NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3713ffa82ee088efc0783f883bdfc9fd14eea682c6657cf1ea98ab506d88b9b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 50c | 12,784$6,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,378.63 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 50c | 7,431$3,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,690.21 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.99 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Over | 56c | 4,501$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.88 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Over | 52c | 3,285$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 53c | 2,224$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.43 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Under | 52c | 1,943$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.3 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 51c | 1,717$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.47 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Over | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…599fbacked Over | 50c | 1,320$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 49c | 1,028$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.36 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 650.76$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.88 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 48c | 648.64$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.55 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Over | 47c | 603.69$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.96 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 548.87$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee1…a27cbacked Over | 50c | 440$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 44c | 405.88$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.59 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…fa9fbacked Under | 53c | 370$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.1 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c8…2399backed Under | 51c | 360$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…7046backed Over | 50c | 360$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 24c | 354.74$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.62 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba1…b0b6backed Under | 46c | 320.19$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.65 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 57c | 277$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.11 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Under | 38c | 246.56$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.69 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 54c | 241.7$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.18 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 46c | 233$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.18 | 219 | 37%81 W · 138 L | -15.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 57c | 208$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d53…061cbacked Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Under | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Over | 49c | 196.16$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.16 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…fe30backed Over | 56c | 172.32$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.82 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…a339backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b35backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6611…17e7backed Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 50c | 122.77$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Over | 62c | 110$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 48c | 108.49$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.42 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c99…156dbacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Over | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29bd…80c9backed Over | 54c | 96.29$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed Under | 45c | 89.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b99…db9abacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 39c | 87.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 84.87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.13 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…9ffabacked Over | 62c | 83.87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f6…368cbacked Over | 62c | 82.4$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba7…d27abacked Under | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Over | 56c | 66.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 38c | 57.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 271 | 52%141 W · 130 L | -17.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 53c | 44.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c0…ab01backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…f9a1backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 350 | 52%182 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ed…112bbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd448…f700backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd586…87cfbacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…3d3abacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 47c | 39.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 49c | 35.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b5…e049backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc75…88acbacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…f3a0backed Under | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6347…cdd5backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x220e…3b20backed Over | 52c | 32.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Over | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Under | 41c | 28.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked Over | 51c | 21.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc9…95f6backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f2…b9f7backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef4…ce93backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c77…d209backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe92…7f3bbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3680…71d7backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4036…5a2bbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf10…ba77backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6b…244dbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb67…748abacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Over | 53c | 19.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 448 | 44.2%198 W · 250 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Celtics won
- Lakers vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Lakers vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Lakers vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Celtics: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.