TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Celtics, Lakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,856
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,057

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,856 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Celtics52c12,327$6,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,916.811,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Lakers48c7,898$3,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,812.9992753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde19…8e43backed Lakers44c3,800$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6722458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5650…ce21backed Celtics56c3,800$2,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6722055%11 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Celtics51c3,513$1,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,706.6322053.6%118 W · 102 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Lakers46c2,350$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.039,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Lakers50c2,234$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11740350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Lakers45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Celtics55c1,782$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.683,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lakers42c1,755$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.398,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed Celtics58c1,733$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.8324051.3%123 W · 117 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Lakers48c1,695$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.82,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Lakers48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72025642.6%109 W · 147 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Celtics52c1,269$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60974748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Celtics59c1,217$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.9666853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Celtics51c977.27$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.8631538.1%120 W · 195 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Lakers44c823$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.1217644.9%79 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Celtics58c789.88$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.652,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Lakers41c600$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2481,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lakers44c568.58$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.862,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Celtics56c562$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.731,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Lakers50c518.66$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.3373649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae7…cf61backed Lakers49c510.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Lakers43c504$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.7262744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Celtics62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19029458.5%172 W · 122 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Celtics59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16423546.8%110 W · 125 L-18.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Lakers48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19284342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed Lakers41c399.76$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.97447.3%35 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Celtics51c325.31$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.476249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Celtics58c295.5$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.1142845.1%193 W · 235 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Lakers48c283.68$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.172,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Celtics57c215$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.762,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Lakers46c206.45$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.463,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2432…ae39backed Lakers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003330.3%10 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-41.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d48…b9a1backed Celtics52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9619254.7%105 W · 87 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Lakers48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9635739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaee1…77fcbacked Lakers43c186.05$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Lakers49c156.15$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5151146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Celtics57c155.97$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0795049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Lakers40c155$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6285147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Lakers49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.51,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Celtics57c131.58$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5882440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e4e…dc93backed Lakers48c115.42$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.45248.1%25 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Lakers48c104$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9251451.9%267 W · 247 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf2…06c2backed Celtics51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4915051.3%77 W · 73 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc483…8ac8backed Celtics59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x27b1…ed2bbacked Lakers46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467349.3%36 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48f8…9166backed Celtics57c96.49$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4917145.6%78 W · 93 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25c2…e0cfbacked Lakers42c92.86$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Lakers43c85.87$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.652643%226 W · 300 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ed6…bbabbacked Celtics60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3332853%174 W · 154 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Lakers49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.254951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd87b…946dbacked Lakers43c76.74$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334540%18 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Celtics52c76.25$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.431,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Lakers49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3049852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Lakers50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023445.7%107 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked Lakers49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.437848.9%185 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b79…25f2backed Celtics53c51.8$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c21…bd2fbacked Lakers49c50.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.68520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d23…b5a2backed Lakers49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208946.1%41 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9887…79a8backed Lakers49c40.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203821.1%8 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Lakers48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.245151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Lakers50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2048451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd586…87cfbacked Lakers50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011544.3%51 W · 64 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f3…e279backed Celtics51c39.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.65639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Celtics52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4661056.1%342 W · 268 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Celtics53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.741,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe425…9405backed Celtics57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.091163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Celtics60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3384957.6%489 W · 360 L-52.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1365…97dfbacked Celtics52c32.69$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6916253.1%86 W · 76 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3698…7160backed Lakers49c32.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164151.2%21 W · 20 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x075a…8d34backed Lakers49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512858.6%75 W · 53 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Lakers46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.651,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2b8…e54fbacked Lakers50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5be5…8d0cbacked Celtics57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.94637%17 W · 29 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Lakers43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.91,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb261…f3a0backed Lakers43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.91233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-52.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a30…c241backed Celtics51c28.33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.88650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f1…6349backed Celtics60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1017350.9%88 W · 85 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d60…50dbbacked Celtics60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106256.5%35 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…581bbacked Celtics57c24.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.569165.9%60 W · 31 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+25.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3bc5…7ac4backed Lakers50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127452.7%39 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.