Middle East · resolved market
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6e388d87a81a17dd8f2046479e11c50bf32bcf475ce75a3506c5cf19a09613c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,281,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,302,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,281,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 713 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 51c | 186,839$94,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,437.67 | 148 | 21.6%32 W · 116 L | -24.5wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 19c | 81,708$15,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,336.54 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 35c | 73,299$25,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,812.43 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked No | 49c | 39,180$19,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,972.42 | 161 | 25.5%41 W · 120 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…dea6backed Yes | 41c | 32,986$13,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,365.27 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc26…32cabacked No | 52c | 32,836$17,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,781.56 | 87 | 19.5%17 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 42c | 32,701$13,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,062.52 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 36c | 29,195$10,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,546.77 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…ea78backed No | 51c | 25,748$13,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,515.9 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked No | 16c | 25,743$4,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,624.28 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked No | 44c | 22,586$9,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,674.65 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…33edbacked No | 71c | 20,963$14,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,976.74 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed No | 27c | 18,630$5,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,539.5 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 44c | 17,958$7,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,952.57 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked No | 63c | 14,843$9,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,422.31 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +9.7wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +156.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…16cebacked No | 19c | 14,742$2,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,883.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 1c | 14,389$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.59 | 247 | 12.1%30 W · 217 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 20c | 14,321$2,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,510.09 | 197 | 39.1%77 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 17c | 13,297$2,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,989.18 | 175 | 30.9%54 W · 121 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…3a20backed No | 17c | 13,133$2,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,887.95 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed Yes | 61c | 13,096$7,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,994.7 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c7…b402backed No | 19c | 13,037$2,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,624.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 27c | 12,960$3,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,467.38 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4728…6426backed Yes | 72c | 10,491$7,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,503.92 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked No | 58c | 10,361$6,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,359.74 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…f939backed No | 16c | 10,249$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,641.43 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…355ebacked No | 63c | 10,073$6,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,742.1 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…e9ebbacked Yes | 2c | 10,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked No | 13c | 10,000$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,702.43 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 54c | 9,350$5,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,079.94 | 168 | 31%52 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 9,200$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…aa95backed No | 47c | 9,130$4,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,853.54 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed No | 69c | 8,948$6,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,779.8 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked No | 61c | 8,472$5,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,264.25 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05df…882dbacked Yes | 70c | 8,113$5,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,682.34 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed No | 57c | 8,071$4,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,474.55 | 225 | 29.8%67 W · 158 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032a…cf07backed Yes | 0c | 7,958$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 50 | 0%0 W · 50 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…85ecbacked Yes | 9c | 7,140$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.56 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +9.7wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +186.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed No | 38c | 7,034$2,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,351.73 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -15.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 1c | 7,017$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.29 | 85 | 14.1%12 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 6c | 7,016$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,563.38 | 215 | 31.2%67 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 32c | 6,733$2,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.6 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a2…b1a0backed No | 15c | 6,704$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,698.75 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 13cpaid | +400.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked No | 15c | 6,563$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,603.28 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacea…8b97backed No | 25c | 6,425$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,807.67 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed No | 37c | 6,214$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,923.57 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…05fdbacked No | 44c | 6,000$2,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,387.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed No | 49c | 5,887$2,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,991.47 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 26c | 5,837$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,336.57 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83f1…1936backed No | 24c | 5,816$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,430.51 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…f8f3backed No | 61c | 5,674$3,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232.78 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +16.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed No | 57c | 5,612$3,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,395.21 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 70c | 5,500$3,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.9 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…2227backed Yes | 37c | 5,325$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.61 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6089…5acbbacked Yes | 5c | 5,000$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Yes | 66c | 4,988$3,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,291.65 | 137 | 38%52 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…aa36backed No | 16c | 4,987$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,174.53 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a87…89eabacked No | 41c | 4,984$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,943.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 1c | 4,693$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x920e…001ebacked Yes | 67c | 4,662$3,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,106.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ca…fa38backed No | 64c | 4,394$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…beacbacked Yes | 42c | 4,347$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.52 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed No | 55c | 4,301$2,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.66 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2598…40a3backed Yes | 72c | 4,288$3,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,081.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 23c | 4,269$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300.7 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee9…2673backed Yes | 42c | 4,257$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +5.9wins | +0.37per pick | 32cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e1…69a6backed Yes | 2c | 4,149$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 72c | 4,036$2,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.42 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…e0c5backed No | 76c | 3,954$3,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.17 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…e5fcbacked Yes | 4c | 3,900$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…3c6dbacked No | 18c | 3,884$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,170.39 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +8.4wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +48%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked No | 7c | 3,840$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,587.76 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +11.7wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6f…2715backed No | 53c | 3,748$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.11 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91a5…ef2ebacked Yes | 2c | 3,740$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…9e23backed No | 21c | 3,622$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,860.99 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 2c | 3,600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…3a1bbacked No | 60c | 3,529$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.4 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed No | 40c | 3,519$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.82 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…da6ebacked No | 61c | 3,486$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.75 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 6c | 3,389$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.56 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 78c | 3,231$2,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.4 | 296 | 53.7%159 W · 137 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65b9…dc25backed Yes | 2c | 3,155$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8e…e2dbbacked No | 50c | 3,151$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 34c | 3,093$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,028.69 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…084ebacked No | 19c | 3,070$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,478.45 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…fbb0backed No | 26c | 3,035$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244.66 | 142 | 28.2%40 W · 102 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0c…fbb7backed Yes | 20c | 3,031$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c9…1c13backed No | 40c | 3,023$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.82 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…0e53backed Yes | 2c | 3,000$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…ac0bbacked No | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +182.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed No | 17c | 3,000$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,497.99 | 287 | 34.5%99 W · 188 L | +21.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3c…5eeabacked Yes | 80c | 2,996$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,386.26 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd87d…52f9backed No | 23c | 2,992$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,312.53 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…5b73backed Yes | 48c | 2,917$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…feddbacked Yes | 2c | 2,887$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 210 | 34.3%72 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed No | 61c | 2,843$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.67 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…a303backed No | 34c | 2,836$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.63 | 102 | 27.5%28 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb749…cd19backed Yes | 49c | 2,785$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…e173backed Yes | 1c | 2,723$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 159 | 6.9%11 W · 148 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?this page
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.