Middle East · resolved market
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd5585ee0a5f30e605743d13cc12e9bbe9ea43019ab766cac4126797c3b447a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $608,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $650,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $608,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf32a…06fdbacked Yes | 0c | 183,594$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.01 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +6.2wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 7c | 42,827$3,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,098.28 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 4c | 33,440$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.06 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 3c | 24,515$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.46 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e42…0dfebacked Yes | 0c | 20,515$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 165 | 7.3%12 W · 153 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 4c | 16,906$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.35 | 148 | 21.6%32 W · 116 L | -24.5wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 1c | 12,467$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.1 | 247 | 12.1%30 W · 217 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 79c | 7,493$5,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.86 | 168 | 31%52 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…2385backed Yes | 5c | 5,366$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.13 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…6c68backed Yes | 7c | 4,952$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.11 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 68c | 4,405$2,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.14 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…beacbacked Yes | 15c | 4,355$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.17 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…ea78backed No | 59c | 4,181$2,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.03 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6a…0b8cbacked Yes | 66c | 4,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.43per pick | 54cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0652…9134backed Yes | 11c | 3,467$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.12 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -9.9wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.6 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a7b8backed Yes | 11c | 2,243$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.7 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 3c | 2,162$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 197 | 39.1%77 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8932…eb14backed Yes | 7c | 2,003$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05df…882dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,799$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.76 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…220ebacked No | 76c | 1,723$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.82 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6725…1bf9backed Yes | 11c | 1,386$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +8.7wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +109.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9c…c182backed No | 68c | 1,386$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.17 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c4…5b82backed Yes | 6c | 1,360$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.6 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9e…154abacked Yes | 12c | 1,300$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a5…ef2ebacked Yes | 13c | 1,252$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.5 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,222$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.36 | 113 | 20.4%23 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b91…a535backed Yes | 14c | 1,200$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked No | 76c | 1,150$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.68 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked No | 64c | 1,094$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.45 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 4c | 1,062$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x396f…7f78backed No | 71c | 1,049$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.63 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed Yes | 3c | 1,044$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 185 | 31.9%59 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x407b…1dbdbacked Yes | 14c | 929.97$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed Yes | 4c | 890$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ff…9c4dbacked Yes | 12c | 817.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…3a1bbacked Yes | 16c | 747.46$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.26 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5297…7b99backed Yes | 40c | 711.03$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.09 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | -11.1wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +123.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x884a…aa34backed Yes | 26c | 699.99$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.8 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…d7edbacked Yes | 3c | 600$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…8360backed Yes | 9c | 600$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 86 | 16.3%14 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…73b0backed No | 61c | 588.4$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.46 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7db…6688backed Yes | 3c | 570.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 11c | 568.92$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.04 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +15.2wins | +0.17per pick | 34cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 4c | 524.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa91f…9212backed Yes | 9c | 523.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +151.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 10c | 504.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b8…7367backed Yes | 10c | 504.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x407d…1baebacked No | 77c | 483.67$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.12 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec7…ab82backed Yes | 4c | 452$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bd…f03ebacked Yes | 17c | 448$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.14 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 6c | 421.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae70…abfbbacked Yes | 24c | 409.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…9725backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes | 6c | 371.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2738…ebf4backed No | 79c | 349.21$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.77 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…8aabbacked Yes | 19c | 323.18$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…8895backed Yes | 8c | 308.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x121d…832abacked Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b58…eb2bbacked Yes | 21c | 300$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25fd…d8dfbacked Yes | 5c | 273.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 5c | 233$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 203 | 6.4%13 W · 190 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…a390backed No | 64c | 223.68$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 10c | 202.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b3…bad4backed Yes | 52c | 200$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.68 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…9afbbacked Yes | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed Yes | 16c | 199.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 126 | 29.4%37 W · 89 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…6a46backed Yes | 6c | 176.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Yes | 13c | 154.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…637bbacked Yes | 14c | 145.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b57…5fbcbacked Yes | 16c | 144$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed No | 65c | 143.94$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.94 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 60c | 143.54$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.73 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 17c | 126.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x64a0…9d96backed Yes | 14c | 119.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb99…9ff1backed No | 67c | 115$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1a…c7b1backed Yes | 10c | 103$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f26…93bcbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 159 | 43.4%69 W · 90 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 96.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8168…6857backed Yes | 29c | 90.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 62c | 87.66$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 296 | 53.7%159 W · 137 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac6a…2ed3backed No | 76c | 80.31$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 90 | 68.9%62 W · 28 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…f744backed Yes | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba3…389ebacked Yes | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 67c | 78.69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 322 | 43.5%140 W · 182 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed No | 65c | 72$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc26…32cabacked Yes | 22c | 69.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 87 | 19.5%17 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed No | 78c | 69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…ac9bbacked Yes | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…e173backed Yes | 39c | 62.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 159 | 6.9%11 W · 148 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614e…4f1bbacked Yes | 39c | 60.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4eb…e5a3backed Yes | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…5bdfbacked No | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 41c | 58.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a4…a13bbacked Yes | 21c | 58.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8130…5a50backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…e99fbacked Yes | 44c | 47.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?this page
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.