Middle East · resolved market
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9049d96597900ba0f3013604dc7adc3dd6e7e4764c5a0c16318605c40ac1ee96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $781,907
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $781,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $781,907 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 924 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…4597backed No | 41c | 36,292$14,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,778.92 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +18.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 47c | 32,179$15,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,261.85 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b01…d086backed Yes | 59c | 20,597$12,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,357.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…f59cbacked Yes | 48c | 20,163$9,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,458.68 | 255 | 18%46 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd76a…79acbacked Yes | 48c | 17,249$8,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,001.85 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed No | 55c | 12,000$6,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,628.72 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…13a7backed Yes | 56c | 11,890$6,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,286.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0133…64bcbacked Yes | 39c | 9,733$3,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,982.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +98.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 58c | 9,593$5,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,983.12 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…99c0backed No | 45c | 9,238$4,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,146.24 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed No | 73c | 8,788$6,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,397.71 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bc…026cbacked Yes | 69c | 8,745$6,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,691.76 | 99 | 30.3%30 W · 69 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95fd…7e04backed Yes | 47c | 7,929$3,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,236.89 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.32per pick | 15cpaid | +186%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…ce2fbacked Yes | 66c | 7,748$5,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,631.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf90…41f0backed Yes | 38c | 6,733$2,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,172.15 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 1c | 6,610$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.77 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…49edbacked No | 61c | 6,189$3,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,764.17 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a3…9447backed Yes | 68c | 5,962$4,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa022…77f8backed No | 62c | 5,903$3,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,657.45 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaa…51dfbacked Yes | 55c | 5,750$3,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.5 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | +9.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef17…e3fbbacked Yes | 75c | 5,403$4,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 60c | 5,386$3,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,227.79 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…f295backed Yes | 57c | 5,256$2,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,267.9 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked No | 43c | 4,851$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.67 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 4,810$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.75 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 36c | 4,800$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.59 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb31…0b4fbacked Yes | 63c | 4,684$2,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.5 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…084ebacked No | 34c | 4,500$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.48 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 32c | 4,495$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.67 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…f147backed Yes | 34c | 4,308$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,844.02 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…7640backed Yes | 34c | 3,818$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,523.95 | 206 | 17%35 W · 171 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 25c | 3,679$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.87 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 68c | 3,599$2,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,442.42 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed No | 41c | 3,545$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.57 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 31c | 3,522$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.63 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 51c | 3,472$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.39 | 341 | 43.4%148 W · 193 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…51cabacked Yes | 67c | 3,447$2,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.48 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147b…65f5backed Yes | 64c | 3,405$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8f…2c14backed No | 5c | 3,400$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.32 | 112 | 22.3%25 W · 87 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 46c | 3,332$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.82 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…ecb4backed Yes | 56c | 3,305$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.52 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a63…b4efbacked Yes | 43c | 3,295$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.86 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes | 54c | 3,229$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.21 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7a…6875backed Yes | 41c | 3,147$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.54 | 75 | 20%15 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed No | 41c | 3,114$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.37 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebf…5bfabacked No | 54c | 3,018$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.33 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 64c | 2,986$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.24 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8179…2d3fbacked Yes | 62c | 2,906$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 2,870$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.04 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5a…1d35backed Yes | 71c | 2,801$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.09 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 60c | 2,796$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.32 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 12c | 2,738$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.13 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6f…0e5fbacked No | 42c | 2,734$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.99 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed Yes | 74c | 2,708$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.67 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 36c | 2,572$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.74 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed No | 63c | 2,558$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked No | 30c | 2,531$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.19 | 117 | 28.2%33 W · 84 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes | 54c | 2,474$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.92 | 284 | 38.7%110 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed5a…c744backed Yes | 68c | 2,469$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.92 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c4…4c8bbacked Yes | 55c | 2,386$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.36 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…324dbacked No | 41c | 2,384$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.75 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +161.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Yes | 63c | 2,372$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.72 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed No | 41c | 2,368$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.26 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +11.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9a…33a1backed No | 41c | 2,355$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 27c | 2,339$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.49 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed No | 55c | 2,308$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.95 | 241 | 49.4%119 W · 122 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x830b…0a93backed Yes | 66c | 2,277$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.07 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +7.9wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x72c9…3779backed Yes | 58c | 2,259$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.82 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…b919backed Yes | 61c | 2,248$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.49 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb6…34e5backed Yes | 58c | 2,244$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…a495backed No | 46c | 2,175$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.73 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfef4…d202backed Yes | 57c | 2,168$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.94 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…5b06backed Yes | 55c | 2,133$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a0…866ebacked Yes | 43c | 2,087$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.64 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 51c | 2,030$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.06 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x517b…be02backed Yes | 39c | 2,025$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.72 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 67c | 2,000$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.4 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…6feebacked Yes | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed No | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…7bb2backed No | 1c | 2,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…355ebacked No | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.99 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e52…98fbbacked Yes | 57c | 1,931$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.35 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 57c | 1,929$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.13 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 39c | 1,843$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.73 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97d…3874backed No | 15c | 1,815$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed Yes | 77c | 1,814$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.02 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf829…e771backed Yes | 64c | 1,809$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.94 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd23a…5fa9backed Yes | 63c | 1,800$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x448b…c94abacked Yes | 71c | 1,795$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.94 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x809b…22a7backed No | 4c | 1,782$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 4c | 1,769$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79a8…bb66backed No | 25c | 1,755$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.61 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd2…aafebacked Yes | 69c | 1,746$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf75…65cbbacked Yes | 43c | 1,721$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd25f…b6e1backed Yes | 22c | 1,720$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +91%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4a…c3b0backed Yes | 47c | 1,706$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.48 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x770d…29c7backed Yes | 52c | 1,670$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 39c | 1,624$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.73 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a1…2f95backed No | 36c | 1,600$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.39 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3df…03a3backed Yes | 49c | 1,596$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.