Earnings · resolved market
Will Caesars Entertainment (CZR) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb880df1c5c04ef4f33725264754b200d9a813008e8ad6913403ddd047640ddbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x586f…ce5dbacked Yes | 28c | 907.68$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked No | 72c | 648.39$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.59 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed Yes | 24c | 249.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 306 | 15%46 W · 260 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed No | 74c | 234.61$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.68 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…7690backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93e0…a8d4backed Yes | 26c | 185.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 27c | 185.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed Yes | 29c | 173.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ae…ae32backed Yes | 26c | 169.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 107 | 21.5%23 W · 84 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 66c | 168.41$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.85 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 72c | 158.05$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbba4…1d36backed Yes | 28c | 153.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 27c | 148.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 464 | 14.2%66 W · 398 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cc…8072backed No | 52c | 132.08$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.41 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614e…0d8cbacked Yes | 39c | 128.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 27c | 124.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 316 | 29.4%93 W · 223 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 23c | 113.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 676 | 42.9%290 W · 386 L | -36.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f1…790bbacked No | 72c | 107.87$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…c75abacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a4…5593backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08f8…0e43backed No | 78c | 99.46$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6b…0ad4backed Yes | 26c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 73 | 20.5%15 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 28c | 89.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a7…3b81backed No | 75c | 85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked No | 75c | 85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yes | 28c | 80.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…7ddebacked Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 26c | 65.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 582 | 39%227 W · 355 L | -25.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 26c | 65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…7c81backed No | 77c | 64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed No | 72c | 59.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…9024backed No | 66c | 58.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…a264backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ff…23bebacked No | 74c | 53.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 75c | 52.45$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea3a…f78ebacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…4419backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x878d…1a9bbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a7…9f02backed No | 69c | 43.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 24c | 42.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 55c | 42.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 473 | 38.5%182 W · 291 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520c…c42dbacked No | 74c | 40.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 28c | 40.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 85 | 16.5%14 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01b0…0319backed No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ff…afbebacked Yes | 32c | 34.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf5…5afabacked No | 77c | 31.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f34…94d0backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…0f0ebacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 67c | 29.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 768 | 37.4%287 W · 481 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b52…589abacked No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc121…e0c3backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 64cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe9…17acbacked Yes | 42c | 25.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c49…1d27backed No | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc55…b21dbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a0…8b02backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…a516backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1756…c84dbacked No | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…6789backed No | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x909c…4725backed No | 77c | 13.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.