NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9eab28022d9099e6b02bdaec86da33f3c2fd7708781b0a7555e6cac72b3a8775
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Lakers, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,695,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,744,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,695,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,853 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Lakers | 26c | 500,000$131,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131,675.01 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Celtics | 74c | 500,000$370,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129,999.96 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Lakers | 28c | 230,000$65,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,199.96 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lakers | 30c | 196,484$58,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,972.95 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Celtics | 71c | 156,719$110,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,763.49 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Celtics | 76c | 150,000$114,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,000 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Lakers | 27c | 135,058$35,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,819.85 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Celtics | 71c | 128,639$90,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,856.15 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lakers | 32c | 111,776$36,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,076.07 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Lakers | 24c | 100,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Lakers | 19c | 86,875$16,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,601.99 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Celtics | 67c | 76,408$51,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,223.61 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Celtics | 75c | 76,197$57,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,049.22 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Lakers | 26c | 69,692$18,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,119.55 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Celtics | 70c | 64,803$45,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,119.77 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…0a92backed Celtics | 70c | 55,686$38,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,705.84 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92e1…2ec3backed Lakers | 0c | 49,472$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.47 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Celtics | 74c | 47,070$34,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,447.96 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Celtics | 74c | 43,977$32,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,396 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf963…0637backed Celtics | 69c | 38,800$26,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,874.71 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Lakers | 26c | 36,108$9,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,388.06 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb597…16bdbacked Lakers | 32c | 34,000$10,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,880 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Celtics | 67c | 32,300$21,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,535.98 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Celtics | 75c | 30,021$22,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,505.2 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Lakers | 29c | 30,000$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,600 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Lakers | 33c | 30,000$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,899.96 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4a…87d4backed Celtics | 71c | 30,000$21,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,599.94 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Celtics | 67c | 30,000$20,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,899.91 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Celtics | 73c | 29,692$21,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,162.82 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Lakers | 1c | 27,693$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.44 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Celtics | 71c | 26,011$18,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,593.84 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Celtics | 71c | 25,650$18,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,448.5 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Celtics | 74c | 25,000$18,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Lakers | 1c | 22,096$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.85 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Lakers | 1c | 21,966$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.56 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Lakers | 16c | 21,260$3,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,487.09 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Celtics | 70c | 21,252$14,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,466.38 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Lakers | 3c | 21,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6603…959ebacked Lakers | 19c | 20,358$3,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,909.85 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34b5…b099backed Celtics | 68c | 19,999$13,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,399.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Lakers | 25c | 19,898$4,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,970.48 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Celtics | 68c | 18,237$12,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,835.7 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Celtics | 72c | 18,056$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,055.68 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb78…5206backed Lakers | 27c | 17,920$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ac…5befbacked Lakers | 32c | 16,900$5,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,408 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Lakers | 6c | 16,680$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Lakers | 28c | 15,000$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Lakers | 0c | 14,400$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.25 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Lakers | 14c | 14,324$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.55 | 271 | 52%141 W · 130 L | -17.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa4…a930backed Celtics | 68c | 13,999$9,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,479.68 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +84%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Celtics | 73c | 13,699$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,698.63 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc374…46f4backed Celtics | 68c | 13,000$8,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240c…bd0dbacked Lakers | 32c | 13,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Celtics | 67c | 11,832$7,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,904.71 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers | 24c | 11,489$2,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,791.92 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Lakers | 20c | 11,184$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290.28 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Lakers | 31c | 11,000$3,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,376.16 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Lakers | 0c | 11,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Celtics | 73c | 10,268$7,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,772.23 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Lakers | 27c | 10,228$2,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772.96 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Celtics | 73c | 10,028$7,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,707.66 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…a52abacked Lakers | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa6…6b31backed Celtics | 68c | 10,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Celtics | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.99 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Celtics | 69c | 9,924$6,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,065.93 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2f…3794backed Lakers | 1c | 9,507$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Lakers | 25c | 9,420$2,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Lakers | 32c | 9,340$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.49 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Lakers | 33c | 9,172$3,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,026.81 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af4…ed6bbacked Celtics | 72c | 9,085$6,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,543.72 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x736b…41d3backed Lakers | 34c | 8,900$3,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,026 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Celtics | 80c | 8,873$7,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.61 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Celtics | 68c | 8,826$5,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,826.93 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Lakers | 34c | 8,825$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.61 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Lakers | 31c | 8,795$2,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,726.47 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Lakers | 28c | 8,381$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.67 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Celtics | 76c | 8,183$6,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.15 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked Lakers | 25c | 8,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 133 | 39.1%52 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Lakers | 33c | 7,576$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Celtics | 71c | 7,500$5,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,169.96 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01b…e951backed Lakers | 10c | 7,331$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.49 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba5…58afbacked Celtics | 67c | 7,300$4,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Celtics | 68c | 7,298$4,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.61 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Celtics | 72c | 7,255$5,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031.4 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Celtics | 75c | 7,147$5,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.14 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa672…9eb1backed Celtics | 68c | 6,900$4,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Celtics | 72c | 6,880$4,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.27 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b1…6695backed Lakers | 25c | 6,863$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…892bbacked Celtics | 67c | 6,600$4,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,178 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Celtics | 69c | 6,522$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.87 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Celtics | 68c | 6,500$4,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -13.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Celtics | 72c | 6,500$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Celtics | 69c | 6,474$4,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.86 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88e…a7d4backed Lakers | 27c | 6,380$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.6 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Lakers | 28c | 6,365$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.33 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fe…41fbbacked Lakers | 33c | 6,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Lakers | 19c | 5,776$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.32 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…b30bbacked Lakers | 33c | 5,628$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.27 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…bfdfbacked Celtics | 68c | 5,600$3,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…ccd9backed Celtics | 67c | 5,400$3,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 57cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Celticsthis page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Celtics won
- Lakers vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Lakers vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Celtics: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.