Middle East · resolved market
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba9e2c497a753af5534c0811d578d044695fec32a563ace340152850561c6409
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $493,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $507,669
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $493,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 284 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf4d…33edbacked No | 79c | 19,124$15,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,944.34 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 1c | 15,846$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.2 | 247 | 12.1%30 W · 217 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 23c | 15,776$3,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,603.29 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 4c | 15,240$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.55 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…220ebacked No | 78c | 14,992$11,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,283.7 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 24c | 13,261$3,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,161.79 | 148 | 21.6%32 W · 116 L | -24.5wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2598…40a3backed Yes | 11c | 11,763$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.63 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 78c | 10,357$8,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.37 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 2c | 9,851$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.04 | 161 | 25.5%41 W · 120 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 24c | 9,169$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.41 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…5520backed Yes | 1c | 9,153$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 17c | 6,783$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.8 | 168 | 31%52 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032a…cf07backed Yes | 1c | 6,642$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 50 | 0%0 W · 50 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 7c | 5,873$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.18 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 10c | 5,844$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.95 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 5,374$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.32 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…e5fcbacked Yes | 3c | 5,266$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab7b…f350backed No | 70c | 4,285$3,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.71 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…aeecbacked Yes | 36c | 4,276$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.43 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 1c | 3,818$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 85 | 14.1%12 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 21c | 3,393$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.07 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…2385backed Yes | 8c | 3,333$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.27 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a7b8backed Yes | 18c | 3,047$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.77 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 4c | 3,042$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.47 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | +12.1wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 225 | 29.8%67 W · 158 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 23c | 3,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2940…304cbacked Yes | 11c | 2,916$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.69 | 161 | 31.7%51 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed No | 71c | 2,700$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Yes | 11c | 2,500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +11.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e7…843ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,400$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 58 | 8.6%5 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 72c | 2,351$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.51 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,341$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked Yes | 36c | 2,240$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.52 | 166 | 38.6%64 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 29c | 2,222$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.26 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x884a…aa34backed Yes | 2c | 2,220$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 31c | 2,143$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.72 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…4723backed Yes | 1c | 2,064$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa91f…9212backed Yes | 3c | 2,003$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +151.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62da…326dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,876$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…e173backed Yes | 2c | 1,828$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 159 | 6.9%11 W · 148 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…da6ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,800$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x654a…cc32backed No | 63c | 1,579$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.62 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 2c | 1,533$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 306 | 35.9%110 W · 196 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…93e6backed Yes | 2c | 1,532$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +215.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 15c | 1,510$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.83 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…3fbfbacked Yes | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 27cpaid | +183.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…83f5backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…6c68backed Yes | 15c | 1,460$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.94 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked No | 80c | 1,400$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 19c | 1,371$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.29 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed Yes | 15c | 1,370$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.04 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5297…7b99backed Yes | 52c | 1,293$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.09 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | -11.1wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +123.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes | 9c | 1,264$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.85 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 17c | 1,183$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.99 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…9725backed Yes | 4c | 1,137$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…beacbacked Yes | 27c | 1,137$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.71 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked Yes | 57c | 1,134$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.17 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6acb…3cd3backed No | 73c | 1,101$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.61 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0013…3c30backed Yes | 11c | 1,101$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 87 | 21.8%19 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…74ecbacked Yes | 22c | 1,091$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.81 | 114 | 32.5%37 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f08…73a8backed Yes | 5c | 1,067$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb254…ee4fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,013$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed7b…dc73backed Yes | 15c | 1,007$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 12c | 1,005$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.69 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 223 | 33.6%75 W · 148 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d4…9002backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 23cpaid | +124.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked Yes | 15c | 977.49$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.62 | 229 | 27.1%62 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 16c | 948.71$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.87 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 80c | 877$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.4 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…70a4backed No | 72c | 830.09$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.83 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24cf…643abacked Yes | 3c | 820$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe397…bfcbbacked Yes | 31c | 789.99$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.38 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb72…6c45backed Yes | 3c | 777.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed No | 65c | 755$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.7 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0652…9134backed Yes | 21c | 750$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.38 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -9.9wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8698…2a6fbacked Yes | 3c | 727.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9b…399cbacked Yes | 1c | 684.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +139.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 26c | 666$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.91 | 442 | 24.4%108 W · 334 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 14c | 642.63$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.32 | 281 | 26.3%74 W · 207 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8932…eb14backed Yes | 48c | 628.4$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f3…85debacked No | 80c | 627.68$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.4 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked No | 68c | 604.45$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.8 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9747…ee6bbacked Yes | 3c | 604.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed Yes | 3c | 600.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 154 | 34.4%53 W · 101 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef3…ac46backed No | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…d7edbacked Yes | 6c | 599.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…f8f3backed Yes | 30c | 567$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.1 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +16.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…4258backed Yes | 11c | 565.25$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 14c | 556$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7340…4e09backed Yes | 2c | 534.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 8c | 530.73$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 215 | 31.2%67 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04c3…9a7cbacked Yes | 32c | 512.93$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.1 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 24c | 500$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.33 | 291 | 29.9%87 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…1083backed No | 67c | 499.98$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ed…baa9backed Yes | 3c | 471.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -73%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 31c | 463.36$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.38 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2b…bb8abacked Yes | 6c | 462.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?this page
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.