TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6acb…3cd3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
126
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Middle East, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 59 out of 100; worst UFC at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT9454.3%51 W · 43 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 94 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FalleN win a S-Tier event before June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
FaZe roster change Before GTA VI?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$33
Will any player break a device during IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
Will s1zzi have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.08
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+712.7%+$409.54
Will Team Falcons win an S tier event in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$69.45
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will Aurora reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will FURIA reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+192.4%+$96.22
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$36.65
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.88
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Will Natus Vincere qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
Will BetBoom qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+349.3%+$104.78
Will FUT qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.15
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will The MongolZ qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Will Legacy qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Aurora qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.79
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$52.8
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$19.19
Showing 25 of 94 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+65.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$300.61
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.8
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$67.35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$97.65
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$66.96
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$340.06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$35.08
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$36.67
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$90.06
All 17 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake release a surprise album?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.