TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb972…105a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 50 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT3348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.68
Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Map Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs 9INE (+1.5)backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.3
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winnerbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Acend (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs 9INE (BO3) - DraculaN Group Abacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.33
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs 9INE - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.88
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$68.63
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$17.25
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.13
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.64
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.72
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.59
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$12.65
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs NEW VISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked NEW VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$22.59
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.59
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+142.6%+$38.5
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.9
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$10.89
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+206.1%+$28.86
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.44
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs 4ikibamboni - Game 2 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$10.72
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs 4ikibamboni - Game 2 Winnerbacked 4ikibamboni · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.81
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.38
Spread: Pistons (-15.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$17.42
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+72.4%+$7.31
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$44.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.08
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.