Middle East · resolved market
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bef40a1f62d045527228e699990d1bd1f97906b2458a6f3e4a0daf11124060c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,743,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,016,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,743,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,474 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 76c | 475,443$362,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113,242.79 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 31c | 423,686$130,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130,039.16 | 148 | 21.6%32 W · 116 L | -24.5wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 73c | 168,467$123,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,369.21 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 73c | 85,690$62,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,003.23 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0c…fbb7backed Yes | 20c | 83,761$17,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,167.41 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…8f14backed Yes | 10c | 77,697$8,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,046.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa022…77f8backed No | 68c | 71,530$48,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,940.88 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 21c | 70,720$14,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,800.78 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 61c | 67,202$41,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,158.05 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 33c | 64,804$21,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,378.5 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed Yes | 21c | 61,854$13,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,244.18 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d8…0c91backed Yes | 29c | 61,381$17,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,974.85 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x793d…8720backed Yes | 16c | 55,501$8,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,945.71 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 12c | 40,801$4,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,926.89 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +20.0wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…8bb6backed Yes | 27c | 38,559$10,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,405.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +116.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a90…03b5backed Yes | 15c | 37,758$5,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,587.41 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +262.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 6c | 35,737$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.73 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4528…99e2backed No | 80c | 35,671$28,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,161.69 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed No | 66c | 35,422$23,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,174.83 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 60c | 31,732$18,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,828.5 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 53c | 30,637$16,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,266.43 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked Yes | 43c | 30,412$13,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,199.07 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…beacbacked Yes | 22c | 30,087$6,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,763.23 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 71c | 30,000$21,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,644.22 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…e964backed Yes | 24c | 29,489$7,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,131.21 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e7…6e8bbacked No | 55c | 29,313$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,312.92 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 25c | 29,285$7,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,202.81 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…6402backed Yes | 18c | 26,900$4,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,709 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 61c | 25,706$15,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,109.19 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 12c | 23,677$2,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,852.96 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Yes | 28c | 23,323$6,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,622.36 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 71c | 23,101$16,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,782.42 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed No | 76c | 22,200$16,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,438.19 | 287 | 34.5%99 W · 188 L | +21.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 42c | 21,605$8,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,985.07 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed Yes | 49c | 20,030$9,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,745.23 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92bb…1afbbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…45f2backed Yes | 13c | 19,260$2,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,517.7 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…7c9bbacked Yes | 15c | 18,187$2,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,728.12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 69c | 18,076$12,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,684.97 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a01…7c0abacked No | 64c | 17,003$10,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,141.6 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed No | 68c | 16,838$11,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,446.18 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…acfcbacked Yes | 34c | 16,274$5,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,522.12 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed No | 75c | 16,000$11,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…aa8dbacked Yes | 14c | 15,800$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…47cebacked Yes | 15c | 15,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 32c | 14,999$4,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,741.28 | 168 | 31%52 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…876fbacked Yes | 19c | 14,857$2,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,851.83 | 96 | 13.5%13 W · 83 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…e19fbacked Yes | 18c | 14,825$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,629.79 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff9e…b900backed Yes | 26c | 13,952$3,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,585.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed Yes | 25c | 13,942$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +12.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe97c…2a99backed Yes | 52c | 13,333$6,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,976.66 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3c…5eeabacked No | 75c | 12,587$9,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,153.84 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5297…7b99backed Yes | 9c | 12,335$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.11 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | -11.1wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +123.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked Yes | 22c | 12,203$2,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,738.81 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d9…5490backed Yes | 32c | 12,110$3,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,877.59 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +8.7wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6f…f6eebacked Yes | 32c | 11,943$3,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,832.68 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 4c | 11,750$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.05 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed Yes | 31c | 11,549$3,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,621.7 | 126 | 29.4%37 W · 89 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Yes | 29c | 11,545$3,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,348.51 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 32c | 11,388$3,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,676.45 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e71…be4cbacked Yes | 34c | 11,369$3,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,851.88 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fea1backed Yes | 45c | 11,118$5,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,001.8 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 29cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x850d…aae1backed Yes | 43c | 10,904$4,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,656 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb83…77eebacked No | 74c | 10,836$8,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,810.96 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb1…ecdbbacked Yes | 19c | 10,432$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 77c | 9,710$7,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.38 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…b1c7backed Yes | 35c | 9,536$3,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,355.67 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked No | 71c | 9,509$6,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800.66 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa771…42d1backed No | 54c | 9,181$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,180.55 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +6.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…a8adbacked Yes | 43c | 9,090$3,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,938.78 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +132.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…f8f3backed No | 71c | 9,023$6,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,637.21 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +16.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…3c6dbacked No | 64c | 8,839$5,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,220.84 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +8.4wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +48%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…d0d9backed No | 80c | 8,729$6,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.05 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 8,672$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9812…644fbacked No | 73c | 8,540$6,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301.1 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc693…72dbbacked Yes | 24c | 8,330$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd0…754fbacked Yes | 55c | 8,112$4,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,459 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 64c | 8,000$5,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,846.22 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed Yes | 28c | 8,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.98 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…4e6bbacked Yes | 27c | 7,978$2,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160.83 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd324…b23cbacked No | 73c | 7,935$5,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.72 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed No | 77c | 7,686$5,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.51 | 241 | 49.4%119 W · 122 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed No | 73c | 7,565$5,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.73 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -15.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…e5fabacked Yes | 46c | 7,486$3,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,474.03 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…368abacked No | 79c | 7,469$5,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.62 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -11.4wins | -0.20per pick | 67cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 20c | 7,298$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.86 | 215 | 21.9%47 W · 168 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa591…9079backed No | 61c | 7,171$4,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,818.64 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e42…0dfebacked Yes | 3c | 7,088$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.01 | 165 | 7.3%12 W · 153 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fad…f5c0backed Yes | 35c | 7,017$2,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460.95 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +9.1wins | +0.25per pick | 36cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7a63…b4efbacked Yes | 31c | 6,950$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,185.14 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6056…c27cbacked Yes | 24c | 6,687$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.84 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 50c | 6,540$3,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,298.18 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb01…e156backed No | 64c | 6,400$4,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,328 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 48c | 6,223$3,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,216.54 | 223 | 33.6%75 W · 148 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ad…69dfbacked Yes | 15c | 6,100$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 15c | 6,090$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.46 | 270 | 47.8%129 W · 141 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…5166backed Yes | 28c | 6,013$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.89 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 14c | 6,000$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.7 | 170 | 18.2%31 W · 139 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…94fabacked No | 74c | 5,893$4,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.81 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked No | 64c | 5,878$3,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.15 | 177 | 55.4%98 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?this page
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.