TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$247,487
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$219,368

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,487 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfedc…6398backed No0c13,567$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6276…2dd9backed No2c11,156$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.561827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+39.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60cc…f23fbacked No4c10,128$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.7918214.8%27 W · 155 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick9cpaid+218.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc63d…d073backed No3c10,114$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9374…66a0backed No45c9,862$4,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,436.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c5b…ee9ebacked Yes55c9,797$5,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,408.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ba8…772bbacked No2c7,997$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.8960%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0325…16e7backed No2c7,195$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.861435.7%5 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick19cpaid+126%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed No2c6,954$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.176883.6%25 W · 663 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-59.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x863d…8399backed No6c6,220$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.91020%2 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b5…6121backed No2c3,466$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b6b…0dc7backed No3c3,359$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b39…0079backed No8c3,104$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.650%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f0a…f7aabacked No1c3,082$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9918530.3%56 W · 129 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-50.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No6c2,867$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.525334%18 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4940…52efbacked No1c2,520$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.21414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-74.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1dd…376abacked Yes50c2,320$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.28742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick31cpaid-25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea05…ee65backed No4c2,307$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9560%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed No4c2,179$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.162344.3%10 W · 224 L+0.2wins0.00per pick4cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x420f…5ea3backed No2c2,129$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9530%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8f…d210backed No6c2,018$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No20c1,974$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.8317037.6%64 W · 106 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked No6c1,831$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.482543.5%9 W · 245 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked No2c1,751$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0416616.9%28 W · 138 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick12cpaid+111.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x913d…4ea8backed No2c1,641$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7540%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5209…01f9backed No4c1,607$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5140%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb3b…a2b6backed No1c1,570$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.54380%0 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bef…f04ebacked No5c1,512$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.514922.4%11 W · 38 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick13cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No17c1,449$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.5432255%177 W · 145 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed No3c1,394$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.614766.5%31 W · 445 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaff…6da3backed No4c1,334$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.931145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked No6c1,267$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.83772.6%2 W · 75 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-64.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked No4c1,250$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.517921.2%38 W · 141 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+56.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a2a…c0e8backed No2c1,249$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5081…a309backed No4c1,103$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46806.3%5 W · 75 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick5cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f4c…063bbacked No1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dca…3c13backed No40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006756.7%38 W · 29 L+11.4wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+26.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40014834.5%51 W · 97 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed No5c995.28$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.461152.6%3 W · 112 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-47%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0059…bfd0backed No3c987.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x715d…8449backed No8c972.39$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7590%0 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No18c958.9$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.118628.5%53 W · 133 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a5…9d08backed No4c898.39$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5340%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed No5c892.64$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.912117.1%15 W · 196 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ec…62aabacked No37c881$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.971526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid+0.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79c1…497dbacked No12c805.27$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.176142.6%26 W · 35 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb078…450cbacked No5c765.27$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3730%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf2…887dbacked No5c744.78$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.91803.8%3 W · 77 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…bd34backed No1c700.18$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed No5c700$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.46311.1%7 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick6cpaid+117.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10d8…9f12backed No36c667$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.12728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-59.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fa…72f6backed No15c600$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed No5c600$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9458.9%4 W · 41 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick5cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd31…293bbacked No3c586.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8230%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3824…bdc5backed No3c582.63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.540%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf12d…0143backed No15c580$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1294…9151backed No37c530$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.11136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8737…2bffbacked Yes64c530$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.8650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b01…8f47backed No14c501$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.691625%4 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-41.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes52c499.99$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24054934.6%190 W · 359 L-37.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a86…dea8backed No4c480.62$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6748224.7%119 W · 363 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc123…115cbacked Yes63c472$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0a0…6dfabacked No8c470$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7d4…5735backed No37c452$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.241136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad5d…a0bbbacked No5c440.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes51c436.13$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.2430233.8%102 W · 200 L+19.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+27.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2bef…1e38backed Yes63c434$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.58933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-49.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No6c429.14$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.551,43110.1%145 W · 1,286 L-4.9wins0.00per pick10cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed45…929dbacked No37c398$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.261127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-43.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No12c388.3$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1326052.3%136 W · 124 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf327…4084backed No14c385.6$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5580%0 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes52c355.79$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.0826139.8%104 W · 157 L+16.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf656…bb4ebacked Yes59c333$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.53450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No10c330.64$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6556314.6%82 W · 481 L-39.3wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No7c330.26$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3924110.8%26 W · 215 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc886…696fbacked Yes63c330$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.1475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick45cpaid+51.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd362…9bc4backed No4c329.65$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.566740.3%27 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d5…b5cebacked No54c323$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.42728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid+69.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x846d…4ab2backed Yes46c318$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.72666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c41…133ebacked No45c308$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.056533.8%22 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3576…09debacked No6c302.09$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.855149%25 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac16…8d5dbacked Yes54c293.22$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1344100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf738…56bdbacked Yes64c290$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.44100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3de…5339backed No36c290$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4137.7%1 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.29per pick37cpaid-83.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfd44…1837backed No54c282$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.28742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d17…1e5ebacked Yes46c270$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.81540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed No5c250$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.515014%21 W · 129 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc362…7f4fbacked Yes46c246$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.84785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick55cpaid+41.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes49c244.08$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.0813446.3%62 W · 72 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17e6…6fcbbacked Yes55c240.43$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.191060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b4b…b93cbacked No13c240.04$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.773435.3%12 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+76.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd137…ceacbacked No54c240$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-49.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc5…610ebacked No5c239.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.865728.1%16 W · 41 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+90.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7475…2a10backed Yes72c237.73$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.413464.7%22 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf23e…aec3backed Yes46c237$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.98850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf528…4441backed Yes63c234$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.58633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-38.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3184…0bb7backed No6c222.06$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2230%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2f…c453backed Yes63c222$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.141127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-49.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4559…f02bbacked Yes63c218$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.66850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x293b…09a9backed Yes63c208$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.961233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.