TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,830
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,327

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,830 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c15,507$7,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,160.332,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over68c11,764$7,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,998.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under30c6,848$2,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,768.7398544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c45…0ac6backed Over36c5,555$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under52c3,401$1,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,632.571353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+39.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Over70c3,200$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.993351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under66c2,350$1,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.134643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Under75c2,333$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.33650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under80c2,280$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.151,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over45c1,890$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.39440.4%38 W · 56 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under29c1,866$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.933148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over71c1,727$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.913464.7%22 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick72cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f78…93e8backed Over24c1,591$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked Under62c1,420$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.28728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-58.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over22c1,364$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Over37c1,200$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-45%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbffe…e4efbacked Over40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over16c899.72$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.965518.2%10 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under69c824.78$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.4293252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under76c766.46$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.2591043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over39c759$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.3814549.7%72 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over33c749.99$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.54247.6%20 W · 22 L+7.8wins+0.19per pick29cpaid+82.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under41c730.95$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.9517744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over8c710.34$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9816838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over71c704.23$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+103.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed Over4c618.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.752536%9 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over37c562$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.946924.6%17 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac86…b3b3backed Over56c538.1$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e77…788dbacked Over71c492.96$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.191353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Over71c476.16$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.074254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Under30c440$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3081656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf035…d35fbacked Over71c422.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Under62c360$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.8850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…032dbacked Under58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over50c312$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1563348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11411127%30 W · 81 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f11…ce9fbacked Under32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2041764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+41.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x28c8…aaccbacked Over71c290$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.851376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2791…2346backed Over33c288$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over71c282$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.224872.9%35 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over71c281.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007657.9%44 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f07…0170backed Over16c278$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.481618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick24cpaid+26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec3…760ebacked Over29c259.96$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.693551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over39c256.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under30c250$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17538547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under30c250$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17546047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a33…6410backed Over71c242.25$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Over33c220.18$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.482744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc17…f3c4backed Over23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502157.1%12 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+50%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x19e1…856abacked Over70c213.44$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Over71c211.27$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502360.9%14 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick70cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002763%17 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Under32c200$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1362853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02ee…9ac3backed Over26c199$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.73757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick29cpaid+78.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over29c197.6$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.717848.7%38 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under29c190.34$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.1451139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under29c169.63$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.4440549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Over8c167.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137240.3%29 W · 43 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3127…ff44backed Over11c159.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Over64c158.19$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.241070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x91d9…5d05backed Under31c155.94$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+149.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0082…e801backed Over66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2acc…b3c4backed Over70c146.35$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed Over69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-67.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over51c128.5$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6515459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae1…d85abacked Over69c127.29$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb08…c2c2backed Under32c126$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x81c3…bda2backed Over70c118$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7de9…c5afbacked Over62c115.68$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…b894backed Over57c114.54$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654856.3%27 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over38c113.16$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4315238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d13…ee66backed Under31c110$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5500…da1bbacked Over71c105.63$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over25c104$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2616526.1%43 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.87347.9%35 W · 38 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6926747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e97…7680backed Over23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+49.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac24…576ebacked Over39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under39c99.2$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5331051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over20c95.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0431958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over20c95.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.037742.9%33 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc271…1bfdbacked Over71c89.54$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.571631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.23per pick55cpaid-37.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under49c87.1$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6639740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over55c86.51$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5818055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under30c82.01$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.665254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253040%12 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under31c80$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.221251.9%110 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee09…1199backed Over38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306569.2%45 W · 20 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+15.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under48c71.82$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.319750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under30c67.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.342347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over67c63.81$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7541854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf158…aa4bbacked Over71c61.52$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.681526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-49%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.