TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,620
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,504

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,620 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x57a8…6933backed Under50c12,784$6,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,378.6392753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under50c7,431$3,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,690.211,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Over49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,55022053.6%118 W · 102 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Over51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.9948448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked Over56c4,501$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.888347%39 W · 44 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c57…c94dbacked Over52c3,285$1,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5775151%26 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over53c2,224$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.431,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Under52c1,943$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.327840.6%113 W · 165 L-22.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under51c1,717$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.472,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Over49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76517744.1%78 W · 99 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f15…599fbacked Over50c1,320$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6601764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+29.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Over49c1,028$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.3641742%175 W · 242 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48025642.6%109 W · 147 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c650.76$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.889,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Over48c648.64$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.5595049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Over47c603.69$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.9640350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under28c548.87$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1528,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee1…a27cbacked Over50c440$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2201145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under44c405.88$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.593,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa427…fa9fbacked Under53c370$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.11428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-40.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4c8…2399backed Under51c360$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.61643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc443…7046backed Over50c360$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under24c354.74$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.622,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ba1…b0b6backed Under46c320.19$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.654946.9%23 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over57c277$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.1185742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over61c250$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.51,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked Under38c246.56$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6910735.5%38 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over54c241.7$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.1884150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under46c233$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1821937%81 W · 138 L-15.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Under45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over57c208$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4469049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d53…061cbacked Over54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9211942.9%51 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15a3…718ebacked Under49c199.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9811351.3%58 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Over49c196.16$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.1626150.2%131 W · 130 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87d5…fe30backed Over56c172.32$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.824235.7%15 W · 27 L-6.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdcef…a339backed Over50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4556…2b35backed Under50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7512952.7%68 W · 61 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6611…17e7backed Under49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.59048.9%44 W · 46 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under50c122.77$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7480148.3%387 W · 414 L-3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed Over62c110$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.86544.6%29 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over48c108.49$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.422,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3847738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8c99…156dbacked Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-40.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4965855.6%366 W · 292 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5438048.7%185 W · 195 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Over55c99.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4554951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29bd…80c9backed Over54c96.29$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2918649.5%92 W · 94 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…5c00backed Under45c89.42$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.249051.1%46 W · 44 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b99…db9abacked Over56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.291866.7%12 W · 6 L+4.9wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+67.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under39c87.8$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.241,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over48c84.87$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.134,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x380c…9ffabacked Over62c83.87$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.87757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51f6…368cbacked Over62c82.4$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.66046.7%28 W · 32 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4329046.9%136 W · 154 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba7…d27abacked Under53c70$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.11656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70df…bca8backed Over56c66.07$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0732750.2%164 W · 163 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under38c57.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Over62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1927152%141 W · 130 L-17.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-12.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Over47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.538845.6%177 W · 211 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over53c44.04$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.543,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72c0…ab01backed Under46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad87…f9a1backed Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4835052%182 W · 168 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74ed…112bbacked Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.55742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd448…f700backed Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6710953.2%58 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd586…87cfbacked Under48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011544.3%51 W · 64 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c5c…3d3abacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over47c39.34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.851,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under49c35.74$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.511,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b5…e049backed Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.099237%34 W · 58 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc75…88acbacked Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.092955.2%16 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa75d…1d45backed Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0922347.1%105 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb261…f3a0backed Under39c35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.651233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-52.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6347…cdd5backed Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.481136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick60cpaid-45.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x220e…3b20backed Over52c32.42$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.562454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Over48c29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0850047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Under41c28.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.624423.8%58 W · 186 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-56.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Over57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3249852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked Over51c21.56$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5637848.9%185 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over74c20.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.273262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc9…95f6backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+17.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x64f2…b9f7backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ef4…ce93backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c77…d209backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+52.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe92…7f3bbacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3680…71d7backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4036…5a2bbacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+61.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf10…ba77backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa6b…244dbacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+52.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb67…748abacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Under52c19.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.487950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked Over53c19.23$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0444844.2%198 W · 250 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.