TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will PLN win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,192
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,837

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,192 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x863d…8399backed Yes4c6,018$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.761020%2 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b6b…0dc7backed Yes5c5,663$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.0830%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes13c3,685$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.5715026%39 W · 111 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b39…0079backed Yes3c3,358$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.0850%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6276…2dd9backed Yes1c2,927$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.271827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+39.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ba8…772bbacked Yes3c2,247$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6860%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11f9…06f1backed Yes1c1,531$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9230%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c16…9e04backed Yes3c1,490$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes32c1,386$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.4619237.5%72 W · 120 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x420f…5ea3backed Yes10c1,144$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11630%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e24…70a6backed Yes5c1,057$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea05…ee65backed Yes2c1,053$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes6c1,048$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.645334%18 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaff…6da3backed Yes4c1,021$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65ae…e13abacked Yes24c1,007$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1832…af9ebacked Yes16c937$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.92955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+89.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x053f…5f6dbacked Yes9c891.31$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771540%6 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-33.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf58d…a617backed Yes19c872$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.68955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+73.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes2c858.62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.885614.3%8 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick17cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes4c832.34$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.424766.5%31 W · 445 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b0b…ac29backed Yes2c832.22$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc244…c59fbacked Yes3c832.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9630%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf738…56bdbacked No76c784$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.164100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes3c779.19$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.754922.4%11 W · 38 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick13cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ceb…7fc8backed Yes16c755$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.8616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-78.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x354c…b301backed Yes17c751$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.671145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadc9…5856backed Yes18c719$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.52650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb766…1d83backed No74c709.59$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.594139%16 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6501…5983backed Yes11c687$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3824…bdc5backed Yes4c630.47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1840%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes5c618.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.871676.6%11 W · 156 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab07…7763backed Yes17c613$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes6c602.19$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.19772.6%2 W · 75 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-64.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…7523backed Yes17c595$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.151145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-32.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaae7…aa0cbacked Yes7c590.4$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-78.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f63…680ebacked Yes31c565.55$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.32944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes6c563.19$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.524110.8%26 W · 215 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes10c552.27$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.171,43110.1%145 W · 1,286 L-4.9wins0.00per pick10cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e9e…e3b7backed Yes5c551.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes6c541.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.391152.6%3 W · 112 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-47%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee9e…efb7backed Yes19c538$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.221643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+36.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes27c512.52$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.3854934.6%190 W · 359 L-37.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1c2…89abbacked Yes2c500$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51010%1 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick3cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71d2…e109backed Yes17c496$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.751030%3 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+36%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes3c494.23$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.051664.2%7 W · 159 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick2cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaee…bd71backed Yes16c485$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+52.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e43…4ee5backed Yes4c468.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5209…01f9backed Yes5c468.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes28c448$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0911738.5%45 W · 72 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x76f8…5145backed Yes16c438$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.081145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad5d…a0bbbacked Yes5c437.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes5c433.09$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51803.8%3 W · 77 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes3c418.41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.812344.3%10 W · 224 L+0.2wins0.00per pick4cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb88…6b99backed Yes19c408$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.521154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes6c399.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262117.1%15 W · 196 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6b9…d0c7backed No73c398$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.461241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd77e…83a4backed Yes17c397$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.491010%1 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick39cpaid-87%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc336…9f48backed Yes19c392$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.481450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5081…a309backed Yes5c384.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.39806.3%5 W · 75 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick5cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf955…bb33backed Yes16c374$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.841040%4 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+55.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83be…6f94backed Yes16c361$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.76966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a2a…c0e8backed Yes6c347.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4559…f02bbacked Yes19c335$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.65850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b0…f5bebacked Yes16c327$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.32616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-71.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes27c318.46$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4913446.3%62 W · 72 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0de5…d01cbacked No76c310$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a00…f14abacked Yes3c309.58$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e96…c895backed Yes19c294$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6578…ba32backed Yes24c272$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.281050%5 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+164.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda7f…c93dbacked No71c265$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.85977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6163…58ccbacked Yes16c246$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.361136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa938…a1ffbacked Yes17c235$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.951040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5784…4018backed No64c227$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.72757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+74%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8bb…e885backed Yes27c223$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.21616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-74.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes5c219.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1116746.1%77 W · 90 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe335…cd12backed No71c219$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.51425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-64.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ea1…6487backed Yes16c217$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.72862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c41…133ebacked Yes29c216.24$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.136533.8%22 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Yes29c205.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601030%3 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-33.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5099…9554backed Yes5c200$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5567…aeedbacked No71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.084850%24 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb767…9b51backed No76c185$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.41428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick35cpaid0%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b01…8f47backed Yes9c165.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.51625%4 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-41.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1ff…986cbacked Yes17c161$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-52.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1587…901abacked No71c156$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.24666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+41.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes10c150.6$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4656314.6%82 W · 481 L-39.3wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a5d…9ea3backed Yes23c149.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-51%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9e5…d252backed Yes29c143$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.47825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid+44.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea25…d3aabacked No72c140$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.21020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-69.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa906…84e4backed Yes19c138$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.221050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21d2…3e62backed Yes29c134$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.86616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-46.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe004…7849backed Yes29c127.93$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x365f…d215backed Yes36c127$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.72742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa18…7693backed Yes19c121$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.99944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd134…5558backed Yes29c120$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.81050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b32…c8a9backed Yes27c118$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.86757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick34cpaid+76.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6f5…d7aabacked Yes17c117$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.89450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f5…b750backed No72c116$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.481353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed No70c111.63$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.357954.4%43 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4657…00d6backed Yes36c111$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.961450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.