MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb135b856c620ba8fbdda9f701f7d053bb8398b56d6ecbc19d009da94a181ea06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Arizona Diamondbacks, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,076,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,096,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,076,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 432 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 65c | 316,503$206,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206,188.33 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Baltimore Orioles | 71c | 259,256$184,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,218.31 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 198,631$108,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,384.17 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 148,530$68,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,323.71 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 118,246$63,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,393.31 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 101,267$33,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,587.88 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 0c | 94,516$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.81 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 51,505$22,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,952.53 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 37,041$17,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,065.04 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 24,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 24,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 21,035$9,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,676 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 17,686$9,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,958.74 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Baltimore Orioles | 23c | 12,710$2,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,811.26 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 79c | 11,733$9,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,318.58 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 11,111$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,111.11 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 10,620$5,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,779.01 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 10,281$5,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,317.48 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.98 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 9,971$4,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,486.92 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 66c | 9,619$6,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,387.61 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 9,180$4,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,130.97 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 8,845$4,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,980.45 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 8,454$3,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,546.3 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 7,138$2,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,478.34 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Baltimore Orioles | 14c | 6,510$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,584.53 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 6,192$3,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,786.32 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 6,112$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,811.34 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 6,000$2,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,712.12 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.95 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 76c | 5,544$4,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,207.41 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 5,075$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,912.89 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 4,927$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,217.12 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 4,910$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,619.12 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Baltimore Orioles | 6c | 4,689$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,416.92 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 4,215$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.45 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Baltimore Orioles | 3c | 3,859$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,754.44 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +221.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 17c | 3,481$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.64 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Baltimore Orioles | 3c | 3,475$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,381.21 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +228%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 3,346$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.58 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 3,225$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.5 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 3,184$1,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.96 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 3,081$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.25 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 2,820$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.12 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 2,675$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.23 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 2,456$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.59 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…1079backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 2,395$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.61 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 2,312$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.84 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 66c | 2,306$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.02 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 2,273$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.05 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 2,256$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.26 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 2,179$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.3 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Baltimore Orioles | 3c | 2,089$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.77 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7988…a671backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe458…7abebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.98 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 1,946$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.7 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…7bc1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 66c | 1,769$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.85 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 1,769$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Baltimore Orioles | 23c | 1,758$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.22 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 1,702$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.55 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 11c | 1,666$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.36 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 1,592$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.48 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,559$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.9 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 1,552$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.1 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 1,527$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +178.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,524$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.01 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 1,498$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.93 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…3ce4backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 1,327$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.07 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Baltimore Orioles | 17c | 1,241$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.65 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 1,129$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.19 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 1,121$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.8 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a2…27a0backed Baltimore Orioles | 3c | 1,090$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.52 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +243.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Baltimore Orioles | 25c | 1,073$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.72 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 1,073$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.48 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Baltimore Orioles | 27c | 1,062$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.58 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 21c | 1,058$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.25 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 1,054$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.39 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Baltimore Orioles | 24c | 969.81$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.45 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3727…0197backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 966.63$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.12 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53f5…ab8cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 10c | 945.21$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.69 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 914.55$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.56 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…5964backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 79c | 842.8$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.82 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 807.38$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.33 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 774.08$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.08 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 20c | 757.38$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.93 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 21c | 757.29$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.13 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 751.53$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.95 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 736.22$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.66 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 27c | 703.47$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.92 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Baltimore Orioles | 22c | 664.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.34 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Baltimore Orioles | 23c | 644.92$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.63 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 611.86$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.36 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…0d9cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 19c | 610.03$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.69 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…5169backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 608.64$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.84 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 602.22$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 601.66$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.5 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 13.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 15.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 16.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore OriolesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.