CS2 · resolved market
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x383f93865b03e3ed788ddd020dd9561685adeee7468917f89dd86e0cf17fdb9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2of Spirit, G2
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked G2 | 51c | 2,545$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.29 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…6a93backed Spirit | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked G2 | 55c | 1,398$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.74 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed G2 | 56c | 1,116$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.17 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Spirit | 50c | 1,009$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed G2 | 50c | 800.5$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.25 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed G2 | 51c | 643.58$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.77 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked G2 | 47c | 597.96$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 384 | 54.2%208 W · 176 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Spirit | 41c | 549.51$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.51 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed Spirit | 44c | 540.91$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed G2 | 56c | 534.09$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Spirit | 44c | 502.39$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.45 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Spirit | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef5…e9acbacked Spirit | 45c | 445.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.4 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed G2 | 56c | 362.08$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.32 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Spirit | 54c | 351.85$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…7db2backed Spirit | 51c | 296.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.92 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked G2 | 48c | 287.53$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.55 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed G2 | 55c | 208.21$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.21 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0431…3dd8backed Spirit | 50c | 187.56$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1338…f574backed Spirit | 51c | 167.93$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.64 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed G2 | 49c | 164.4$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.84 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d96…b432backed Spirit | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Spirit | 45c | 123$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Spirit | 45c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed G2 | 51c | 117$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf87e…db5cbacked Spirit | 53c | 113.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…5456backed Spirit | 45c | 111.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed G2 | 50c | 107$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…4c26backed Spirit | 50c | 94.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Spirit | 45c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed G2 | 51c | 74.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Spirit | 46c | 73.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Spirit | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed G2 | 56c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked G2 | 52c | 50.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Spirit | 43c | 46.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Spirit | 43c | 46.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3a…bdffbacked G2 | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b4…d57cbacked Spirit | 45c | 42.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…1184backed Spirit | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…5ff8backed Spirit | 50c | 37.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked G2 | 50c | 37.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Spirit | 50c | 33.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Spirit | 41c | 28.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed G2 | 52c | 25.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Spirit | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed G2 | 79c | 21.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 WinnerG2 won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)G2 won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)G2 won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)Spirit won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)G2 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.