Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AZ win on 2026-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97534b03e59bb4b6bbeee661b779ad68da3d45b3bc1b17a1e74a0215cb0f94c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 1c | 15,333$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.67 | 71 | 7%5 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 7c | 6,847$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.24 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 15c | 3,968$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.09 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 3c | 2,366$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Yes | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked Yes | 53c | 1,120$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +129.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Yes | 80c | 941.53$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.53 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 46c | 919.54$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.86 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 57c | 900$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 56c | 559.36$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.36 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 45c | 535.97$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.06 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 5c | 482.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 46c | 471.62$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.91 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 56c | 421.43$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.43 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 44c | 420$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf93…6e4fbacked No | 24c | 384$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Yes | 55c | 366.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.39 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 76c | 358.8$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.11 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 72c | 321.29$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 8c | 315.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 43c | 309$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.14 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Yes | 54c | 273.75$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.93 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 53c | 202.76$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.23 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 43c | 191.3$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.26 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed No | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 46c | 146$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Yes | 53c | 133$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.51 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 46c | 118.6$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.73 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed No | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 44c | 108.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd0…78febacked Yes | 57c | 98.25$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 43c | 95.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd4…c292backed No | 46c | 79.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 15c | 77.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed No | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 55c | 65.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed No | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 60c | 62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked No | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 44c | 59.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Yes | 54c | 49.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed No | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -29%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed No | 44c | 44.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…f2c6backed Yes | 57c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 59c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b52…589abacked No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 57c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 68c | 41.65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…f3babacked Yes | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…7e76backed Yes | 56c | 35.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 44c | 35.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 45c | 31.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…1ef8backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 44c | 25.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 39c | 25.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 43c | 25.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 47c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 60c | 22.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…7558backed Yes | 57c | 21.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 65c | 19.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d33…368fbacked Yes | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AZ win on 2026-04-12?this page
- Will AZ vs. SC Heerenveen end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-04-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.