TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7b52…589a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Middle East, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 60 out of 100; worst Weather at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT2462.5%15 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+53.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+101.6%+$40.66
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+207.4%+$269.57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$48.95
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+184.9%+$203.43
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.99
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+169.1%+$23.27
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+208.1%+$124.87
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$55.2
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+111%+$111.05
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+175.5%+$105.28
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+514.2%+$102.83
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$77.77
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$9.12
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$33.45
All 24 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L-4.6wins-0.38per pick47cpaid-88.4%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
Weather — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 76°F or higher on June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.04
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.59
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.49
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.03
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.51
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.88
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.79
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.56
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.8
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.01
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+111.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-56.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+526.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+263.3%+$157.96
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+788.9%+$394.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.61
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.94
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No airdrop in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+33%+$4.96
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$240
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+42.2%+$6.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Caesars Entertainment (CZR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AZ win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.