Middle East · resolved market
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01cde1a8833d5095b44aeda4ecf3d3ec0ed13092a3ffba82cd1b1af078a7d0d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $442,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $451,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $442,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x907d…20c4backed Yes | 0c | 51,131$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 5c | 40,850$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,131.49 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9036…71e8backed Yes | 3c | 23,093$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…9402backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…3068backed Yes | 2c | 18,368$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.63 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +624.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed Yes | 0c | 14,222$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 28c | 13,101$3,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,629.13 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…33edbacked No | 71c | 11,693$8,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,443.44 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7494…680dbacked Yes | 20c | 8,430$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.84 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc266…2f2fbacked Yes | 3c | 8,379$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b9…7577backed Yes | 3c | 7,576$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 2c | 6,330$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.95 | 225 | 29.8%67 W · 158 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 42c | 4,704$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.92 | 175 | 30.9%54 W · 121 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked No | 78c | 4,388$3,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.58 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed No | 80c | 4,233$3,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.6 | 148 | 21.6%32 W · 116 L | -24.5wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 3,569$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.51 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03af…87cbbacked Yes | 1c | 3,404$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed No | 59c | 3,375$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.38 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c0…22c1backed Yes | 1c | 3,056$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…a303backed Yes | 25c | 3,040$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.66 | 102 | 27.5%28 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked No | 70c | 3,035$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.86 | 177 | 55.4%98 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xccb3…2eadbacked Yes | 3c | 3,007$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.02 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 247 | 12.1%30 W · 217 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x145a…5e86backed Yes | 23c | 2,933$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.11 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked No | 77c | 2,894$2,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.7 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked Yes | 28c | 2,741$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.96 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 77c | 2,600$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.95 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…5523backed Yes | 49c | 2,415$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.18 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 27c | 2,300$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.55 | 126 | 34.9%44 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…b153backed Yes | 1c | 2,200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…ffa6backed Yes | 15c | 1,876$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 5c | 1,539$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.94 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…dbb2backed No | 57c | 1,488$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.66 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…3c6dbacked No | 51c | 1,477$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.1 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +8.4wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +48%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 43c | 1,431$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.68 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1718…8ceebacked Yes | 18c | 1,420$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…876fbacked Yes | 38c | 1,365$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.12 | 96 | 13.5%13 W · 83 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…4f15backed No | 74c | 1,361$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.95 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…abffbacked Yes | 2c | 1,300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed Yes | 22c | 1,232$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.6 | 202 | 43.1%87 W · 115 L | +30.9wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 68c | 1,217$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.4 | 322 | 43.5%140 W · 182 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…b158backed Yes | 20c | 1,196$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.14 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +11.5wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 79c | 1,142$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.42 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,135$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 113 | 20.4%23 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x233b…1f2cbacked Yes | 23c | 1,105$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…3b4fbacked Yes | 40c | 1,046$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.66 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 43c | 1,020$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.6 | 138 | 23.2%32 W · 106 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x270f…5e39backed Yes | 3c | 1,004$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 30cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 44c | 999.99$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.1 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…a830backed Yes | 6c | 939.32$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.07 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…5bfabacked Yes | 7c | 908.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3d…4dc6backed Yes | 35c | 904.88$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.88 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…2020backed Yes | 20c | 900$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +25.8wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…3348backed Yes | 47c | 845.39$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes | 27c | 814$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.77 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d17…c3dabacked Yes | 3c | 803.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 77c | 800$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.66 | 341 | 43.4%148 W · 193 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 2c | 782.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 155 | 23.2%36 W · 119 L | +12.1wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5973…5e13backed No | 58c | 770.94$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.25 | 91 | 16.5%15 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 27c | 738.83$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.49 | 234 | 20.9%49 W · 185 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8032…7c6cbacked Yes | 57c | 706.04$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…e173backed Yes | 2c | 685$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 159 | 6.9%11 W · 148 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…2501backed Yes | 37c | 668.29$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.11 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 71c | 663.72$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.8 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 25c | 655.04$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.89 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…f8f3backed No | 53c | 639$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.28 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +16.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 11c | 620$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.97 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 48c | 617.49$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.05 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…993bbacked No | 67c | 605.24$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.74 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x793d…8720backed Yes | 2c | 584.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes | 20c | 576$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8963…de64backed No | 76c | 573.1$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.2 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65b9…dc25backed Yes | 3c | 566.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b7…f23dbacked Yes | 30c | 500.02$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.49 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…7e02backed Yes | 3c | 413$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 4cpaid | +422.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28b7…bf2dbacked Yes | 4c | 406.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed No | 45c | 400.67$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.59 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed No | 35c | 400$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262 | 185 | 31.9%59 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d77…af31backed Yes | 14c | 399.95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 72c | 384.33$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.59 | 306 | 35.9%110 W · 196 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe543…ecd4backed Yes | 12c | 363.08$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d9…5490backed Yes | 26c | 360.37$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.07 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +8.7wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…e6bdbacked Yes | 22c | 360$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +13.5wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 76c | 326$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.24 | 292 | 54.8%160 W · 132 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 55c | 325.5$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.39 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | +22.6wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…3a04backed Yes | 16c | 309.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 201 | 31.8%64 W · 137 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked Yes | 53c | 306.07$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.04 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 33c | 303.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.28per pick | 35cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed No | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed Yes | 12c | 284.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 92 | 17.4%16 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98d…1ea3backed No | 77c | 274.36$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…8d3fbacked No | 66c | 255.23$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.59 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 40c | 251.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.22 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed No | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 202 | 39.1%79 W · 123 L | +20.4wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 48c | 247.89$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 12c | 246.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 317 | 28.7%91 W · 226 L | -35.7wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a68…bf1ebacked Yes | 4c | 244$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…bb9ebacked Yes | 4c | 244$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?this page
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.