TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfc55…b21d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
123
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Stocks at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT3863.2%24 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,291Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,290.6
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$47
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,473Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$627
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$84.6
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+257.6%+$154.02
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,649Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,649.15
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+121.3%+$415.62
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$155.99
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$64
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.97
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$72
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.58
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,427Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$1,002.82
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$507Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$153.11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,078Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,078
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$160
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$371
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,358Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,357.61
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$528
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+29%+$180
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,034Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$286
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$822Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$381.16
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Commoditieslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.5
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$302.86
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$53.8
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$902Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$497.78
Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$419.32
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.27
Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$22.87
Will 175-199 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.46
Will 200-224 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.86
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$92.15
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$196
Will Silver (SI) settle at $90-$100 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Silver (SI) settle at $100-$115 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.55
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$18.6
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$303
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+25%+$6
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2450%12 W · 12 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-27.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Stocks — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$654Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$346
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.18
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 on May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.92
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 11 above $425?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.99
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 11 above $435?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.5
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 11 above $430?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.5
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 11 above $420?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$32.31
Will Google reach $375 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$10.62
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $205 on March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.93
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $185 on March 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$19.74
Will Meta dip to $600 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+35%+$33.13
Will Meta dip to $620 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+32.4%+$39.13
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of February 23 above $137?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$84.75
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$48.09
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of February 2 above $146?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$53.54
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+95.2%+$71.88
Will Meta (META) close above $660 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+37.6%+$8.2
Will Meta (META) close above $640 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+32.5%+$44.1
Will Meta (META) close above $720 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $330 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+32.5%+$28.7
All 24 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick69cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Consolidated Edison (ED) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+26.6%+$10.63
Will Caesars Entertainment (CZR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.6
Will Waystar (WAY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Roblox (RBLX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+58.7%+$14.8
Will Tradeweb Markets (TW) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+44.3%+$21.5
Will Uber Technologies (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20.2
Will Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Will Tyson Foods (TSN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5.5
Will Walt Disney Co (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.3
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-59%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$171.44
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$210
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$216
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,264Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$335.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$37.46
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$98.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+39.2%+$30.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,749Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$2,151
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.