No airdrop in 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06377ae8a4621549a460c111b5ee35452165970d7610b57557c83ea0d9222674

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 30, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,951,179
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,733,920

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,951,179 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,437 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x891a…75acbacked Yes	3c	118,041$3,578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,578.14	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+2.4wins	+0.15per pick	22cpaid	+185.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc824…df08backed Yes	2c	111,029$1,751 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,750.61	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	19c	81,728$15,483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,483.38	357	12.9%46 W · 311 L	-29.9wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	12c	67,165$8,065 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,065.07	57	3.5%2 W · 55 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-74.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5188…c804backed Yes	32c	57,125$18,307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,306.6	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	20cpaid	-79.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27ce…bd96backed Yes	19c	50,211$9,555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,554.95	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f4…faa8backed Yes	1c	49,316$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$496.46	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5adc…f60dbacked Yes	2c	43,782$719 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$718.91	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes	27c	41,864$11,490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,489.6	51	37.3%19 W · 32 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40b1…d3c9backed Yes	16c	40,219$6,455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,455.03	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-60.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12d6…f2a8backed No	74c	37,547$27,955 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,591.9	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-73%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8d…5820backed Yes	1c	34,890$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67d6…245ebacked Yes	19c	33,368$6,467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,466.98	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65a0…ebecbacked Yes	5c	32,988$1,612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,611.9	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-77.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc456…8996backed Yes	2c	30,583$647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$646.77	195	43.1%84 W · 111 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc9a…a3d9backed Yes	17c	30,034$4,996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,996.12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x100a…0919backed Yes	14c	26,048$3,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,750.43	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d2…c168backed Yes	15c	25,684$3,823 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,822.68	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Yes	12c	25,152$3,058 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,058.42	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes	1c	25,000$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265	75	45.3%34 W · 41 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc97…fd78backed Yes	19c	24,563$4,552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,551.69	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29af…2473backed Yes	1c	24,163$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.91	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+2.3wins	+0.13per pick	16cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x252d…8a71backed Yes	0c	24,000$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	21cpaid	-80.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80c5…65d1backed Yes	6c	23,884$1,433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,432.7	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5c4…0926backed No	78c	22,074$17,156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,918.26	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74c7…7974backed Yes	10c	21,512$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	16cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17cc…8f40backed Yes	24c	21,319$5,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,200	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x382e…043cbacked Yes	0c	20,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa88f…a634backed Yes	29c	20,000$5,877 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,876.9	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3028…e920backed No	66c	20,000$13,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,799.98	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x722d…993ebacked Yes	12c	19,798$2,294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,294.08	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5331…69d8backed Yes	7c	19,747$1,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,450	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.16per pick	17cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…f7d8backed Yes	8c	19,227$1,452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,452.22	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x737d…1f6bbacked Yes	15c	18,000$2,630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,630.32	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-28%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes	12c	17,618$2,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,116.01	44	18.2%8 W · 36 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	-28%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed Yes	12c	16,190$1,908 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,908.17	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b65…8f8abacked Yes	5c	16,138$820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$819.85	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc452…7234backed Yes	29c	15,263$4,395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,395	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe29…b4b9backed Yes	11c	14,436$1,629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,629.09	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	30cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c68…e850backed Yes	5c	14,000$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$760	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95c8…f511backed Yes	18c	13,428$2,412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,411.87	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.24per pick	38cpaid	-82%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e01…1453backed Yes	10c	13,011$1,283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,282.55	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.13per pick	27cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc82…a787backed Yes	34c	13,001$4,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,440.03	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes	9c	12,401$1,113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,112.72	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	9c	12,333$1,092 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,091.77	209	4.3%9 W · 200 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	8cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8922…3284backed Yes	17c	11,947$2,022 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,021.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd2b…a7f5backed Yes	9c	11,614$994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$993.71	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	28cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6bd…b05abacked Yes	12c	11,556$1,352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,352.39	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x396f…7f78backed Yes	7c	11,204$837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$836.81	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4105…2c8cbacked Yes	2c	11,036$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.25	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+3.0wins	+0.25per pick	42cpaid	+45.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc781…59d7backed Yes	20c	11,011$2,194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,193.62	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8db6…da81backed Yes	17c	10,726$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d12…7954backed Yes	30c	10,509$3,146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,146.43	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5666…ef7bbacked No	63c	10,067$6,346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,720.36	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7de0…78dabacked Yes	0c	10,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.12per pick	13cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…aecebacked Yes	1c	10,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf84…acc7backed Yes	1c	10,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe210…b956backed Yes	20c	10,000$2,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,030	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.16per pick	39cpaid	-66%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Yes	1c	10,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb01…e156backed Yes	1c	10,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…2550backed Yes	10c	10,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$959.99	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a99…a499backed Yes	9c	9,964$909 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$909.37	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa461…833fbacked Yes	9c	9,812$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$850	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x997d…decfbacked Yes	10c	9,717$945 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$945	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bcd…33d1backed Yes	2c	9,450$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.13per pick	27cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f77…f38dbacked Yes	4c	9,447$422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$422.36	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	10cpaid	+372.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	9,430$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.36	766	3.3%25 W · 741 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf823…3005backed Yes	2c	9,300$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.4	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fef…0cc5backed Yes	2c	9,251$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.63	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.7wins	+0.15per pick	48cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe44a…c4f8backed Yes	3c	9,236$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.62	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-63.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93c6…1a04backed No	68c	9,029$6,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,929.2	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+45.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x11f5…de19backed Yes	2c	9,000$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7849…3254backed Yes	23c	8,780$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.12per pick	39cpaid	-61%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes	27c	8,440$2,273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,272.74	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed0d…9716backed No	71c	8,435$6,007 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,427.91	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.13per pick	58cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0af7…ea7ebacked Yes	10c	8,240$820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$819.99	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc23c…2f77backed Yes	3c	8,124$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.99	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9a8…3592backed Yes	31c	8,084$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes	5c	8,082$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425	94	22.3%21 W · 73 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc586…d098backed Yes	14c	8,015$1,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,109.79	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb3b…962fbacked Yes	2c	8,000$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd45…59b2backed Yes	2c	7,922$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.78	25	12%3 W · 22 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-73.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3f8…98e1backed Yes	7c	7,853$562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$561.95	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-65.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebfd…dd70backed Yes	15c	7,822$1,164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,163.66	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf3…02f4backed Yes	14c	7,777$1,089 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,088.77	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4449…cae1backed Yes	23c	7,513$1,756 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,755.55	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-2.3wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	71c	7,462$5,305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,156.93	14	85.7%12 W · 2 L	+3.5wins	+0.25per pick	61cpaid	+40.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8260…337ebacked Yes	13c	7,448$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b1e…3b36backed Yes	9c	7,420$697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$697.12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7336…1f7bbacked Yes	10c	7,347$701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$701.41	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5e…612abacked No	75c	7,230$5,433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,797.44	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4613…8c44backed Yes	20c	7,180$1,419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,418.92	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d25…6e45backed Yes	7c	7,150$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$496.33	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	15cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf38…5799backed Yes	3c	7,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc771…b18fbacked Yes	31c	6,922$2,146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,145.91	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea1d…90f0backed Yes	39c	6,742$2,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,600	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.23per pick	40cpaid	-78%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes	25c	6,700$1,703 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,702.62	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Yes	32c	6,653$2,098 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,097.62	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes	16c	6,610$1,055 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,054.7	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a3e…d559backed Yes	9c	6,491$596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$595.84	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-55.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

No airdrop in 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event