7wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x260c…4fbcbacked Yes	22c	1,867$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	14c	1,850$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.57	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	7c	1,800$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.61	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	8c	1,796$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.76	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	17c	1,769$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.76	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18b2…24efbacked Yes	14c	1,750$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.78	156	19.2%30 W · 126 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c6…6daabacked Yes	14c	1,740$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.34	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e19…3a62backed Yes	14c	1,700$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.2	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-81.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8e…39b0backed Yes	10c	1,644$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	39	7.7%3 W · 36 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-28%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	77c	1,630$1,255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$375.48	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb56b…28dbbacked Yes	9c	1,629$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	82	19.5%16 W · 66 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fe7…a59bbacked Yes	25c	1,621$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+2.6wins	+0.26per pick	24cpaid	+100.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x14aa…5a82backed Yes	8c	1,608$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.66	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	1c	1,600$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.97	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x304b…57b2backed Yes	2c	1,580$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.7	84	9.5%8 W · 76 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	5cpaid	+105%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ce…12fdbacked Yes	13c	1,549$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	135	17.8%24 W · 111 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	8c	1,530$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.57	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	15c	1,500$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.49	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x366c…5078backed Yes	2c	1,462$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.7	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed41…38afbacked Yes	1c	1,429$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	128	25.8%33 W · 95 L	+7.1wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+50.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event