Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e0361fd867ea7cc5fa9e9b833bc1742df920b55166cdf8e2da9a46eea540c65

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $139,481

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,481 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	0c	28,459$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.12	1,060	8.4%89 W · 971 L	+29.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	3c	8,044$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.77	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	7,584$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.81	328	1.2%4 W · 324 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	6c	7,461$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.93	1,036	11.1%115 W · 921 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xcded…b1ecbacked Yes	0c	5,500$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	28	0%0 W · 28 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e99…72a0backed Yes	1c	5,128$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	145	7.6%11 W · 134 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	7c	4,641$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.2	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	3c	4,493$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.79	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	5c	4,295$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.13	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa9…c4bcbacked Yes	1c	4,000$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	3,864$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.18	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	2c	3,180$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.62	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	5c	2,918$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.88	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	4c	2,775$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.15	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes	4c	2,318$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.58	80	6.3%5 W · 75 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes	1c	2,213$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.79	93	2.2%2 W · 91 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd832…19b7backed Yes	2c	2,118$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.83	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	8c	1,966$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	266	19.5%52 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Yes	1c	1,887$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	143	8.4%12 W · 131 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	1c	1,720$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.22	882	10.3%91 W · 791 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	3c	1,547$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.03	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	5c	1,540$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.09	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	1c	1,500$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf804…8028backed Yes	1c	1,500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	37	10.8%4 W · 33 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	4c	1,480$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.49	630	21.7%137 W · 493 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	7c	1,423$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.87	876	18.4%161 W · 715 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	5c	1,330$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.06	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ff5…50eabacked Yes	4c	1,313$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.05	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	2c	1,300$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.2	1,040	13.7%142 W · 898 L	+38.1wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	2c	1,275$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.96	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x201a…3418backed Yes	1c	1,253$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	73	13.7%10 W · 63 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8402…bfa4backed Yes	8c	1,197$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe95c…c1e1backed Yes	7c	1,133$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	7c	1,117$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.38	413	10.7%44 W · 369 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes	2c	1,085$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.02	176	5.1%9 W · 167 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	-19%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	3c	1,012$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.82	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…f604backed Yes	1c	1,007$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	69	34.8%24 W · 45 L	-4.4wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x50bd…d20fbacked Yes	9c	999.99$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	99	11.1%11 W · 88 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	6c	953.46$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.88	574	20.9%120 W · 454 L	+9.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	6c	934.67$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.93	879	17.2%151 W · 728 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes	1c	928.5$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.36	118	5.9%7 W · 111 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	5c	910.15$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	558	8.2%46 W · 512 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3636…34c4backed Yes	4c	859.37$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.23	43	7%3 W · 40 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ec4…bfe9backed Yes	4c	722.1$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.22	165	6.7%11 W · 154 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2dd…1db4backed Yes	9c	714.8$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.96	160	9.4%15 W · 145 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc99e…3853backed Yes	2c	700$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	197	22.8%45 W · 152 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8164…0813backed Yes	4c	700$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.8	277	7.9%22 W · 255 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x666a…4bf0backed Yes	3c	700$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	181	7.7%14 W · 167 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c40…af19backed Yes	2c	699$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.38	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36cb…63d0backed Yes	6c	692.84$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.8	281	11%31 W · 250 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5464…ce87backed Yes	9c	659.34$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-2.5wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd1f…8191backed Yes	7c	631.09$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.38	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	16cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	5c	617.64$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.38	398	6.8%27 W · 371 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ada…e527backed Yes	2c	608.59$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.61	24	4.2%1 W · 23 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-76.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x366c…5078backed Yes	4c	600$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.8	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x117f…4a20backed Yes	8c	600$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	68	8.8%6 W · 62 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+70.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a6…9783backed Yes	9c	577.54$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a93…c89abacked Yes	6c	514.47$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	57	8.8%5 W · 52 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99c9…1f65backed Yes	6c	500$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.37	31	9.7%3 W · 28 L	-2.9wins	-0.09per pick	19cpaid	-60.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes	4c	500$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	97	28.9%28 W · 69 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76f3…ae51backed Yes	8c	500$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.3	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+73.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9873…c59ebacked Yes	6c	493.83$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	3c	473.96$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.43	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda64…b94cbacked Yes	4c	465.12$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	137	18.2%25 W · 112 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8d4…2ad9backed Yes	3c	449.56$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.92	141	29.1%41 W · 100 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	3c	400$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3d…5047backed Yes	4c	385.06$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.11	156	5.8%9 W · 147 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+58%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xcadc…4285backed Yes	8c	379.5$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.72	97	28.9%28 W · 69 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	6c	378.47$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.81	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	9c	349.56$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cea…a932backed Yes	8c	336.1$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.15	89	25.8%23 W · 66 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20b…d71cbacked Yes	7c	317.48$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.15	38	5.3%2 W · 36 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	5c	315.1$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.6	175	6.9%12 W · 163 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+45.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1efe…ac77backed Yes	9c	307.23$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.31	99	10.1%10 W · 89 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3cb…ef82backed Yes	4c	305.71$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.23	89	16.9%15 W · 74 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+85.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1740…d7c0backed Yes	5c	300$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2631…7e48backed Yes	9c	300$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f5…f796backed Yes	7c	276.34$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.51	94	12.8%12 W · 82 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…599ebacked Yes	5c	270.38$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	142	8.5%12 W · 130 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28db…1f83backed Yes	8c	257.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6782…7e65backed Yes	8c	238.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x503f…9cc5backed Yes	6c	230.5$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd68b…fa13backed Yes	7c	214.29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	44	4.5%2 W · 42 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x881a…ccccbacked Yes	8c	212.62$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.54	132	35.6%47 W · 85 L	+10.5wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd97f…7813backed Yes	9c	211.69$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.55	159	28.3%45 W · 114 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x611b…9b3dbacked Yes	7c	205.95$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	+39.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc14f…0ee1backed Yes	7c	200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	160	13.8%22 W · 138 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7187…4859backed Yes	7c	200$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.6	233	14.2%33 W · 200 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93c4…998ebacked Yes	8c	200$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.6	30	13.3%4 W · 26 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0617…3070backed Yes	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	152	12.5%19 W · 133 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6900…a745backed Yes	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	34	23.5%8 W · 26 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda26…2631backed Yes	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.65	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4cf…ecbfbacked Yes	9c	200$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.4	32	12.5%4 W · 28 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60e1…f445backed Yes	8c	187.1$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	10c	186.7$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.67	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	7c	168.51$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.24	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c9…bf73backed Yes	6c	164.97$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b46…f2f5backed Yes	9c	164.84$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	43	25.6%11 W · 32 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event