Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29709150c789a7bcc649b24a68545ea79954b5b88afc3baa048dd78cc3390fe7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 35c | 2,051$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.28 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 80c | 1,150$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.38 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…43f4backed Yes | 72c | 865.65$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.92 | 173 | 58.4%101 W · 72 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b52…589abacked No | 54c | 725.65$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.01 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.6wins | -0.38per pick | 47cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 6c | 708.54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 886 | 28.9%256 W · 630 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x103e…78b5backed Yes | 52c | 238.8$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.25 | 161 | 34.2%55 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 10c | 210$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x872b…d4a0backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…3257backed Yes | 41c | 182.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.93 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…c8cebacked No | 17c | 173.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 98 | 19.4%19 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd0…b52fbacked Yes | 49c | 170.01$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.71 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 24c | 160.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 25c | 156.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 35c | 152.27$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.25 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 22c | 151$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 56c | 143.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.19 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…8be6backed Yes | 74c | 122.51$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 56c | 121.43$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2f…1d7bbacked Yes | 78c | 121.25$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 43c | 120.82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.87 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…b168backed No | 56c | 120.73$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 57c | 118.19$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad3…e651backed Yes | 35c | 113.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.77 | 333 | 51.7%172 W · 161 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 50c | 111.34$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 47c | 111.15$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.45 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 44c | 106$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 39c | 105.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked No | 53c | 102.43$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.91 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5c…8cf8backed Yes | 40c | 100.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.23 | 259 | 35.1%91 W · 168 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed No | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 849 | 30.6%260 W · 589 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc002…6f57backed No | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 56c | 98.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 52c | 75.79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcce6…dd55backed Yes | 42c | 75.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 51c | 73.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 35c | 68.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 41c | 66.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 38c | 63.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 79c | 63.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…aeecbacked No | 49c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 66c | 52.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3942…39d7backed No | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 297 | 17.2%51 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4875…149bbacked No | 52c | 52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 39c | 48.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…9da2backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | +12.1wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked Yes | 47c | 45.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 52c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…f7fdbacked No | 54c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…b97bbacked Yes | 42c | 42.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 524 | 46.2%242 W · 282 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 57c | 41.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…64adbacked Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 213 | 39%83 W · 130 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 39c | 39.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 54c | 38.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 348 | 53.4%186 W · 162 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 80c | 38.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…99b9backed No | 54c | 38.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 37.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 40c | 36.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fd…fd0cbacked Yes | 43c | 34.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce3…a6bfbacked Yes | 43c | 34.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 42c | 34.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 59c | 33.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 68c | 33.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…977abacked Yes | 53c | 30.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked Yes | 38c | 30.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 402 | 37.1%149 W · 253 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 33c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa11…908abacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 64c | 29.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52d…a95abacked No | 53c | 28.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3313…92adbacked Yes | 40c | 28.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…f003backed Yes | 38c | 28.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 306 | 52.6%161 W · 145 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9387…d659backed Yes | 37c | 27.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 271 | 30.6%83 W · 188 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffa…d06bbacked No | 48c | 27.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 63c | 26.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed No | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 55c | 23.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89cf…76b3backed No | 67c | 22.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…a773backed No | 63c | 21.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2349…1646backed Yes | 64c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 482 | 61.8%298 W · 184 L | +43.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a8…60ebbacked No | 62c | 20.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…9b60backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 159 | 15.7%25 W · 134 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9bc…e46bbacked No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237b…9f36backed No | 65c | 19.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf16…3a05backed No | 55c | 18.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 106 | 67%71 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 62c | 18.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 67c | 18.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7603…2276backed No | 67c | 17.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 146 | 74.7%109 W · 37 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 31?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.