Middle East · resolved market
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x747a380bab6e04278667e1e881cc62bd2a6a6090d295678f426249d06ca79712
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,126,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,190,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,126,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 598 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 10c | 93,271$9,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,503.86 | 215 | 31.2%67 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 14c | 75,108$10,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,694.87 | 138 | 23.2%32 W · 106 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 2c | 46,151$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.6 | 148 | 21.6%32 W · 116 L | -24.5wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked Yes | 46c | 36,160$16,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,794.13 | 166 | 38.6%64 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked No | 45c | 29,405$13,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,101.69 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 26,200$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5c…a68abacked No | 63c | 17,199$10,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,412.27 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…4950backed No | 19c | 14,772$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,971.93 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.24per pick | 32cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 12,818$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.29 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…e798backed Yes | 2c | 11,559$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +405.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa510…1f80backed Yes | 1c | 10,935$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.26 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 74c | 10,249$7,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,653.9 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…1dc2backed No | 71c | 10,153$7,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,972.99 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…6402backed Yes | 39c | 10,050$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,919.5 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf15…2aa9backed Yes | 1c | 9,999$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 52c | 9,700$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.16 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23c9…7095backed Yes | 0c | 9,080$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 31c | 8,000$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.39 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…ef60backed Yes | 8c | 7,924$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.4 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 64c | 7,524$4,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,790.51 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x816a…8df4backed Yes | 1c | 6,766$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fd…cc95backed Yes | 13c | 6,403$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 61c | 6,097$3,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356.51 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55db…2031backed No | 24c | 5,818$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,418.46 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +7.3wins | +0.27per pick | 32cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb401…df2abacked No | 78c | 5,702$4,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.79 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb698…976abacked Yes | 3c | 5,699$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…beacbacked Yes | 13c | 5,432$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.67 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 1c | 5,334$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b8…2256backed No | 68c | 5,290$3,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.75 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked No | 75c | 5,115$3,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.72 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +70%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…b243backed Yes | 53c | 5,105$2,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,705.57 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 101 | 32.7%33 W · 68 L | +10.6wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 33c | 4,867$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.62 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +11.7wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked No | 46c | 4,720$2,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,528.58 | 161 | 25.5%41 W · 120 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd6…60c2backed Yes | 27c | 4,700$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.5 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Yes | 68c | 4,694$3,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,171.29 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 33c | 4,688$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.46 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d19…fb97backed Yes | 34c | 4,361$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.92 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03af…87cbbacked Yes | 57c | 4,350$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.99 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f4…bc90backed No | 50c | 4,342$2,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.41 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 35c | 4,338$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,831.7 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8633…a08dbacked Yes | 76c | 3,953$3,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,014.87 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 1c | 3,894$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 247 | 12.1%30 W · 217 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…6deabacked Yes | 1c | 3,873$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked No | 39c | 3,777$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,322.3 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 10c | 3,744$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.38 | 152 | 34.2%52 W · 100 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x131a…73f9backed No | 65c | 3,663$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.43 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 47c | 3,635$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.57 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…45f2backed Yes | 2c | 3,500$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 20c | 3,500$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.98 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 3,500$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 26c | 3,460$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.64 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 62c | 3,247$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.85 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 64c | 3,201$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.58 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…0e71backed No | 77c | 3,175$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.19 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…93c8backed Yes | 13c | 3,138$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.26 | 130 | 22.3%29 W · 101 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 62c | 3,132$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.82 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked No | 72c | 3,131$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.69 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…51cabacked Yes | 1c | 3,112$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed Yes | 47c | 3,019$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.15 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 14c | 3,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.99 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 2c | 2,994$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 85 | 14.1%12 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked No | 32c | 2,973$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031.98 | 105 | 28.6%30 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0475…ed7abacked No | 53c | 2,688$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.99 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…ab3abacked Yes | 56c | 2,657$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.84 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…f23ebacked Yes | 72c | 2,595$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.09 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x145a…5e86backed No | 59c | 2,565$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.63 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…94fabacked No | 51c | 2,561$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.85 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa3…86e8backed No | 77c | 2,550$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.07 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 79c | 2,500$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.99 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b66…3a93backed No | 22c | 2,477$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.54 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +251.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed No | 20c | 2,474$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +313.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 65c | 2,459$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.77 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x720f…724abacked Yes | 41c | 2,320$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.93 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +170.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed No | 56c | 2,310$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.25 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 54c | 2,277$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.26 | 344 | 32.3%111 W · 233 L | -31.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…6a8ebacked No | 77c | 2,253$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…62e3backed No | 75c | 2,171$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.27 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed Yes | 72c | 2,006$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.52 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,003$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f21…3bcebacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +721.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…79ecbacked No | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.99 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…7a4cbacked No | 78c | 1,996$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.82 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…c539backed No | 55c | 1,991$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.33 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b16…961fbacked No | 30c | 1,976$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.2 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…f8f3backed No | 74c | 1,900$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.03 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +16.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 27c | 1,840$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.13 | 175 | 30.9%54 W · 121 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…4fbcbacked Yes | 12c | 1,792$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.47 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…8360backed Yes | 3c | 1,790$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 86 | 16.3%14 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 3c | 1,726$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8785…df3fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,663$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.74 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 11c | 1,656$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.18 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x102b…a7acbacked Yes | 58c | 1,621$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.02 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…876fbacked Yes | 26c | 1,578$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.92 | 96 | 13.5%13 W · 83 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 47c | 1,574$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.05 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…35acbacked No | 76c | 1,572$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.6 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…acfcbacked No | 55c | 1,566$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.81 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb12a…cb82backed Yes | 1c | 1,557$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 185 | 31.9%59 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?this page
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.