TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
G2of Spirit, G2
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$702,716
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$774,618

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $702,716 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 493 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd1b7…fdf1backed Spirit49c135,144$66,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,811.2940%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed G254c80,000$43,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,799.8410142.6%43 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed G254c65,000$35,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,899.9733043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89dd…f662backed G250c60,389$30,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,194.46940.6%28 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Spirit45c49,999$22,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,499.7775758.3%441 W · 316 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Spirit46c47,299$21,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,757.5417643.2%76 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Spirit49c40,816$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00016344.2%72 W · 91 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x73e3…1be9backed G251c30,000$15,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,70020153.7%108 W · 93 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Spirit46c27,609$12,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,70026344.5%117 W · 146 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed G251c24,500$12,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,910.1881843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked Spirit47c23,637$10,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,999.3425751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked G254c22,280$12,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,249.825,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked Spirit48c21,065$10,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,071.44639.1%18 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed G250c20,260$10,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,1302462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed G255c18,200$10,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,19033343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed G254c17,771$9,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,223.532,61051.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L+16.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed G252c15,000$7,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,26067041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed G255c14,700$8,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,6158043.8%35 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Spirit49c13,934$6,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,827.5127658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Spirit50c13,679$6,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,780.24731.9%15 W · 32 L-7.0wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-40.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked G251c12,000$6,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,879.9936152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Spirit46c11,957$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,50014145.4%64 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39f8…9442backed Spirit46c11,862$5,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,426.28425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-65.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed G251c11,078$5,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,427.9825255.6%140 W · 112 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked G250c11,010$5,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,514.879855.1%54 W · 44 L+8.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+27.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb5d…85dbbacked Spirit46c10,870$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe100…4d41backed Spirit48c10,211$4,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,901.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked G251c10,096$5,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,905.551,76859.2%1,047 W · 721 L+105.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed G253c10,001$5,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,740.4978639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked G253c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,7002458.3%14 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+37.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd760…f7f5backed Spirit0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked G252c8,000$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,839.9628538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Spirit46c7,870$3,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,62036453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Spirit45c6,749$3,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,037.0917853.9%96 W · 82 L+0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6261…4adbbacked Spirit46c6,522$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002552%13 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked G252c6,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,88021251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed G254c6,000$3,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,759.9871645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Spirit46c5,647$2,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,597.6546143.4%200 W · 261 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Spirit48c5,044$2,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,421.367450%37 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed G254c5,000$2,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,322.5860248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13b8…d1afbacked Spirit49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.972030%6 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked G253c4,936$2,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,331.541,47651.8%765 W · 711 L-4.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Spirit46c4,923$2,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,272.1813043.1%56 W · 74 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked G249c4,900$2,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,499.0113952.5%73 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked G254c4,835$2,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,228.8522447.8%107 W · 117 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd794…248bbacked Spirit46c4,438$2,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,041.281163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Spirit46c4,011$1,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8454141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed G250c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00060853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked G250c3,969$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,984.48556.5%48 W · 37 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Spirit49c3,751$1,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,844.075543.6%24 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed G254c3,700$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,70223848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed G253c3,500$1,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,629.9829449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed G254c3,445$1,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,590.166551.9%345 W · 320 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf886…2620backed G252c3,416$1,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.5610359.2%61 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed G251c3,300$1,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,616.8435153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked G250c3,275$1,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,642.4797952.4%513 W · 466 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa019…f444backed Spirit46c3,261$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5009643.8%42 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed Spirit46c3,100$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,42622142.1%93 W · 128 L-13.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed Spirit47c3,090$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,43919245.8%88 W · 104 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3adf…2380backed Spirit48c3,068$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,472.761369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+30.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Spirit46c3,043$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4005644.6%25 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed G251c3,007$1,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.6626952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Spirit46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38019346.1%89 W · 104 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed G254c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,38055236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed G250c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50029340.6%119 W · 174 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed G255c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.991,08050.9%550 W · 530 L+38.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Spirit46c2,822$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2989349.5%46 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Spirit47c2,763$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3081,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked G250c2,444$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.782334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed G255c2,400$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0807751.9%40 W · 37 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed G254c2,300$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.9960748.1%292 W · 315 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed Spirit46c2,172$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99911044.5%49 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff26…a5ddbacked Spirit49c2,081$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.939443.6%41 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed Spirit46c2,077$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.2315349.7%76 W · 77 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Spirit50c2,064$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03221445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…b518backed Spirit46c2,020$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.047955.7%44 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f4adbacked Spirit50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00019047.9%91 W · 99 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed G251c2,000$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99061047.7%291 W · 319 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Spirit51c1,981$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01039157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked G252c1,972$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.1448548.7%236 W · 249 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9e7…56d8backed G251c1,967$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.017152.1%37 W · 34 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf394…cdb1backed Spirit53c1,868$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.036650%33 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4554…8deebacked Spirit46c1,756$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.561942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed G253c1,700$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79912154.5%66 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Spirit49c1,695$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.4638841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73e9…3614backed G251c1,684$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Spirit46c1,678$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.832542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed G254c1,667$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.661,99853.7%1,073 W · 925 L+5.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Spirit46c1,522$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70048350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked Spirit46c1,514$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70119546.2%90 W · 105 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e43…6583backed Spirit51c1,507$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.613360.2%80 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed G255c1,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6759551.6%49 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x039f…80cfbacked Spirit50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Spirit46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69015251.3%78 W · 74 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed G255c1,455$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.551346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed G254c1,400$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.0626054.2%141 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2fd…5dabbacked Spirit31c1,395$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.319746.4%45 W · 52 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdd2…0abfbacked Spirit46c1,304$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007843.6%34 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xffb1…13e7backed Spirit50c1,275$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.411450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked G251c1,266$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.7227753.8%149 W · 128 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.