TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,168
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,486

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,168 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5faf…1183backed Over43c30,407$13,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,302.2710935.8%39 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7262…a1f0backed Under0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under54c7,355$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.561,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Under57c6,471$3,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,717.3485446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Over67c4,667$3,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,548.621,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Under56c4,018$2,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,244.199855.1%54 W · 44 L+8.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+27.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under56c3,299$1,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,863.562,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Under55c3,106$1,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,714.31,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Under57c2,640$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504.661,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under58c2,546$1,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476.6828455.6%158 W · 126 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x42ff…1417backed Under58c2,518$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-45.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed Under57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.9814950.3%75 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under54c1,998$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.342,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under29c1,984$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.852,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x574e…befbbacked Over48c1,768$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x973e…2de5backed Under58c1,600$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Under58c1,207$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7005644.6%25 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8d…01debacked Over43c1,121$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.936737.3%25 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd435…fababacked Under58c1,026$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.49837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb417…d931backed Over44c1,020$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.26446.9%30 W · 34 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc05…013abacked Over45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5504971.4%35 W · 14 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over44c953.24$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.8138841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa396…6c5dbacked Over67c937.13$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.42728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-56%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed Under58c884.05$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.7515349.7%76 W · 77 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7c8…35c6backed Under58c830$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaa0…e78abacked Under55c789.99$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.13842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-36%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed Under50c764.77$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.4514042.1%59 W · 81 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under48c656.97$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.3519351.3%99 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked Over43c599.98$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.9910644.3%47 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c4…0734backed Over43c593.02$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.0218848.4%91 W · 97 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x829f…3486backed Over45c510$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.58833%29 W · 59 L-8.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe4a1…e26abacked Over43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2852661.5%16 W · 10 L+5.7wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+45.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2651,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x662b…73a8backed Under32c494.61$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Over44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.5540449.8%201 W · 203 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over45c413.22$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.325634.4%88 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Under19c384.89$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.591,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Under52c381.21$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1986654.5%36 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Over49c370$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.695345.3%24 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Over70c365.91$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.6428651%146 W · 140 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa718…baf1backed Over43c346$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.225044%22 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x597d…b97dbacked Over44c313.64$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.648239%32 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Over52c310.5$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.0440141.6%167 W · 234 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under56c280.01$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.817045.9%78 W · 92 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked Over43c272.09$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.0930236.8%111 W · 191 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under35c271.74$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.081,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Under57c267.44$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.4489248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Over43c261.63$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.1335839.4%141 W · 217 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed Over43c252$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.6458745%264 W · 323 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb27d…3cc3backed Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2716254.3%88 W · 74 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dae…a48ebacked Over43c226.92$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.34966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+28.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2615…547abacked Over43c226.84$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.31442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39e4…03d4backed Over43c226.56$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.141457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked Over66c226.1$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8926653.4%142 W · 124 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9219…c3e2backed Over44c222.86$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.8540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba1e…946dbacked Under56c222.06$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.861747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Over43c220.75$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.837234.7%25 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce60…f989backed Over43c209.3$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.31136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over48c209$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.245,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb775…36f5backed Over49c205.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.8422757.3%130 W · 97 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf561…f20dbacked Over53c189.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.547646.1%35 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under56c185.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1610053%53 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under55c177.47$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.611,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over67c174.97$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.961,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under56c174.39$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6688242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Over51c171.39$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3937949.3%187 W · 192 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c2…a16ebacked Over47c159.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.6648566.2%321 W · 164 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed Under58c152.54$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.474156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over63c147.85$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2445238.3%173 W · 279 L-29.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf948…bb6abacked Over71c140.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.83333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x764b…1fafbacked Over47c139.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.96241.9%26 W · 36 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under43c131.55$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1340635.7%145 W · 261 L-33.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under57c130$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.19447.9%45 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Under57c129.02$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.542748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under29c124.09$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.323,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over70c122.92$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8873948.4%358 W · 381 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05ab…bf47backed Over43c122.49$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.821258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Under58c120.42$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8419342.5%82 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c68…d4ffbacked Under58c117.38$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.081643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c96…f26abacked Over57c116.18$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504367.4%29 W · 14 L+5.7wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+22.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0367…74e4backed Over44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.646467.2%43 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed Over45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1112157.9%70 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa7…afb4backed Under26c110.93$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.219454.1%105 W · 89 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Under57c110$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.737453.2%199 W · 175 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over74c107.88$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5937149.6%184 W · 187 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb44…f556backed Over44c104.55$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.557258.3%42 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5220944.5%93 W · 116 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfd7…bc5dbacked Under25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-45.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Over51c95$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.532139.9%128 W · 193 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Over52c90$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4864046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over53c83.25$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.231,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Over44c72.95$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9528541.1%117 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked Under55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010454.8%57 W · 47 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under28c71.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.092,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over62c69.8$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6268659.5%408 W · 278 L+65.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb434…8b4fbacked Over43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.772475%18 W · 6 L+6.8wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+74.5%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Over43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.778045%36 W · 44 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x78ab…6fcdbacked Over43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7711348.7%55 W · 58 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe68a…5a2bbacked Over44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.183528.6%10 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.