Middle East · resolved market
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e25feaca6587256a7d830023b797279561de33ceb29845186f3d29d3569743d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,415,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,454,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,415,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 529 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdc5…afc9backed Yes | 0c | 185,000$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +251%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 38c | 69,779$26,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,345.96 | 170 | 18.2%31 W · 139 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 17c | 61,956$10,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,659.66 | 148 | 21.6%32 W · 116 L | -24.5wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa510…1f80backed Yes | 6c | 52,224$2,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,930.16 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cb…d447backed No | 70c | 26,840$18,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,923.84 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf396…ed0dbacked Yes | 61c | 23,334$14,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,200.39 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…6320backed Yes | 0c | 20,111$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.45 | 104 | 17.3%18 W · 86 L | -13.7wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 15,400$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.42 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd88…4037backed No | 61c | 12,211$7,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,779.89 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 16c | 10,702$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +77.8wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked Yes | 30c | 10,337$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100.3 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 6c | 9,651$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.75 | 161 | 25.5%41 W · 120 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked No | 47c | 9,472$4,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,993.06 | 105 | 28.6%30 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 54c | 9,295$5,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,284.87 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…47e5backed Yes | 3c | 8,881$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.71 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x436f…2c7fbacked No | 32c | 7,868$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,367.98 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x682e…70bdbacked No | 65c | 7,675$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,674.51 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa1…1fa9backed Yes | 14c | 7,000$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.72 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 23c | 6,992$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.85 | 281 | 26.3%74 W · 207 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 51c | 6,811$3,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,363.77 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…876fbacked Yes | 19c | 6,714$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.56 | 96 | 13.5%13 W · 83 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed Yes | 19c | 6,624$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +41.8wins | +0.30per pick | 34cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 78+0.26 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…3c6dbacked No | 57c | 6,551$3,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,837.23 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +8.4wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +48%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb119…8d46backed Yes | 34c | 6,191$2,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,127.74 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…5cacbacked No | 75c | 6,015$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.73 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 54c | 5,859$3,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,188.53 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…1dc2backed Yes | 49c | 5,731$2,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,785.86 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99f…8742backed Yes | 75c | 5,715$4,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,266.52 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed Yes | 22c | 5,640$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.96 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 9c | 5,556$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 112 | 8.9%10 W · 102 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…9ffdbacked No | 41c | 5,124$2,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,023.04 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523a…8e28backed No | 78c | 5,000$3,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.32 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 30c | 4,900$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.25 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ef…468bbacked Yes | 2c | 4,800$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x131a…73f9backed Yes | 16c | 4,598$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.44 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed Yes | 9c | 4,504$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.12 | 92 | 17.4%16 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x652b…f5c2backed Yes | 55c | 3,991$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202.11 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 25c | 3,938$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.71 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 7c | 3,757$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.97 | 266 | 19.2%51 W · 215 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf534…0a67backed Yes | 49c | 3,738$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.62 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…0e97backed No | 54c | 3,675$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.39 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa771…42d1backed No | 55c | 3,641$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.77 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +6.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 76c | 3,554$2,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.92 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 18c | 3,510$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.8 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 14c | 3,495$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.67 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c9…e4b3backed No | 60c | 3,332$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.86 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.31per pick | 26cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 60c | 3,191$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.07 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 26c | 3,188$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.23 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 64c | 3,110$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.07 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce85…ccd7backed No | 39c | 2,843$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.57 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 57c | 2,786$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.84 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69cc…2e44backed No | 53c | 2,779$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…0519backed Yes | 15c | 2,771$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.65 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,750$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…b243backed Yes | 63c | 2,695$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.17 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 69c | 2,675$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.83 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412c…2d87backed No | 34c | 2,637$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.64 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | +11.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +259.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 64c | 2,394$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.35 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…324dbacked No | 46c | 2,308$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.88 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +161.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 37c | 2,294$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.59 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +11.7wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8f…40cfbacked Yes | 18c | 2,222$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Yes | 16c | 2,222$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.51 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 9c | 2,198$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 234 | 20.9%49 W · 185 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 7c | 2,156$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.48 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…dd47backed No | 47c | 2,140$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 79c | 2,100$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43bb…26dbbacked Yes | 13c | 2,070$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.85 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…7a4cbacked No | 64c | 2,050$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…51cabacked Yes | 6c | 2,001$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2f…b226backed No | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…1c22backed Yes | 22c | 2,000$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.8 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 247 | 12.1%30 W · 217 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…ad9fbacked Yes | 8c | 2,000$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.97 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f58…62a5backed No | 50c | 1,990$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.76 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…4950backed No | 51c | 1,954$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.84 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.24per pick | 32cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x50e4…fb34backed No | 51c | 1,895$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.44 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,812$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 76c | 1,809$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.63 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…9e5dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,800$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed No | 60c | 1,796$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.89 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e0…1120backed Yes | 3c | 1,718$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d0…db7abacked Yes | 11c | 1,715$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.62 | 136 | 17.6%24 W · 112 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 17c | 1,708$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.35 | 58 | 8.6%5 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 43c | 1,694$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.4 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 61c | 1,667$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.72 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed Yes | 10c | 1,650$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 185 | 31.9%59 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0c…fbb7backed No | 49c | 1,642$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.57 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69c9…3b29backed Yes | 56c | 1,636$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.71 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed No | 78c | 1,613$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.66 | 225 | 29.8%67 W · 158 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed No | 70c | 1,607$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.93 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d16…7228backed No | 44c | 1,593$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.41 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f60…db9ebacked No | 80c | 1,528$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.88 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97af…9bc6backed Yes | 24c | 1,485$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.86 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed No | 51c | 1,410$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.07 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 57c | 1,404$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.62 | 222 | 62.2%138 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…0e5abacked Yes | 71c | 1,399$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e30…52e3backed No | 43c | 1,387$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…c2f0backed Yes | 1c | 1,375$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 38c | 1,360$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.49 | 152 | 34.2%52 W · 100 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?this page
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.