TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc662…b919

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
214
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT14854.1%80 W · 68 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 148 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,477Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+139.7%+$2,064.05
Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.38
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$213.98
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$922Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$327.99
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.75
Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.81
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.85
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$593Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+101.5%+$601.83
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$577Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$577.4
Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.2
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.76
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.99
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,215Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,604.04
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.33
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$237
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$165
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$29.76
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$335
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+51.6%+$34.03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+201.7%+$34.55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+525.5%+$662.86
Showing 25 of 148 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick23cpaid-13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$484.83
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$5,067Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$2,186.63
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+580.3%+$290.02
Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+240.2%+$211.8
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$7,188Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$2,750.28
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.6
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.45
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.6
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$479.1
World Cup: Ronaldo to Score 2+ Penalties?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,395Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$688.96
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$140
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.9
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.23
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$163.16
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA: LeBron to Sign With Former Team?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$589Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$411
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$744Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+129.1%+$960.59
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+100.6%+$350.99
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5backed Under 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$52.95
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$941Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$820.94
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 11 picks, newest first.
Commoditieslast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $83 on August 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,151Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,150.74
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.86
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$184
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,109.09
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.6%+$21.39
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+24.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-34.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-56.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$413.29
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$60
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025-26 Euroleague?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.35
Will Fenerbahçe Beko win the 2025-26 Euroleague?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ebola case in the US by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wuning 2: Alastair Gray vs Alexandr Bindabacked Alastair Gray · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.