Middle East · resolved market
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe208a07bd71069b04e3b89de92f71da8b155d45dc2e527dc46c3ceb2a63b307b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,129,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,098,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,129,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 853 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf396…ed0dbacked Yes | 62c | 76,680$47,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,650.01 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa510…1f80backed Yes | 1c | 66,368$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.93 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc5…afc9backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +251%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 42,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.65 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 16c | 37,852$5,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,986.68 | 148 | 21.6%32 W · 116 L | -24.5wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 36,712$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.34 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c90…79f4backed Yes | 12c | 34,576$4,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,175 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -92.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10e1…aa05backed Yes | 12c | 31,953$3,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,822.29 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed5…1a33backed No | 64c | 31,479$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,479.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…f0adbacked Yes | 39c | 30,000$11,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,699.96 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 57c | 28,049$16,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,046.85 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed No | 67c | 23,576$15,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,858.55 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…51cabacked Yes | 1c | 20,558$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.56 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 19c | 19,804$3,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,763.08 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc266…2f2fbacked Yes | 4c | 18,635$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.8 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 19c | 18,559$3,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,489.48 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed Yes | 1c | 17,410$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.17 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…4950backed No | 48c | 16,447$7,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,546.75 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.24per pick | 32cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb119…8d46backed Yes | 8c | 16,352$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.36 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e7…6e8bbacked No | 58c | 16,308$9,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,814.17 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…08ffbacked Yes | 2c | 16,139$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.32 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd88…4037backed Yes | 1c | 15,799$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.19 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked Yes | 11c | 15,689$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.63 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cb…d447backed No | 47c | 14,814$6,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,877.23 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 49c | 14,608$7,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,185.14 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x436f…2c7fbacked No | 38c | 14,362$5,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,948.04 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1437…acfebacked Yes | 3c | 14,000$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +164.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 37c | 13,776$5,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,660.27 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked Yes | 27c | 13,525$3,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,662.6 | 166 | 38.6%64 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf99f…8742backed No | 53c | 13,399$7,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,328.81 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 9c | 12,699$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.35 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…93eabacked Yes | 54c | 12,636$6,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,783.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 48c | 12,412$5,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,437.64 | 197 | 39.1%77 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked No | 62c | 12,315$7,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,679.54 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…33edbacked Yes | 47c | 12,236$5,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,720.29 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…8c4abacked No | 42c | 11,962$5,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,960.66 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +445.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…5cacbacked No | 70c | 9,988$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,987.59 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7494…680dbacked Yes | 17c | 9,645$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.84 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…93c8backed Yes | 6c | 9,348$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.13 | 130 | 22.3%29 W · 101 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67f9…d241backed Yes | 22c | 8,382$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 17c | 7,955$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.28 | 161 | 25.5%41 W · 120 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 42c | 7,894$3,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,289.46 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 8c | 7,654$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.83 | 199 | 30.7%61 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa1…1fa9backed Yes | 4c | 7,643$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57dc…414bbacked Yes | 9c | 7,450$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.5 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked No | 45c | 7,339$3,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,018.96 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 15c | 6,937$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.25 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +11.7wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…0fc7backed No | 51c | 6,477$3,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,141.6 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.2wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…acfcbacked Yes | 51c | 6,380$3,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,265.64 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…1dc2backed Yes | 67c | 6,360$4,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,286.23 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked No | 51c | 6,132$3,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.46 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…9ffdbacked No | 44c | 6,027$2,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,369.18 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked Yes | 10c | 5,956$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611 | 105 | 28.6%30 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0c…fbb7backed Yes | 56c | 5,940$3,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,302.6 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65b9…dc25backed Yes | 1c | 5,382$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…9b75backed Yes | 14c | 5,167$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.3 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd46…4c7dbacked Yes | 18c | 5,067$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.34 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 48c | 5,045$2,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,620.57 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 170 | 18.2%31 W · 139 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 10c | 4,890$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.58 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | +22.6wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…876fbacked No | 40c | 4,602$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,745.11 | 96 | 13.5%13 W · 83 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 4,598$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.52 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed Yes | 15c | 4,479$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.22 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d0…db7abacked Yes | 22c | 4,420$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.05 | 136 | 17.6%24 W · 112 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 26c | 4,308$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.87 | 281 | 26.3%74 W · 207 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa20a…d92dbacked No | 48c | 4,203$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.08 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…f8f3backed No | 65c | 4,197$2,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.17 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +16.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 56c | 4,180$2,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.02 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…1c22backed Yes | 24c | 4,000$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.14 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed No | 78c | 3,982$3,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.63 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x654a…cc32backed Yes | 38c | 3,937$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0600…bf98backed Yes | 51c | 3,891$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +150%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 3,729$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 51c | 3,586$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.78 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 15c | 3,540$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.81 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb2…d820backed Yes | 0c | 3,422$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…85e4backed Yes | 3c | 3,418$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…6d54backed Yes | 1c | 3,300$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…b243backed Yes | 57c | 3,181$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815.2 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,143$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.22 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…caaabacked No | 79c | 3,097$2,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.16 | 22 | 100%22 W · 0 L | +6.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdd90…83b6backed Yes | 0c | 3,088$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…4f15backed No | 72c | 3,030$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.14 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 29c | 3,029$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.02 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +77.8wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…8020backed Yes | 3c | 3,007$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf027…3f04backed No | 63c | 2,931$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.86 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…d449backed Yes | 40c | 2,792$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.2 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked No | 45c | 2,671$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.95 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +140.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33cd…727bbacked Yes | 6c | 2,669$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.53 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 23c | 2,588$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.99 | 58 | 8.6%5 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…68dbbacked Yes | 4c | 2,585$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 33c | 2,564$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.83 | 223 | 33.6%75 W · 148 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed No | 46c | 2,549$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.67 | 162 | 31.5%51 W · 111 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed No | 78c | 2,548$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.13 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3358…fc36backed No | 68c | 2,510$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.77 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +40%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed No | 66c | 2,464$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.39 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -15.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 2c | 2,441$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…a018backed No | 53c | 2,352$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.61 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?this page
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.