Middle East · resolved market
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70d706fe084905dbafb95dfff13b727e4073efc3ef590adc8330562bac5d26de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,312,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,525,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,312,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,622 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 20c | 314,024$62,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,871.34 | 148 | 21.6%32 W · 116 L | -24.5wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5297…7b99backed Yes | 1c | 113,186$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.86 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | -11.1wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +123.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5969…5bedbacked No | 47c | 67,426$31,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,801.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 6c | 52,024$3,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,224.59 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Yes | 16c | 47,168$7,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,523.55 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 53c | 45,657$24,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,270.17 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 65c | 44,568$29,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,106.09 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…c7c3backed Yes | 17c | 44,242$7,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,521.07 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes | 0c | 38,021$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 67c | 36,259$24,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,974.07 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa771…42d1backed No | 69c | 34,998$24,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,955.27 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +6.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked No | 51c | 34,380$17,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,982.82 | 161 | 25.5%41 W · 120 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb698…976abacked Yes | 3c | 30,016$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.91 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed Yes | 20c | 29,940$5,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,866.51 | 126 | 29.4%37 W · 89 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 28,850$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.4 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10fc…9606backed No | 76c | 26,523$20,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,394.48 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x746f…566dbacked Yes | 0c | 26,010$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.02 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 32cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 15c | 25,000$3,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780.6 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cb…d447backed Yes | 66c | 25,000$16,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,416.66 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…33edbacked No | 74c | 21,983$16,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,742.09 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Yes | 11c | 21,845$2,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437.49 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 12c | 21,658$2,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,691.92 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f62…38fcbacked Yes | 14c | 20,468$2,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,955.27 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc7…6bdebacked Yes | 20c | 19,853$3,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,969.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c7…147abacked Yes | 0c | 19,821$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…acfcbacked Yes | 28c | 19,403$5,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500.87 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked Yes | 50c | 19,058$9,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,482.23 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6d…7104backed Yes | 8c | 18,708$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.93 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes | 24c | 18,310$4,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,353.7 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 17c | 16,481$2,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,868.03 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…6402backed Yes | 17c | 16,416$2,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,809.64 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 23c | 16,264$3,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,679.06 | 58 | 8.6%5 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd054…7e38backed Yes | 17c | 16,000$2,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,769.98 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…a926backed No | 67c | 15,983$10,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,234.79 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 67c | 15,824$10,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,242.21 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 16c | 15,620$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,530.43 | 225 | 29.8%67 W · 158 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…876fbacked Yes | 23c | 14,881$3,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,367.19 | 96 | 13.5%13 W · 83 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…5f1abacked No | 21c | 14,850$3,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,736.96 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 70c | 14,695$10,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,339.88 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 17c | 14,620$2,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425.8 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…f8f3backed No | 71c | 14,554$10,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,179.05 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +16.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…1feabacked Yes | 21c | 14,356$3,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,043.94 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 16c | 14,305$2,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252.72 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 46c | 14,250$6,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,555 | 138 | 23.2%32 W · 106 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x473c…4f61backed No | 65c | 13,239$8,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,591.25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…4e6bbacked Yes | 16c | 13,163$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.69 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f17…519ebacked Yes | 65c | 13,069$8,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,533.81 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a01…7c0abacked No | 78c | 13,000$10,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,884.99 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked No | 57c | 12,198$6,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,225.53 | 177 | 55.4%98 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…aa95backed No | 74c | 11,293$8,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,953.01 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 22c | 10,550$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,332.54 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc16…d936backed Yes | 6c | 10,262$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.73 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x188e…70d8backed No | 62c | 10,167$6,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,829.58 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x454e…36cbbacked No | 62c | 10,000$6,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,768.15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 79c | 10,000$7,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.99 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | -17.8wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb3…2682backed Yes | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.98 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed Yes | 36c | 9,984$3,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,638.23 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Yes | 13c | 9,912$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…64acbacked No | 55c | 9,859$5,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,452.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x436f…2c7fbacked No | 64c | 9,210$5,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,315.49 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61e7…6e8bbacked Yes | 22c | 9,133$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebd…4a36backed No | 73c | 8,963$6,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,396.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3c…5eeabacked No | 76c | 8,921$6,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135.89 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…1dc2backed Yes | 73c | 8,914$6,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,514.72 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 3c | 8,900$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.4 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd324…b23cbacked No | 64c | 8,561$5,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,084.97 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf027…3f04backed No | 72c | 8,516$6,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,421.72 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 62c | 8,485$5,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,246.17 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…83f9backed Yes | 17c | 8,474$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.51 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed No | 77c | 8,442$6,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.57 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d1…14aabacked Yes | 19c | 8,400$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed Yes | 56c | 8,330$4,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,689.66 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49eb…cf37backed No | 50c | 8,075$4,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,044.75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 34c | 7,972$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,690.15 | 215 | 31.2%67 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 14c | 7,952$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.3 | 281 | 26.3%74 W · 207 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 77c | 7,819$6,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.29 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d0…db7abacked Yes | 27c | 7,554$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.23 | 136 | 17.6%24 W · 112 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 18c | 7,550$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.01 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9449…d829backed Yes | 5c | 7,373$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.76 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed No | 68c | 6,819$4,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,178.98 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…94fabacked No | 77c | 6,762$5,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.71 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x248a…4b4abacked Yes | 38c | 6,753$2,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,561.02 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…beacbacked Yes | 22c | 6,706$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.36 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 18c | 6,672$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.32 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 22c | 6,507$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.55 | 168 | 31%52 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 20c | 6,467$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.27 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a63…b4efbacked Yes | 22c | 6,312$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.27 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…e792backed Yes | 51c | 6,250$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…ae29backed Yes | 16c | 6,146$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed No | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b4…1f6ebacked No | 22c | 5,921$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,639.9 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…93c8backed Yes | 20c | 5,905$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.68 | 130 | 22.3%29 W · 101 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 17c | 5,852$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.01 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked Yes | 32c | 5,702$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826.24 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed No | 73c | 5,649$4,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.32 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -15.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa591…9079backed No | 74c | 5,566$4,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.6 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…c492backed Yes | 36c | 5,544$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Yes | 30c | 5,376$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.87 | 153 | 38.6%59 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb06…adccbacked No | 67c | 5,205$3,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.89 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +492.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 15c | 5,163$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.29 | 178 | 39.9%71 W · 107 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?this page
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.