TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Middle East · resolved market

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$119,048
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$143,357

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,048 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Middle East
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x75ac…33d7backed Yes1c15,283$83 inLost-$82.5949023.5%115 W · 375 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1851…ae47backed Yes1c14,874$106 inLost-$106.0524712.1%30 W · 217 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd73…97cdbacked Yes2c10,000$198 inLost-$198.41728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick12cpaid+47.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb254…ee4fbacked Yes1c3,391$20 inLost-$19.972412.5%3 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+31.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x67d9…d57bbacked Yes9c3,001$256 inLost-$256333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick8cpaid+368.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa31…7664backed Yes1c3,000$20 inLost-$20160%0 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf058…e173backed Yes1c2,422$23 inLost-$22.691596.9%11 W · 148 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93a9…0b88backed Yes4c2,000$80 inLost-$805836.2%21 W · 37 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2e7…843ebacked Yes2c1,915$40 inLost-$39.63588.6%5 W · 53 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-73.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6cb…3f69backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost-$104951%25 W · 24 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+122.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes2c1,000$20 inLost-$2021726.7%58 W · 159 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5139…9402backed Yes6c999.99$60 inLost-$604216.7%7 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3437…f8f3backed Yes5c967.32$51 inLost-$51.3915953.5%85 W · 74 L+16.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+26.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x279c…2b82backed Yes9c503.94$47 inLost-$46.926755.2%37 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7df2…01afbacked Yes5c500$25 inLost-$254610.9%5 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-45%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes4c410.48$14 inLost-$14.3885725.2%216 W · 641 L-115.1wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-43.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xb32e…d9cebacked Yes3c300$10 inLost-$10.23339.4%13 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.