CS2 · resolved market
FaZe roster change Before GTA VI?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78b86705913bc56b0e90e6990f0c3a36f103ae79f37684e1d7d4103b1101d899
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4aab…e765backed No | 8c | 3,269$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed No | 43c | 1,410$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 5c | 794.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7153…2634backed No | 21c | 783.96$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Yes | 31c | 731.37$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.21 | 101 | 11.9%12 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6560…e164backed No | 3c | 500.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 17c | 316.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.66 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07e1…3fb4backed No | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…9a43backed Yes | 59c | 295$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.87 | 85 | 70.6%60 W · 25 L | +18.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 4c | 275$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 75 | 9.3%7 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dff…f0c8backed Yes | 32c | 250$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.07 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 13c | 236.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -9.5wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 18c | 214.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Yes | 52c | 166$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.14 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f04…6a54backed No | 9c | 165.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x119a…2192backed Yes | 32c | 155$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ca…cab8backed Yes | 54c | 148.06$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ca05backed No | 18c | 130.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca6a…a71dbacked Yes | 43c | 116.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 15c | 114.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed No | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed No | 51c | 78.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x722b…31fcbacked No | 45c | 78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed No | 18c | 77.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed No | 17c | 76.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c54…e691backed Yes | 35c | 67.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6acb…3cd3backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceae…2f49backed No | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 33 | 81.8%27 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.