CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec0a84c4130c15612ea1305a479737215e91237d7271c5433b27450d10854505
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5faf…1183backed Over | 43c | 30,407$13,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,302.27 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7262…a1f0backed Under | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 54c | 7,355$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.56 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 57c | 6,471$3,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,717.34 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 67c | 4,667$3,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.62 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Under | 56c | 4,018$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244.19 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 56c | 3,299$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,863.56 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 55c | 3,106$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.3 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 57c | 2,640$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.66 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 58c | 2,546$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.68 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42ff…1417backed Under | 58c | 2,518$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Under | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.98 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 54c | 1,998$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.34 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 29c | 1,984$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.85 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…befbbacked Over | 48c | 1,768$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…2de5backed Under | 58c | 1,600$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Under | 58c | 1,207$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…01debacked Over | 43c | 1,121$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.93 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd435…fababacked Under | 58c | 1,026$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb417…d931backed Over | 44c | 1,020$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.2 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc05…013abacked Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 44c | 953.24$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.81 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…6c5dbacked Over | 67c | 937.13$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -56%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed Under | 58c | 884.05$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.75 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c8…35c6backed Under | 58c | 830$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa0…e78abacked Under | 55c | 789.99$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.1 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Under | 50c | 764.77$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.45 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 48c | 656.97$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.35 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Over | 43c | 599.98$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.99 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0734backed Over | 43c | 593.02$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.02 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3486backed Over | 45c | 510$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.5 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…e26abacked Over | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +5.7wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…73a8backed Under | 32c | 494.61$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Over | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 45c | 413.22$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.3 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 19c | 384.89$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.59 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Under | 52c | 381.21$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…6bb0backed Over | 49c | 370$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.69 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 70c | 365.91$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.64 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…baf1backed Over | 43c | 346$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.22 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked Over | 44c | 313.64$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.64 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Over | 52c | 310.5$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.04 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 56c | 280.01$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.8 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 43c | 272.09$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.09 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 35c | 271.74$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.08 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 57c | 267.44$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.44 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Over | 43c | 261.63$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.13 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Over | 43c | 252$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.64 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…3cc3backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…a48ebacked Over | 43c | 226.92$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.34 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…547abacked Over | 43c | 226.84$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.3 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…03d4backed Over | 43c | 226.56$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.14 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Over | 66c | 226.1$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.89 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9219…c3e2backed Over | 44c | 222.86$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1e…946dbacked Under | 56c | 222.06$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.86 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Over | 43c | 220.75$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.83 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce60…f989backed Over | 43c | 209.3$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 48c | 209$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.24 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed Over | 49c | 205.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 227 | 57.3%130 W · 97 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf561…f20dbacked Over | 53c | 189.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.54 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 56c | 185.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.16 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 55c | 177.47$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.61 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 67c | 174.97$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 56c | 174.39$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 51c | 171.39$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked Over | 47c | 159.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.66 | 485 | 66.2%321 W · 164 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Under | 58c | 152.54$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.47 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 63c | 147.85$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 452 | 38.3%173 W · 279 L | -29.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf948…bb6abacked Over | 71c | 140.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…1fafbacked Over | 47c | 139.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.9 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 43c | 131.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 57c | 130$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed Under | 57c | 129.02$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.54 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 29c | 124.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 70c | 122.92$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…bf47backed Over | 43c | 122.49$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.82 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Under | 58c | 120.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 193 | 42.5%82 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c68…d4ffbacked Under | 58c | 117.38$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.08 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c96…f26abacked Over | 57c | 116.18$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0367…74e4backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Under | 26c | 110.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 194 | 54.1%105 W · 89 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 57c | 110$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 74c | 107.88$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb44…f556backed Over | 44c | 104.55$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.55 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd7…bc5dbacked Under | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Over | 51c | 95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 321 | 39.9%128 W · 193 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Over | 52c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.48 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 53c | 83.25$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Over | 44c | 72.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Under | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 28c | 71.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 62c | 69.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb434…8b4fbacked Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +6.8wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2673…5ac9backed Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ab…6fcdbacked Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5a2bbacked Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 WinnerG2 won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)G2 won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)G2 won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)G2 won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)Spirit won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)G2 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.