Middle East · resolved market
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa35a18c907d5e2d37a3ac5f0a182c1430fc86ab025154f4e30ce0316c412e31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed Yes | 76c | 3,465$2,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.8 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 43c | 3,431$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.16 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 3c | 2,951$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.6 | 221 | 7.2%16 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32b…626ebacked No | 25c | 2,640$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 26c | 2,459$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.33 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…1077backed Yes | 51c | 1,620$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…f1b1backed Yes | 80c | 1,198$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.98 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…b919backed Yes | 50c | 1,195$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.83 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 19c | 1,099$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.74 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 21c | 952$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 156 | 25%39 W · 117 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7c…93b2backed No | 17c | 920.31$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.3 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 26c | 894.16$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.93 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +16.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x110f…23c9backed No | 11c | 890.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 4c | 814$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf90…41f0backed No | 11c | 783.21$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.4 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6aa…178ebacked No | 51c | 700$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8257…da02backed No | 36c | 644.09$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.76 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 17c | 619.1$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.01 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e1…fcc4backed No | 17c | 605.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 12c | 520$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.52 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x329f…81b4backed No | 16c | 501.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 45c | 500$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.72 | 341 | 43.4%148 W · 193 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…dbbfbacked No | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 17c | 467.82$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.78 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…532cbacked No | 3c | 459.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0745…4a1bbacked No | 12c | 429.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 39c | 403.84$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +19.6wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 10c | 401.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked Yes | 78c | 302$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 216 | 31.9%69 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 11c | 276.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.87 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +9.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 55c | 273.23$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.54 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…f605backed No | 20c | 247.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +180.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ba…4cedbacked No | 41c | 241.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.37per pick | 59cpaid | -68%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 35c | 219.04$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.66 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb477…673ebacked No | 62c | 217.74$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc55…b21dbacked Yes | 28c | 213.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.02 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2940…304cbacked No | 22c | 203.88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 161 | 31.7%51 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3007…763abacked No | 62c | 194.44$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 46c | 183.2$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.93 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccf…f061backed No | 11c | 174.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf143…4ef2backed Yes | 75c | 164.93$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.23 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 66c | 164.44$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…9f3abacked No | 11c | 163.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b49…2e46backed Yes | 75c | 162.6$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 72c | 156.99$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 181 | 35.9%65 W · 116 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…153bbacked No | 13c | 155.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 7c | 154.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | +12.1wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6384backed No | 14c | 150.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x130c…6eaebacked No | 26c | 139.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f48…273dbacked No | 12c | 137.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc250…4fafbacked No | 26c | 114.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd58a…5448backed No | 13c | 102.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…c93dbacked No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…527cbacked No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1aab…6c6fbacked No | 23c | 98.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed No | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…a6edbacked No | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3d…2ff5backed No | 59c | 80$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…0b73backed Yes | 69c | 79.1$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 58c | 78.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 73c | 78.13$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4079…7126backed No | 68c | 74.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x149f…d306backed Yes | 67c | 74.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Yes | 73c | 73.04$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 43c | 71.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1743…2e41backed No | 16c | 63.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes | 78c | 63.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc4…be57backed No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 77c | 57.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 74c | 54.66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 99 | 81.8%81 W · 18 L | +9.7wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64d8…daeabacked No | 21c | 53.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.32per pick | 33cpaid | +166.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…74ecbacked No | 22c | 47.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 114 | 32.5%37 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…131ebacked Yes | 67c | 47.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e3…9208backed Yes | 75c | 46.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…01c0backed Yes | 72c | 45.68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +82%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…c7bdbacked Yes | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d8…af42backed Yes | 75c | 35.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…9188backed Yes | 61c | 32.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f0…0451backed Yes | 77c | 32.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b78…46f3backed Yes | 78c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bd…f03ebacked Yes | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff9…f85dbacked No | 70c | 28.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…3d0fbacked Yes | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07bb…fccabacked Yes | 75c | 27.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b64…8440backed Yes | 64c | 26.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5a…02eabacked Yes | 79c | 24.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc4…4347backed Yes | 65c | 23.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 58c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 68c | 22.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 366 | 26.8%98 W · 268 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…35f0backed Yes | 58c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc935…74cfbacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd064…c4d1backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…cc69backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…82ecbacked Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…967cbacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…d1f0backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd20…6159backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d77…523fbacked Yes | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?this page
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?No won
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 13, 2026?No won
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?Yes won
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 15, 2026?Yes won
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 16, 2026?Yes won
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.