CS2 · resolved market
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d3fd181b12a506411bae729dfb486893e4a24702af786cd912faa481cbba1f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2of Spirit, G2
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked G2 | 49c | 3,661$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.12 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed Spirit | 50c | 1,754$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.85 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed G2 | 48c | 1,620$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.33 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65aa…6392backed Spirit | 55c | 1,382$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…02b5backed Spirit | 51c | 1,377$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked G2 | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 502 | 51%256 W · 246 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Spirit | 50c | 1,030$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.62 | 836 | 43.5%364 W · 472 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Spirit | 52c | 1,006$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.01 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed G2 | 56c | 1,005$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.04 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Spirit | 23c | 945.2$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.67 | 399 | 44.1%176 W · 223 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3adf…2380backed Spirit | 55c | 916.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked G2 | 45c | 884.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.61 | 1,146 | 49.4%566 W · 580 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Spirit | 44c | 766.46$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.03 | 659 | 46.9%309 W · 350 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked G2 | 48c | 552.52$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb6…f256backed Spirit | 52c | 538.46$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…7a85backed G2 | 48c | 526.22$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.63 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed G2 | 50c | 501$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.5 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed G2 | 49c | 500.6$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.05 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…28f2backed G2 | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed Spirit | 50c | 404$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d96…b432backed Spirit | 53c | 302$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.59 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc746…3943backed Spirit | 25c | 292.08$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.02 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e41…dab5backed Spirit | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…5456backed Spirit | 55c | 181.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4018…f37ebacked G2 | 50c | 172$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…2442backed Spirit | 50c | 135.55$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.78 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…3bc1backed Spirit | 50c | 130$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Spirit | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Spirit | 31c | 91.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…88b8backed Spirit | 56c | 89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…287dbacked Spirit | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3a…bdffbacked G2 | 49c | 53.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50d4…59a5backed G2 | 44c | 45.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d8…a05abacked Spirit | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…4419backed G2 | 54c | 37.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…3407backed Spirit | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Spirit | 51c | 32.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed G2 | 49c | 30.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…da67backed Spirit | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 387 | 54.8%212 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…f815backed G2 | 48c | 26.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc13b…701ebacked Spirit | 54c | 21.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 WinnerG2 won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)G2 won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)G2 won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)Spirit won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)G2 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.