CS2 · resolved market
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4741b01f2aae1fce97a00251e0e3e92103b516572232910134f6427bd69f31b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2of Spirit, G2
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4337…8882backed G2 | 76c | 4,913$3,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.33 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65aa…6392backed Spirit | 52c | 1,424$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed G2 | 48c | 1,227$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.07 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…02b5backed Spirit | 52c | 963.72$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d96…b432backed Spirit | 54c | 594$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.76 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked G2 | 51c | 408.16$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6add…6992backed Spirit | 54c | 335.19$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed G2 | 51c | 250.32$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.63 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…5c69backed G2 | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Spirit | 50c | 231.8$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.9 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked G2 | 46c | 203.41$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.84 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…3ab2backed G2 | 50c | 111.66$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.83 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb6…f256backed G2 | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…da67backed Spirit | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 387 | 54.8%212 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac7…4b3ebacked Spirit | 54c | 44.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3a…bdffbacked G2 | 53c | 43.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb972…105abacked Spirit | 54c | 38.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d9…da1fbacked Spirit | 54c | 31.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b51…9ea6backed G2 | 48c | 31.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdb…9b4abacked Spirit | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e1…ba1fbacked G2 | 48c | 21.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 WinnerG2 won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)G2 won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)G2 won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)Spirit won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)G2 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.