Middle East · resolved market
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d8d89ffe0cbbd7580446fad3835fbf4c3d5f7458564b522d96de2b305326587
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $409,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $417,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $409,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 4c | 34,666$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.06 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 11c | 17,824$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.38 | 148 | 21.6%32 W · 116 L | -24.5wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 1c | 17,215$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.93 | 247 | 12.1%30 W · 217 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 19c | 9,962$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.16 | 175 | 30.9%54 W · 121 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032a…cf07backed Yes | 1c | 7,241$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.36 | 50 | 0%0 W · 50 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…2385backed Yes | 7c | 5,882$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.25 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 15c | 5,235$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.99 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Yes | 8c | 5,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +11.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6a…0b8cbacked Yes | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.43per pick | 54cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…1083backed Yes | 9c | 4,900$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.37 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…6c68backed Yes | 7c | 4,842$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.6 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 7c | 4,615$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.72 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0652…9134backed Yes | 13c | 4,173$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.84 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -9.9wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 22c | 3,802$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.77 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc26…32cabacked Yes | 37c | 3,726$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.02 | 87 | 19.5%17 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed Yes | 8c | 3,449$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.95 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a7b8backed Yes | 14c | 3,405$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.18 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 11c | 3,333$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.63 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed Yes | 22c | 3,035$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.78 | 287 | 34.5%99 W · 188 L | +21.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 52c | 2,797$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.95 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…f0fbbacked Yes | 5c | 2,500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…beacbacked Yes | 25c | 2,420$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.94 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 4c | 2,352$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.93 | 85 | 14.1%12 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 9c | 2,294$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.11 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,766$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2940…304cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,713$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.54 | 161 | 31.7%51 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,672$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.8 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3669…0372backed Yes | 12c | 1,578$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.77 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x396f…7f78backed Yes | 40c | 1,442$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.12 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9c…c182backed Yes | 26c | 1,334$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.62 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 77c | 1,322$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.55 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes | 7c | 1,218$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.45 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 4c | 1,200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 5c | 1,111$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 442 | 24.4%108 W · 334 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,048$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.29 | 296 | 53.7%159 W · 137 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…aeecbacked Yes | 14c | 1,020$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3c…5eeabacked Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…83f5backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 11c | 952.47$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.23 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05df…882dbacked Yes | 16c | 908$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.74 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 12c | 904.58$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.74 | 168 | 31%52 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 12c | 900$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x121d…832abacked No | 79c | 899.98$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed Yes | 14c | 821.63$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.86 | 202 | 39.1%79 W · 123 L | +20.4wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…9e23backed Yes | 12c | 803.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…2494backed Yes | 3c | 774.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 2c | 760$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e59…e56abacked Yes | 23c | 750$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.51 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ec…5f73backed Yes | 11c | 724.68$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.17 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…74ecbacked Yes | 22c | 720.93$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.65 | 114 | 32.5%37 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 17c | 718.68$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.69 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked No | 78c | 712.42$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.4 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…e173backed Yes | 3c | 705.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 159 | 6.9%11 W · 148 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5297…7b99backed Yes | 53c | 705.45$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.18 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | -11.1wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +123.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 9c | 686.23$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.31 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…3a1bbacked Yes | 22c | 674.18$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.67 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x884a…aa34backed Yes | 6c | 634.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9e…154abacked Yes | 19c | 615.49$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.9 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x892b…6fb9backed Yes | 23c | 600$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5973…5e13backed Yes | 2c | 577.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 91 | 16.5%15 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 15c | 544.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd423…0dacbacked Yes | 9c | 541.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49a…69debacked Yes | 15c | 538.51$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa91f…9212backed Yes | 6c | 511.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +151.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 47c | 510.63$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.63 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +77.8wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…f10bbacked Yes | 3c | 506.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe587…59d7backed Yes | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb157…f7cebacked Yes | 9c | 491.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked Yes | 10c | 468.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 229 | 27.1%62 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 11c | 455.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 281 | 26.3%74 W · 207 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked No | 54c | 454.35$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.56 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…f878backed Yes | 4c | 430$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes | 2c | 429.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…7d37backed Yes | 19c | 419.44$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.79 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Yes | 22c | 412.21$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.69 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…9ffdbacked No | 79c | 407.51$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.43 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 71c | 406.88$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.89 | 344 | 32.3%111 W · 233 L | -31.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…c7bdbacked Yes | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 159 | 43.4%69 W · 90 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…d7edbacked Yes | 4c | 400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…73b0backed Yes | 36c | 387.6$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.43 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce83…5b97backed No | 78c | 386.79$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.79 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked Yes | 55c | 364.32$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.64 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d48…678cbacked Yes | 30c | 358.37$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.86 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a5…ef2ebacked Yes | 24c | 356.07$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…fa62backed Yes | 16c | 350$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6725…1bf9backed Yes | 15c | 339.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +8.7wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +109.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Yes | 12c | 334.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe6…2769backed Yes | 25c | 316.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 4c | 304.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 208 | 23.1%48 W · 160 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b81…1210backed No | 73c | 303.3$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.57 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -9.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…f8f3backed Yes | 15c | 300.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +16.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 28c | 300$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb254…ee4fbacked Yes | 17c | 297.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe522…8c25backed Yes | 24c | 292.3$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1308…45c6backed No | 62c | 286.52$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.88 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +13.2wins | +0.24per pick | 41cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x790c…5f9cbacked Yes | 11c | 279.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? this page
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.