Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9bee7da275aa77d2ab7c421daadec4a2270073ed450d23a70b30b926c36308a

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $309,560

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $309,560 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1e71…01bfbacked Yes	0c	27,689$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.29	72	11.1%8 W · 64 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f2…6534backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa128…541ebacked Yes	1c	15,390$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.89	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+127.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	12,253$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.54	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	6c	11,616$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$689.95	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d50…c26bbacked Yes	1c	10,490$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.65	114	16.7%19 W · 95 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	5c	10,001$507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e63…e35cbacked Yes	0c	10,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Yes	0c	9,851$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.55	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.22per pick	6cpaid	+109.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	9c	8,577$789 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$788.88	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	9c	8,048$721 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720.69	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45b1…fa5fbacked Yes	0c	6,305$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	1c	5,361$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.68	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	10c	5,000$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.78	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	8c	5,000$398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.17	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	0c	4,657$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.56	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	7c	4,500$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.37	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…dff7backed Yes	6c	4,116$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.66	130	23.1%30 W · 100 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	3c	4,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7df…7f82backed Yes	15c	3,340$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	10c	3,271$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.74	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	5c	3,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	6c	2,906$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.84	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	5c	2,862$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.27	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c3d…8d58backed Yes	12c	2,809$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.9	36	8.3%3 W · 33 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3247…4254backed Yes	4c	2,500$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	79	13.9%11 W · 68 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	1c	2,500$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Yes	14c	2,412$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.9	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes	6c	2,380$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.39	80	6.3%5 W · 75 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8402…bfa4backed Yes	11c	2,315$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf10…8e43backed Yes	9c	2,302$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.19per pick	10cpaid	+237.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	6c	2,290$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.21	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5273…16debacked Yes	9c	2,200$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd702…9694backed Yes	8c	2,180$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.8	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	2c	2,177$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.31	272	7%19 W · 253 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54de…d617backed Yes	12c	2,173$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.81	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	4c	2,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	4c	1,950$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.25	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	4c	1,887$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.11	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Yes	3c	1,832$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	73	19.2%14 W · 59 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e99…72a0backed Yes	6c	1,690$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	145	7.6%11 W · 134 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	3c	1,689$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.1	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	4c	1,600$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.7	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfdd1…1829backed Yes	5c	1,562$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.34	84	9.5%8 W · 76 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x801c…a025backed Yes	16c	1,500$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.47	52	11.5%6 W · 46 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	12c	1,500$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	11c	1,500$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.07	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf06d…26f7backed Yes	4c	1,390$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.7	110	11.8%13 W · 97 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes	7c	1,355$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.85	123	8.9%11 W · 112 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+54%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30e2…77e1backed Yes	15c	1,300$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	86	30.2%26 W · 60 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2d3…a1a2backed Yes	6c	1,300$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.2	37	0%0 W · 37 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xafbb…9213backed Yes	11c	1,266$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	+2.6wins	+0.12per pick	26cpaid	+118.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	8c	1,263$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.83	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	8c	1,223$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.57	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	8c	1,209$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.26	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	3c	1,117$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8815…438dbacked Yes	12c	1,112$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.44	56	19.6%11 W · 45 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e7cbacked Yes	13c	1,039$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.8	29	13.8%4 W · 25 L	-3.1wins	-0.11per pick	25cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x58cd…775abacked Yes	9c	1,022$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	386	14.2%55 W · 331 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50bd…d20fbacked Yes	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	99	11.1%11 W · 88 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…f604backed Yes	7c	1,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	69	34.8%24 W · 45 L	-4.4wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	2c	1,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.92	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	6c	999.93$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e1b…fd78backed Yes	2c	966.3$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e27…e360backed Yes	7c	959.98$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2fdc…2e26backed Yes	11c	909.96$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.1	43	16.3%7 W · 36 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc6…0f6abacked Yes	11c	905.72$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	89	18%16 W · 73 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2dd…1db4backed Yes	11c	905.03$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.95	160	9.4%15 W · 145 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Yes	5c	896.55$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.85	68	19.1%13 W · 55 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb34…2b09backed Yes	12c	864.47$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	36	13.9%5 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c7…c3e8backed Yes	9c	833.33$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes	8c	799.98$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	97	28.9%28 W · 69 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e0b…8003backed Yes	8c	750$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	7c	744.92$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	266	19.5%52 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0489…ddf7backed Yes	11c	719$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.09	199	27.6%55 W · 144 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46a5…64ffbacked Yes	14c	704.14$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	4c	700.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.23	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes	11c	700.26$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	179	19%34 W · 145 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x666a…4bf0backed Yes	7c	700$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	181	7.7%14 W · 167 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes	15c	670.99$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.65	267	22.8%61 W · 206 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	10c	651.42$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc99e…3853backed Yes	7c	633.33$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	197	22.8%45 W · 152 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa43…d992backed Yes	14c	603.96$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.56	134	8.2%11 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x542f…916abacked Yes	14c	600$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf387…5414backed Yes	12c	583.33$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	19cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3db2…be55backed Yes	5c	557.74$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	58	22.4%13 W · 45 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	8c	523.09$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.85	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca28…ceb2backed Yes	2c	514.69$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	9c	504.28$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.39	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc9…ba61backed Yes	5c	504$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.71	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	6c	503.59$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	9c	500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes	7c	500$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.5	238	19.3%46 W · 192 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-25%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb4b…5166backed Yes	8c	500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	44	6.8%3 W · 41 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-70.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabc2…cbadbacked Yes	14c	500$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	78	26.9%21 W · 57 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99c9…1f65backed Yes	11c	500$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	31	9.7%3 W · 28 L	-2.9wins	-0.09per pick	19cpaid	-60.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc429…bec8backed Yes	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a0…7e4fbacked Yes	12c	500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	133	18%24 W · 109 L	-7.7wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event