Middle East · resolved market
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecf63047b28b4a9a5a94782e5b2c501348303de25a6ee78f08b02d4f2bad1748
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,347,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,194,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,347,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 770 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 0c | 92,311$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.63 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66b…1220backed Yes | 0c | 50,797$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.52 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…6510backed Yes | 12c | 43,719$5,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,233.23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a39…b87fbacked Yes | 35c | 34,106$11,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,770.17 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed No | 55c | 23,670$13,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,632.63 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x104a…5b05backed Yes | 13c | 20,393$2,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,621.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +767.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Yes | 31c | 20,000$6,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,220 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 14c | 19,261$2,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,792.15 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…ea5dbacked No | 56c | 17,012$9,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,517.33 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 45c | 16,580$7,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,505.52 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d81…06edbacked Yes | 21c | 15,968$3,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,305.81 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e42…0dfebacked Yes | 2c | 14,906$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.08 | 165 | 7.3%12 W · 153 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 20c | 14,424$2,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,907.06 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0c…fbb7backed Yes | 11c | 13,941$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.12 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85f1…e20dbacked Yes | 2c | 13,915$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked No | 65c | 13,544$8,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,710.94 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 3c | 12,934$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.51 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed Yes | 21c | 12,094$2,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555.64 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…a90abacked Yes | 43c | 11,721$5,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,087.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…b919backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 22c | 10,433$2,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,281.54 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 9,350$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 15c | 8,703$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.85 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 8,527$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.77 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…99c0backed Yes | 38c | 8,218$3,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,089.77 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 46c | 7,905$3,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,249.13 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66d9…bef3backed Yes | 3c | 7,450$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.1 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4c…6d64backed Yes | 29c | 7,121$2,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.57 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes | 13c | 7,000$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 73c | 6,599$4,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.87 | 258 | 43.4%112 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…cd87backed No | 70c | 6,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 17c | 6,000$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 6c | 5,925$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.41 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…e964backed Yes | 23c | 5,749$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.53 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 70c | 5,233$3,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.28 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…b9a4backed Yes | 11c | 4,951$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf74…d8bcbacked Yes | 21c | 4,838$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +551.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0f…a925backed No | 20c | 4,690$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,746.89 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 12c | 4,658$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.93 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 39c | 4,542$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.59 | 222 | 62.2%138 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 14c | 4,433$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.46 | 191 | 19.9%38 W · 153 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 32c | 4,416$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.61 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Yes | 28c | 4,242$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.19 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81b…5e32backed Yes | 24c | 4,196$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f3…3d98backed Yes | 4c | 4,166$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.87 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +1,095.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe555…a91dbacked Yes | 3c | 4,100$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 19c | 3,963$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 79c | 3,745$2,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.55 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 45c | 3,578$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.9 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…8268backed Yes | 17c | 3,480$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +187.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…0f72backed Yes | 21c | 3,257$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.46 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf396…ed0dbacked No | 78c | 3,146$2,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.4 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…a882backed Yes | 0c | 3,132$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 48c | 3,059$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.21 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 46c | 3,050$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.2 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 13c | 3,045$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.08 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288e…17d1backed No | 73c | 2,900$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…fc71backed Yes | 5c | 2,893$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef8a…fd72backed Yes | 8c | 2,826$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.18 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 59c | 2,783$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.25 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9145…fe79backed Yes | 72c | 2,773$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…efd6backed No | 50c | 2,645$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.49 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -5.2wins | -0.43per pick | 52cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 9c | 2,630$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.17 | 243 | 8.2%20 W · 223 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…9b82backed Yes | 4c | 2,607$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…c41bbacked No | 56c | 2,460$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 2,403$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.86 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked No | 70c | 2,336$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.27 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b3…c131backed Yes | 20c | 2,329$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.13 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +309.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2570…f79cbacked Yes | 23c | 2,329$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c85…31d4backed Yes | 10c | 2,323$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 102 | 26.5%27 W · 75 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Yes | 48c | 2,186$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.38 | 153 | 38.6%59 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e62…c577backed Yes | 5c | 2,169$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 17c | 2,131$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.94 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a76…53debacked Yes | 5c | 2,084$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb2…d2c3backed Yes | 26c | 2,031$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed No | 67c | 2,020$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.76 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 6c | 2,019$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.43 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 199 | 30.7%61 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa173…3315backed No | 60c | 2,000$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.8 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e20…40a8backed No | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked No | 65c | 2,000$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706 | 166 | 38.6%64 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.2 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa224…3769backed Yes | 32c | 1,980$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.79 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…beacbacked Yes | 13c | 1,945$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.7 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…6834backed Yes | 2c | 1,933$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +57%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 1,857$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.33 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…a5fbbacked No | 64c | 1,855$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.75 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…0299backed Yes | 52c | 1,821$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.83 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 15c | 1,813$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.36 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 43c | 1,792$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.59 | 341 | 43.4%148 W · 193 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked No | 67c | 1,758$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.92 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed No | 77c | 1,731$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.34 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b2e3backed No | 77c | 1,717$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.57 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,712$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5730…891ebacked Yes | 22c | 1,678$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…16f6backed Yes | 32c | 1,663$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.99 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc894…3f4dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,629$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +2,617.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…58a3backed No | 49c | 1,597$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.75 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…ff0ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,579$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.47 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed Yes | 22c | 1,562$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.34 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +41.8wins | +0.30per pick | 34cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 78+0.26 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?this page
- JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11?Yes won
- JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 12?Yes won
- JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 14?Yes won
- JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 15?Yes won
- JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes won
- JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by March 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.